基于小波神经网络的麦蚜发生程度预测模型

【目的】建立基于小波神经网络病虫害预测预报模型,对提前采取防病防虫措施、减少农作物病虫害损失、提高农作物产量与质量具有重要意义。【方法】本研究以山西省运城市芮城县1980-2014年麦蚜发生程度和气象因子数据为基础,采用主成分分析法从40个基础气象因子中整合形成9个新的自变量输入模型,采用试凑法筛选隐含层节点数,用1980-2009年的数据进行网络训练,对2010-2014年麦蚜发生程度进行回测,建立了以Morlet小波函数为传递函数的小波神经网络模型,并与以Sigmoid函数为传递函数的BP神经网络模型进行了比较。【结果】小波和BP神经网络两种模型对训练样本的平均拟合精度均有10年以上超过80%,两者MAPE 值分别为 89.83% 和83.07%,MSE 值分别为0.0578和0.6192。【结论】两个模型都能较好地描述麦蚜发生程度;从预测精度和模型的稳定性来看,小波神经网络好于BP神经网络。     

高粱蚜灰色灾变长期预测模型

本文应用灰色系统灾变预测理论建立了吕梁地区高粱蚜发生量预测模型．     

麦粘虫发生程度简易测报方法的研究

利用麦粘虫田间２龄高峰期虫量与最高虫量期虫量、达防治标准田块率的相关性,建立直线回归预测式,可在防治前１０天左右准确预报其发生程度,为宣传发动和制订防治提供可靠的依据。     

应用马尔可夫链法预测晚稻稻飞虱发生程度

根据化州市 1 979～ 1 999年 2 1年晚稻稻飞虱主害代发生程度的时间序列资料 ,应用马尔可夫链预测法对该市 2 0 0 0年和 2 0 0 1年稻飞虱发生程度进行了预测 ,结果与大田实际发生情况完全一致。对1 985～ 1 999年的历史资料进行回检 ,符合率为 96.7%,可对晚稻稻飞虱的发生程度进行超长期预测。     

应用马尔科夫链模型对草地螟发生程度的预测

草地螟Loxostege stictialis L.是我国北方农牧业生产上一种重要迁飞性、暴发性害虫,一旦暴发会给当地农牧生产造成严重危害.根据康保县1977-2008年1代草地螟幼虫发生程度的时间序列资料,应用马尔科夫链的转移概率预测法,构建了1～3阶转移概率矩阵,组建模型对该县2009-2011年1代草地螟发生程度进行了预测,结果与大田实际发生情况完全一致,准确率100％.对1980-2011年的历史资料进行回检,历史符合率89.9％,该方法可对草地螟进行长期预报,为草地螟长期预报提供了一种准确有效的方法,对草地螟发生程度的长期预报具有重要指导意义.     

冀南麦区麦蚜发生期、发生量的预报研究

本文以冀南麦区麦蚜百株蚜量达500头日期做为发生期预报量,采用模糊数学因子权重综合评判方法进行预报,发生期历史符合率达100％,发生量历史符合率88.9％,两年试报准确。     

模糊数学综合评判麦蚜发生量(程度)预测预报技术的研究

麦蚜是常发性害虫,也是影响小麦生产的一类主要害虫。当地主要为害种类有：麦长管蚜Macrosiphumavenac（Fabricius）、麦二叉蚜Schizaphisgraminum（Rondani）、禾缢管好RhopalosiphumPadi（L．）等。麦蚜的发生为害受自然环境诸多因素的影响,综合分析其发生规律和主要影响因素,均属于模糊信息和模糊概念。用模糊数学（Fuzzymachenatics）的方法处理模糊概念、信息,从而求得数量规律。这就把经验预报的模糊指标转化为定量指标,沟通了定性和定量表示的联系,然后作出较精确的判断。我们对天水地区12年（1979～1990年）麦蚜发生量（…     

多层次模糊综合评判法预测稻瘿蚊发生程度

本文系统考虑稻瘿蚊的多种发生因素,把其分为4个层次并赋予不同权重,采用多层次模糊综合评判法预测晚稻稻瘿蚊发生程度,历史符合率达100％,并能提前20天以上预报。     

高粱蚜种群动态的模糊聚类分析

本文用平均密度(x)、聚块性指标(m/x)、有虫株出现频率(P),对高粱蚜种群动态进行了模糊聚类分析,揭示出高粱蚜发生的种群动态规律为初生期、缓增突增期、缓增期、突增期、成灾期、衰减期6个状态集,指出防治重点应在突增期(SS_4),以达到经济、有效控制高粱蚜为害的目的。     

高粱蚜在不同品种高粱上的发育

抗性埴物对昆虫具有抗生性,对昆虫生长、发育和繁殖可产生有害影响,前人已有报道(Painter1951;Teetes 等,1974;Bārbulescu, 1969;Schuster和Starks,1973)抗性高粱能使麦二岔蚜Schizaphis graminum各龄历期和生殖前期延长,发育速度减慢,体形变小,从而限制了蚜虫的正常发育,抗生性在对蚜虫的抗性中起着重要作用。至今不同高粱品种对高梁蚜Melanaphis Sacchari(Zehntner)抗生性的研究尚未见过报道。为此进行本试验。     

Field efficacy of biorational insecticides against Melanaphis sacchari (Zehntner) in sorghum

Abstract

The sugarcane aphid, Melanaphis sacchari (Zehntner), is a major pest in diverse sorghum-growing regions, affecting yields if no effective control measures are implemented. The objective of this study was to evaluate the field efficacy of commercial formulations of biorational insecticides against this pest. All the evaluated biorational insecticides exerted acceptable biological efficacy for at least 7 days after application. The insecticides based on fatty acid potassium salts (Ultralux^® S and Impide^®) maintained aphid density below the established threshold of 50 aphids per leaf up to 14 days after application. The results obtained suggest that biorational insecticides can be included in the integrated management of M. sacchari.     

小麦禾谷缢管蚜峰期蚜量发生程度的影响因素分析

16年观测资料表明,影响禾谷缢管蚜峰期蚜量发生程度的因素有：冬前蚜量基数,年前11月份平均相对湿度,蚜峰期前一个月月平均温度、月总日照时数和月温湿系数。运用模糊综合评判法检验其发生程度,历史符合率达93.8％。1996年试报正确。     

High efficiency plant regeneration by somatic embryogenesis from callus of mature embryo explants of bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) and grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor)

Summary Tissue culture methods were developed for reproducible induction and maintenance of embryogenic (E) callus established from developmentally mature embryo explants of bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) and grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor). Embryogenic callus was obtained by culturing seeds and mature embryos of wheat on Linsmaier and Skoog’s (LS) medium containing 5 or 2 mg/liter 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4-D), respectively, and for sorghum mature embryos on LS medium containing 2 mg/1 2,4-D plus 0.5 mg/liter kinetin. Plant regeneration from E callus was achieved for several months and quantified on a fresh-weight basis of E callus. Phenotypically normal plants were regenerated from E callus cultured on LS medium supplemented with 0.1 mg/liter IAA plus 0.5 mg/liter benzyladenine (BA) for wheat and 1.0 mg/liter IAA plus 0.5 mg/1BA for sorghum. Wheat research was funded by the United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, cooperative agreement DNA-4137-A-00-4-53-00. Sorghum research was supported by the Gas Research Institute, Chicago, IL, contract 5084-260-0973. Expert technical asistance was provided by Nitschka S. ter Kuile, Barbara J. Ashton, Laurie Osborne, Erin Scott, and Kathleen M. Petersen.     

小麦穗期麦长管蚜发生程度的预测模型研究

应用逐步判别分析方法,对山东省金乡县1982—1989年共8年小麦穗期麦长管蚜发生程度的历史观测资料进行了数量分析,建立了判别方程（预测模型）。将历史资料进行回检,符合率为100％,把1990年的观察资料作为独立样本进行试报,结果与实际相吻合。为害虫种群动态的预测预报提供了一种新的研究方法。     

Components of resistance to the sorghum midge, Contarinia sorghicola

Studies were conducted on components of resistance to sorghum midge on four resistant (DJ 6514, AF 28, TAM 2566 and IS 15107) and two susceptible cultivars (CSH 1 and Swarna). Data were recorded on the numbers of eggs, larvae, emerged adults and grain damage in panicles of different genotypes infested with 60 midge females/panicle under no-choice conditions. The size of floral parts (glume, lemma, palea, lodicule, stigma, style, ovary and anther), rate of grain development and tannin content of grain were measured. The lengths of glume gl and 82, lemma L1 and L2, palea, lodicule, anther, style and stigma were positively associated with susceptibility to sorghum midge. Rate of grain development (between 3rd and 7th day after anthesis) was negatively associated with susceptibility to sorghum. Tannin content of grain was also negatively correlated with midge susceptibility, although there were distinct exceptions (e.g. DJ 6514 is highly resistant bur has a low tannin content).     

The effect of Propionibacterium acidipropionici, with or without Lactobacillus plantarum, on the fermentation and aerobic stability of wheat, sorghum and maize silages

AIMS: To determine the effect of Propionibacterium acidipropionici, alone or in combination with Lactobacillus plantarum, on the fermentation and aerobic stability of wheat, sorghum and maize silages. METHODS AND RESULTS: The inoculants were applied at 1.0 x 10(6) CFU g(-1). Silages with no additives served as control. Fresh forages were sampled prior to ensiling. Three jars per treatment were sampled on days 2, 4, 8, 16 and 60 after ensiling, for chemical and microbiological analysis. At the end of the ensiling period, the silages were subjected to an aerobic stability test. The P. acidipropionici-inoculated silages had significantly higher levels of acetic and propionic acid than the L. plantarum or P. acidipropionici + L. plantarum-inoculated silages (P < 0.05). Therefore, yeast activity was impaired in the P. acidipropionici-inoculated silages. As a result, P. acidipropionici decreased CO(2) production and improved aerobic stability of wheat, sorghum and maize silages. However, the combination of P. acidipropionici + L. plantarum did not improve aerobic stability of the silages. CONCLUSIONS: The P. acidipropionici was very effective in protecting the wheat, sorghum and maize silages exposed to air under laboratory conditions, probably because the acidic environment under ensiling conditions is favourable for this micro-organism. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: The use of P. acidipropionici, as a silage inoculant can improve the aerobic stability of silages by inhibition of yeast activity.     

Using high-throughput amplified fragment length polymorphism to distinguish sorghum greenbug (Homoptera: Aphididae) biotypes

Abstract 1 The greenbug Schizaphis graminum (Rondani) is a serious pest of Sorghum bicolor L. and small grains in the Southern Plains of the U.S.A. Use of resistant cultivars, the major greenbug management strategy, has been challenged by the rapid development of new greenbug biotypes that overcome plant resistance. 2 We used a high‐throughput amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) fingerprinting method to examine genetic divergence among eight greenbug biotypes (B, C, E, G, I and K, New York and South Carolina). Clustering analysis based on 1775 scored AFLP markers clearly showed that biotypes (C, E, I and K), which are able to infest sorghum fields, share more common polymorphisms among themselves than with other biotypes. 3 This result suggests that common genetic factors exist among these biotypes, enabling them to predominate and thrive in monoculture crops. Our study demonstrated the sensitivity of AFLP in obtaining large quantities of biotype‐associated polymorphic information across the entire greenbug genome.     

Biology ofTrichogrammatoidea simmondsi (Hym.: Trichogrammatidae) on sorghum shoot fly,Atherigona soccata (Dipt.: Muscidae) eggs

Experiments were conducted in a rearing room to study the biology ofTrichogrammatoidea simmondsi Nagaraja (Hym.: Trichogrammatidae) on sorghum shoot fly,Atherigona soccata Rondani (Dipt.: Muscidae) eggs. Shoot fly eggs were divided in two groups: 1) eggs < 24 h old and, 2) > 24 h old eggs. Thirty eggs of each group were used in a randomized complete block design with four replicates. Shoot fly eggs less than 24 h old were preferred (73% of parasitism) over 24 h old eggs (7.25%). Three larval instars ofT. simmondsi were observed. Few eggs with twoT. simmondsi exit holes (1.87%) were recorded in > 24 h old eggs compared with < 24 h ones (3.74%). The sex ratio male: female was 1 ∶ 1.47. The development from oviposition to adult emergence ranged from 7 to 12 days (average=9.8±1.31, n=40), and the average life span of male and femaleT. simmondsi was 25±1.46 h (range 22–26 h, n=12) and 35.17±10.9 (range 25–50 h, n=28) respectively at 26° C, 60–65% R.H. and 12 ∶ 12 (L/D) photoperiod. This paper constitutes the first published information on the biology ofT. simmondsi on the sorghum shoot fly eggs.

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Résumé Des essais ont été conduits en salle d'élevage en vue d'étudier la biologie deTrichogrammatoidea simmondsi Nagaraja (Hym.: Trichogrammatidae) sur les œufs de la mouche des pousses du sorgho,Atherigoa soccata Rondani (Dipt.: Muscidae). Les œufs de la mouche ont été divisés en deux groupes: 1) ℧ufs agés de < 24 h, 2) > 24 h. Trente œufs de chaque groupe ont été utilisés dans un dispositif en blocs complets randomisés à quatre répétitions. Les œufs de moins de 24 h d'age ont été plus parasités (73% de parasitisme) que ceux de plus de 24 h d'age (7,25% de parasitisme). Trois stades larvaires deT. simmondsi ont été observés. La présence de deux trous d'émergence deT. simmondsi était moins élevée (1,87%) dans les œufs de > 24 h que dans ceux de < 24 h (3,74%). Le sex ratio male: femelle était de 1 ∶ 1,47 Le cycle de développement de l'œuf à l'émergence de l'adulte variait de 7 à 12 jours avec une moyenne de 9,8±1,31 (n=40). La durée moyenne de vie du male et de la femelle deT. simmondsi était respectivement de 25±1,46 h (variation 22–26 h, n=12) et 35,17±10,9 (variation 25–50 h, n=28) à 26°C, 60–65% H.R. et une photopériode de 12 ∶ 12. Cet article constitue la première information publiée sur la biologie deT. simmondsi sur les œufs de la mouche des pousses du sorgho.

     

Contribution ofAzospirillum brasilense to the nitrogen needs of grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L) Moench) in humid sub-tropics

Summary Field experiments were conducted to assess the contribution ofAzospirillum brasilense to the N needs of grain sorghumcv. CSH — 5 during monsoon (June–October) seasons of 1978 and 1979.A. brasilense contributed to the N uptake by crop in the range from 5.8 to 19.6 kg N/ha. However, the contribution ofA. brasilense to the N needs of sorghum was more when sorghum was manured with farmyard manure at the rate of 10 tons/ha. Publication of G.B.P.U.A.T. Expt. Station, Pantnagar — 263145, India.