The biodiversity‐dependent ecosystem service debt

Habitat destruction is driving biodiversity loss in remaining ecosystems, and ecosystem functioning and services often directly depend on biodiversity. Thus, biodiversity loss is likely creating an ecosystem service debt: a gradual loss of biodiversity‐dependent benefits that people obtain from remaining fragments of natural ecosystems. Here, we develop an approach for quantifying ecosystem service debts, and illustrate its use to estimate how one anthropogenic driver, habitat destruction, could indirectly diminish one ecosystem service, carbon storage, by creating an extinction debt. We estimate that c. 2–21 Pg C could be gradually emitted globally in remaining ecosystem fragments because of plant species loss caused by nearby habitat destruction. The wide range for this estimate reflects substantial uncertainties in how many plant species will be lost, how much species loss will impact ecosystem functioning and whether plant species loss will decrease soil carbon. Our exploratory analysis suggests that biodiversity‐dependent ecosystem service debts can be globally substantial, even when locally small, if they occur diffusely across vast areas of remaining ecosystems. There is substantial value in conserving not only the quantity (area), but also the quality (biodiversity) of natural ecosystems for the sustainable provision of ecosystem services.     

中国森林生态资产价值评估

森林资源是支撑人类社会发展的重要生态资产,探索森林生态资产价值的评估方法,对合理利用和有效保护森林资源具有重要意义。运用净现值法计算了中国森林生态资产总价值为698.5万亿元,其中直接价值为7.5万亿元,包括林木价值4.5万亿元和林下产品价值3.0万亿元;间接价值为691万亿元,其中,气候调节价值量最高,占间接价值的48%;水源涵养价值量次之,占间接价值的27%。从森林生态资产总价值的分布来看,广西省、广东省和云南省位于全国前列,分别占森林生态资产总价值的10%、9%和9%。单位面积森林生态资产价值表现为海南省、浙江省和广东省较高,分别为954万元/hm2,915万元/hm2和888万元/hm2。森林生态资产价值研究为我国编制自然资源资产负债表提供理论依据,因此全面的估算中国森林生态资产价值很有意义。     

基于陈述性偏好法的三江平原湿地生态保护价值比较

陈述性偏好法是当前用于评估环境物品非市场价值的主要方法,包括条件价值评估法(CVM)和选择实验(CE).本文利用陈述性偏好法对三江平原湿地的生态保护价值进行评估,基于随机效用理论构建陈述性偏好方法的支付意愿评价模型,求出基于CVM与CE的三江平原湿地生态保护价值的支付意愿(WTP).结果表明: 基于CE的平均支付意愿为每年379元,不同选择属性的边际支付意愿分别是水源涵养为每年114.00元,湿地面积为每年72.55元,自然景观为每年59.55元,生物多样性为每年37.09元;CVM的平均支付意愿为每年134元.分析支付意愿的影响因素,并对受访者拒绝支付原因进行探讨.CE方法得到受访者的支付意愿显著高于CVM方法,社会经济属性中受教育程度和个人平均年收入与受访者的支付意愿呈显著正相关,而拒绝支付原因没有显著差异.CE可以进行多属性、多水平分析,求出湿地各选择属性的支付意愿,因此CE比CVM更能揭示受访者的偏好信息,其评估结果更接近于实际.     

广义森林生态效益货币量的空间模型分析

从广义森林生态效益计量概念出发,提出了广义森林生态效益货币量和森林生态环境空间的定义。根据广义森林生态环境的空间模型分析概念和实现空间模型分析的3个基本条件,采用Arcview和Autocad图形向GIS空间数据转换的方法对1986、1949和1896年黑龙江省森林资源空间图形资料和反推的小班资源数据库,通过环境图象叠置分析获得森林资源与环境的空间图象,建立广义森林生态效益经济计量模型,由此实现广义森林生态效益的GIS空间分析。结果表明：森林生态效益货币量的分布近似呈正态分布,各森林生态效益经济总量各占一定比重。利用GIS空间分析功能作出的黑龙江省森林生态效益主产区的空间分布图显示,黑龙江省森林生态效益的主产区主要分布在镜泊湖、兴凯湖、汤旺河、嫩江等江河的源头。通过分析黑龙江省森林生态效益货币总量的动态,得出1986年的黑龙江省森林生态效益比1949年下降38％,比原生状态的1896年下降59％。森林生态效益的下降与森林资源的数量和质量的下降呈正相关,森林生态效益的变化总是要滞后于森林资源的变化。     

论湿地生态系统服务的多维度价值评估方法

为了维系湿地生态系统的功能并制定合理的保护与开发规划,有必要量化湿地生态系统服务的价值。目前学术界尚未形成统一的湿地价值评估方法,而不同的选取方法、评估角度、评估对象等,会导致计算结果存在很大差异,尤其是在对时空差异性服务价值评估和湿地生态系统服务的总价值评估中存在难以量化和重复计算现象。针对上述问题,从湿地生态系统服务的定义、分类和受益人出发,提出了多维度价值评估方法,以定量计算时空差异性服务价值和系统的总服务价值,并探讨了该方法在淮河流域八里河湿地生态系统中的应用以及对其他类型生态系统服务研究的借鉴意义。     

Évaluation de la réponse au traitement du lymphome avec la TEP F-FDG : existe-t-il un consensus dans l’évaluation de la réponse ?

The concept of risk-adapted therapy in lymphoma is increasingly accepted as a way to achieve higher cure rates with a lower or equal risk of treatment-related morbidity and mortality. Tailoring and individualizing therapy according to the need of the patient is a therapeutic option which could maybe soon become the standard of care. However, it is still not proven that modifying therapy based on interim-PET can improve patient outcomes. Therefore, this issue must be analyzed in appropriately designed clinical trials. ¹⁸F-FDG PET enables evaluation of the early metabolic changes rather than the morphologic changes which occur later during therapy. In lymphoma these early metabolic changes are highly predictive of the final treatment response. PET performed after a few courses of standard chemotherapy is a reliable prognostic tool to identify poor responders to therapy. Interim-PET is a powerful prognostic tool when compared to other well-established clinical parameters in lymphoma. However, the major drawback in the literature appeared to be related to the lack of uniform and reliable criteria for interim-PET scan interpretation. Therefore, in April 2009 an international meeting took place in Deauville (France), where uniform criteria were established for interim-PET scan interpretation. On the other hand, when PET is used to assess treatment response after completion of therapy, the criteria established in the International Harmonization Project in 2007 must be applied. These recommendations were designed to standardize the interpretation of interim PET and PET at the conclusion of therapy of patients with lymphoma both in clinical practice and clinical trials.     

Conservation of biodiversity in the Arabuko Sokoke Forest, Kenya

Using an economic approach to provide a rationale for rainforestconservation has been a popular exercise in recent years. This paper uses suchan approach to assess the net value of the Arabuko Sokoke Forest in Kenya. Theeconomic benefits associated with the forest derived by local and globalpopulations are estimated by combining evidence from existing studies and theresults of a contingent valuation study carried out by the authors. Thesebenefits are set against the cost of preserving the forest to the Kenyan ForestDepartment. Even when the opportunity cost of the forest land is omitted fromthe costs of forest preservation, and when the revenues generated from theGlobal Environment Facility (GEF) funded project are included, the costs offorest conservation outweigh the benefits. It is only when non-use andexistencevalues are included (which are not realised by the Kenyan population) that theforest benefits exceed the costs. The paper concludes by arguing that, althoughsome projects within the Arabuko Sokoke Forest have been successful incapturingsome of the economic value associated with the forest, more needs to be done todesign additional capture mechanisms so that a greater proportion of the globalbenefit of the forest can be realised by local populations and localgovernments.     

陕西秦巴山区植被第一性生产物质量与价值量测评研究

生物圈及陆地植被是人类赖以生息、生活和发展的物质基础 ,它为人类提供食物、药材、原材料等具有直接资源价值的生物产品。因此 ,陆地植被 NPP物质量与价值量的测评研究 ,对于更好地认识生态系统的生态过程与生态功能具有重要的意义。在地理信息系统 (GIS)支持下 ,充分考虑植被类型及覆盖率差异 ,利用改进的 NPP模型 ,对陕西段秦巴山地陆地生态系统 NPP物质量进行了测定。结果显示 :秦巴山区 8.2× 1 0 6 hm2 的陆地植被每年生产 82 .8× 1 0 6 t生物有机物 ,单位面积 NPP物质量 ,随植被类型和气候带发生有规律变化 ,从植被类型来看 ,天然林和次生林≥人工果树≥次生灌丛≥次生草被 ;从纬度地带性变化来看 ,亚热带≥暖温带≥高山温带 ;从垂直地带性变化来看 ,随山地高度增加先增后减 ,一般在海拔 1 0 0 0～ 1 3 0 0 m达到最大值。为了货币化测评第一性生产的价值量 ,以 NPP物质量为基础 ,将其折算成相当于标准煤的能量值 ,按现行市场价格估测植被第一性生产价值量 ,结果表明 :秦巴山地每年第一性生产合 1 .8× 1 0 1 0元 ,占国内生产总值的 8%。虽然 ,价值量的估计是十分概念化和保守的 ,但仍可发现本区陆地植被第一性生产在大农业中占有相当比重 ,NPP的价值量占农业生产总值 3 7.0 5 % ,是林业生产总     

生态系统服务与自然资本价值评估

生态系统服务是生态系统提供的商品和服务,是人类生态和发展的物质基础和基本条件,是人类拥有的关键自然资本。概述了生态系统服务的内涵及类型,介绍了当前国内外有关生态系统服务及自然资本的价值理论、价值评估的各种方法及其类型;评述了研究的主要进展,存在的主要问题、难点和研究的主要趋向。认为生态系统服务及自然资本的价值评估研究是建立生态－环境－经济综合核算体系（可持续发展核算体系）的重要内容和关键环节,完善价值评估的理论与经济技术方法是生态系统服务价值评估研究亟待解决的问题。     

生物多样性价值的经济学处理：一些理论障碍及其克服

本文首先对国际生态经济学界围绕“世界生态系统功能价值计量”的方法学论争进行短简的评价,接着阐述了生物多样性价值的新的概念框架,并据此就生物多样性价值计量中尚未得到关注的问题（生物多样性价值的可计算性,价值计量方法的恰当性,价值分量的可加性和可解析性,价值误差测算）提出解决思路,本文最后讨论了两个保护经济学问题方法学构架,其一是生物多样性破坏的经济损失计算,其二是生物多样性保护工程的成本－效益体质与成本－效果分析。