褐拟谷盗传入我国的风险分析及管理对策

【背景】褐拟谷盗分布广泛,成虫和幼虫都可取食谷物、豆类、干果及其加工品等。危害后发出难闻的气味,并在受害物上呈现明显损害痕迹,是粮谷储藏中最重要的害虫之一。【方法】通过分析褐拟谷盗在我国传入、定殖、扩散的可能性,危害影响、危害管理难度等方面内容,依据国际植物检疫措施标准(ISPM)中的有害生物风险分析原则,采用多指标综合评估方法来计算褐拟谷盗的风险程度,建立了一、二级评判标准的计算模型,对褐拟谷盗传入我国的风险进行评估。【结果】通过定性和定量风险分析,对其传入中国的风险做出综合评价,得出风险评估值R=2.22。【结论与意义】褐拟谷盗在我国属高度危险的有害生物,需要在全国各口岸加强检疫,分析结果可为开展褐拟谷盗的检疫防控提供参考。     

桔小实蝇传入风险的模糊综合评估

根据国际有害生物风险评估方案,本文提出了桔小实蝇Bactrocera dorsalis （Hendel）随进口水果传入风险评估的参数指标体系,包括一级评估指标5个： 进口水果种类,进口水果数量,进口水果的虫害率,运输途中害虫存活率,检疫管理的有效性; 二级评估指标9个： 原产地桔小实蝇的防治情况,水果装运前的处理情况,桔小实蝇对水果的嗜好性,水果运输期,运输条件,运输途中极端限制因子的出现情况,检疫抽样百分比,检出率,检疫措施的处理效果等。采用权重分析法确定各个指标的权重,在此基础上,应用模糊决策的基本理论和方法,建立桔小实蝇传入风险的模糊综合评估模型。模拟评估结果认为,进口水果装运前的杀虫处理和水果到岸时的检疫处理对风险值的影响很大,进口水果的数量以及运输途中是否出现极端限制因子也对风险值有明显影响。     

世界性害虫葡萄花翅小卷蛾入侵我国的风险分析

【目的】葡萄花翅小卷蛾是我国禁止进境的检疫性害虫,一旦入侵我国,将会给葡萄产业和林果业造成严重损失。开展葡萄花翅小卷蛾入侵我国的风险分析可为该虫的检疫和预警提供依据。【方法】介绍了葡萄花翅小卷蛾的形态特征和生物学特性,并参照通用的有害生物风险评估方法,从该虫在国内外的发生情况、潜在的经济危害性、受害作物的经济重要性、传播扩散的可能性及风险管理的难度等方面,对其入侵风险进行了定性和定量分析。【结果】葡萄花翅小卷蛾是一种对我国有很大潜在威胁的有害生物,其风险值为2.14,属高度危险性有害生物。【结论】建议新疆等口岸比较多的省、自治区口岸检疫部门加强对该害虫的检疫力度,杜绝其传入我国。     

椰子叶螨Aceria(Eriophyes)guerreronis对我国椰子产业的风险性分析

【目的】明确刺吸式害虫椰子叶螨对我国椰子产业的风险,为该虫的检验检疫和应急防控提供参考。【方法】从椰子叶螨的国内外发生现状、潜在危害性、受害作物的经济重要性、定殖扩散的可能性以及风险管理的难度等方面,对椰子叶螨危害我国椰子产业的风险性进行定性和定量评估。【结果】椰子叶螨个体较小、传播方式多样、检疫和灭除难度较大,根据有害生物风险评估体系及多指标综合评估方法统计,该虫风险值评价指标体系R值为1.80,结合我国外来物种风险等级划分标准,属于中度危险有害生物。【结论】椰子叶螨在我国属于中度危险有害生物,对我国椰子产业具有较高的风险,需从检疫管理、检测及防控技术引进与研发等方面制定针对椰子叶螨的风险管理措施。     

蓝莓瘿蚊入侵我国的风险分析

【目的】蓝莓瘿蚊是蓝莓上的一种重要害虫,近年来在世界范围内传播扩散迅速,随着我国蓝莓引种和种植面积的不断增加,其入侵我国的风险不断升高,一旦入侵我国,将对我国蓝莓产业造成巨大损失,有必要对该害虫入侵我国风险进行分析。【方法】采用有害生物风险分析程序对其进行安全性评估,应用多指标综合评价方法,对蓝莓瘿蚊入侵我国的风险进行定性和定量分析,确定蓝莓瘿蚊入侵我国的风险性等级。【结果】蓝莓瘿蚊综合风险值(R)为2.12,是对中国蓝莓产业具有潜在威胁的有害生物。【结论】蓝莓瘿蚊属于高风险有害生物,建议口岸检疫部门采取针对性风险管控措施,严防其传入我国。     

水生动物进口风险评估综述

随着全球水产养殖业的发展,水产动物活体或水产品贸易日益频繁,不可避免地给进口国带来病原风险,造成疾病引入和传播,甚至生物入侵,严重危害水产养殖业的发展。水生动物进口风险评估(IRA),是指从别国或地区进口水生动物活体包括其受精卵、稚鱼、幼鱼、苗种、成体以及商品等的风险分析。风险分析是指对风险事件进行科学、透明、系统分析的一个过程,它由危害识别、风险评估、风险交流和风险管理4个部分构成。目前,常用的风险评估方法有定性风险评估、半定量风险评估和定量风险评估3种。定性风险评估具有灵活性强、适用范围广、易掌握的特点,能够综合各种资料、数据和信息,尤其适合初次风险评估,但容易受评估人员主观因素的影响。定量风险评估可避免主观因素的影响,评估结果准确、可靠,但需要收集大量数据,工作量巨大,评估成本也很高。通常,定性评估结果若能够提供很好的防范措施,则不必进行定量评估。将外来水生病原阻止在引进之初远比引入后根除更加容易。因此,开展水生动物进口风险评估对于阻止水生动物疾病传播和水生态环境破坏具有重要意义,同时也可为各国进行水产贸易提供参考。     

进境台湾果蔬主要病虫风险评估与早期监测预警

[目的] 定量评估进境台湾果蔬主要病虫在大陆的入侵风险,为早期监测预警提供依据。[方法] 首先,基于外来物种传入、定殖、扩散和危害的一般过程,构建了包括4个层次26个指标的进境台湾果蔬有害生物入侵综合风险评估指标体系,规范了风险指数的计算方法,评估了14种病虫随台湾果蔬入侵的综合风险;其次,利用气候生态位模型预测了它们在我国的适生区;最后,融合进境台湾果蔬到达港口、物流中转站、集散地和主要病虫的适生区的空间分布,通过空间叠加分析划定了它们在我国传入并定殖的风险区及其空间异质性。[结果] 14种被评估病虫在我国的综合风险值均大于0.7,属高风险等级。14种病虫在我国都存在广阔的适生区,但不同物种适生区的面积和空间分布存在差异。福建、广东、海南等东部和南部沿海地区是它们适生区的高度重叠区,超过95%的台湾果蔬到达港口、物流中转和集散地的集中分布区,潜在的入侵风险极高。[结论] 进境台湾果蔬贸易能够促进或加剧外来有害生物的入侵。研究进一步证实了台湾已经并将继续成为大陆外来有害生物入侵的踏板。建议进一步加强海关检疫、开展和完善监测预警等措施预防和控制有害生物入侵,为农业生物安全提供保障。     

树莓疫霉根腐病入侵我国的风险分析

[目的] 树莓疫霉根腐病是全球树莓种植业的最主要病害,也是我国《进境植物检疫性有害生物名录》中的检疫性病害之一。随着我国树莓引种和种植面积的不断增加,其入侵和发生的风险也在不断升高,有必要对该病传入我国风险进行分析。[方法] 采用有害生物风险分析程序对其进行安全性评估,并应用多指标综合评价方法,对树莓疫霉根腐病菌的入侵风险进行定性和定量分析,计算综合风险值后再确定其入侵的风险等级。[结果] 树莓疫霉根腐病菌是对中国树莓产业具有潜在威胁的有害生物,其综合风险值(R)为2.22。[结论] 树莓疫霉根腐病菌属于高风险的有害生物,建议我国各个种苗进境口岸的检疫部门加强对该病的检疫力度,严防其传入我国。     

红火蚁在云南的入侵风险分析

[背景]红火蚁是一种严重威胁公共设施、动植物和人类安全的重要害虫,在国际上被列为极具破坏性和攻击性的入侵生物之一。自2004年在我国大陆广东省首次发现以来,其发生范围急剧扩大,目前已扩散至南方多个省份。[方法]通过分析该虫进入、定殖和扩散的可能性、危害影响和危害管理难度等5个方面,依据国际植物检疫措施标准（ISPM）中的有害生物风险分析原则,利用云南外来入侵有害生物多指标综合评价体系,对红火蚁在云南的入侵风险进行评估。[结果]通过定性和定量风险分析,对其入侵云南的风险做出综合评价,得出风险评估值R=2．25。[结论与意义]红火蚁在云南属高度风险的有害生物,需在云南各口岸进境检疫中实施相应的风险管理,分析结果可为云南省开展红火蚁的检疫防控提供参考。     

双雄雀麦传入中国的风险评估

【目的】原产地中海地区的双雄雀麦,已成为入侵地的重要农田杂草,给多国农牧业生产带来重大损失。我国口岸已多次从进境动植物及其产品中截获双雄雀麦,应对其入侵风险进行评估。【方法】参照有害生物风险分析程序对其危害性进行评估,应用多指标综合评估方法确定其入侵我国的风险等级。【结果】通过定性和半定量风险分析,得出双雄雀麦在中国的综合风险值(R)为2.12。【结论】双雄雀麦在我国属高风险有害生物,建议口岸检疫部门加强入境农产品的检疫监管和监测调查,及时发现并进行防除。     

Estimation of the probability of insect pest introduction through imported commodities

A quantitative risk assessment is needed for each quarantine pest insect to ensure quarantine security without sacrificing the transparency of international trade. The probability of introduction, which is defined as the probability that one or more reproductive individuals of a pest insect species pass the port, is one of the basic components determining the risk of pest invasion. The probability depends on two biological characteristics of pests: mode of reproduction and spatial distribution of insects per host plant. In this article, the probability of introduction was calculated for each of the following four categories: (1) bisexual, gregarious pests; (2) bisexual, solitary pests; (3) parthenogenetic, gregarious pests; and (4) parthenogenetic, solitary pests. Then, equations were derived to predict the effects of two prevention practices conducted before export: disinfestation treatment and the subsequent export sampling inspection of consignments. These equations also enable estimation of the probability of introduction under natural mortality, which thus can be used in place of the criterion of Maximum Pest Limit (MPL). The method was applied to the Mexican fruit fly Anastrepha ludens (Loew), as an example. The contour graph of the probability of introduction indicated the optimal combination of the intensity of two prevention practices that ensures a given security level. Existence of an antagonistic interaction was also indicated between the disinfestation treatment and the subsequent sampling inspection. Received: January 22, 1999 / Accepted: September 6, 1999     

中国—东盟重大农业入侵有害生物预警与防控研究进展

中国—东盟自贸区的建设和运行,促进了东盟农产品特别是热带水果向中国的输入,随之极大地提高了东盟农业有害生物入侵中国的风险。如何保障东盟农产品输入中国同时又能有效阻断农业有害生物的入侵是亟需解决的重大难题。为此,2011年中华人民共和国科学技术部批准设立了国家国际科技合作重大专项"中国—东盟重大农业外来有害生物预警与防控平台",华南、云南地区及越南、泰国、菲律宾、缅甸、老挝、柬埔寨东盟6个国家的专家学者组建了联合攻关团队,建立了中国—东盟重大农业入侵有害生物预警与防控技术支撑平台,对东盟农业有害生物的基础数据库、风险评估、快速鉴定、口岸监测、检疫处理和应急防控等关键技术开展系统研究,创建了以"境外监测与指导防控、口岸检验与检疫处理和境内应急防控"为核心的防控东盟农业有害生物入侵的技术体系,并在中国—东盟自贸区内示范应用。     

褐纹甘蔗象风险分析及其风险管理

通过对褐纹甘蔗象在国内外的分布情况及国内寄主植物分布、适生范围、传播渠道、检疫管理措施等指标的定性和半定量的风险分析,得出其在我国属于中度危险的林业有害生物(其风险评估值为R=1.746),对我国种植面积广泛的棕榈科植物构成了较大的威胁。建议在有其寄主分布的省份将其列入林业检疫性有害生物省级补充名单进行管理,防止其在我国继续扩散危害,并提出了国内检疫管理的措施。     

椰子织蛾传入中国及其海南省的风险性分析

【背景】椰子织蛾原产于印度和斯里兰卡,现主要分布于南亚和东南亚,是椰子、中东海枣、蒲葵等多种棕榈科植物的重要害虫。我国目前尚无椰子织蛾发生为害的报道;但从适生性的角度看,该虫的地理分布区与我国南方棕榈植物分布区具有相似的生物气候,理论上我国热带、亚热带的广大区域是椰子织蛾的潜在地理分布区。鉴于其危害严重性,一旦入侵,其危险程度将超过已在我国发生的重要入侵害虫椰心叶甲。【方法】根据国际植物检疫措施标准（ISPM）规定的有害生物风险性分析（PRA）程序,利用相关风险性分析模型,从国内外分布状况、潜在的危害性、受害寄主的经济重要性、传播扩散的可能性及危险性管理难度5个方面,对椰子织蛾在中国及其海南省的风险性进行定性、定量分析。【结果】椰子织蛾在中国及其海南省的风险值（R）分别为2．20和2．30,在我国属于高度危险性有害生物。【结论与意义】本研究可为制定椰子织蛾的检疫管理对策提供依据。     

城市绿地外来物种风险分析体系构建及其在上海世博会管理中的应用

外来物种风险分析是防止生物入侵的有效手段之一。本文按照风险识别、风险评估和风险管理3个阶段,构建了城市绿地外来物种风险分析体系。文中提出了4个层次、26个指标构成风险评估指标体系,此体系囊括了城市绿地外来物种的传入、定殖、扩散、危害等入侵风险形成的基本要素,并规范了风险指数的计算方法。以2010年上海世博会引进日本景观苗木可能携带的外来物种为对象,对该体系在生产实践中进行了应用。结果表明:高风险物种共7种,涉及害虫4种、植物病原微生物2种、植物线虫1种;中风险物种共10种,涉及害虫3种、植物病原微生物4种、植物线虫3种;低、极低风险物种各1种。根据风险分析结果,对以上物种提出了有针对性的风险管理措施。实践表明,该风险分析体系实用性强,在上海世博会植物引种过程中为防止外来物种入侵起到了较好的预警效果,为管理者提供了有价值的决策参考,有力保障了上海世博会期间的生态安全。     

澳大利亚输华农林产品口岸有害生物截获概况

【目的】口岸截获有害生物的数据分析可为进境农林产品检疫监管提供依据。【方法】对澳大利亚自2010至2015年输华农林产品及其入境口岸有害生物截获情况做综合分析。【结果】2010—2015年从澳大利亚输华农林产品货物中截获各类检疫性有害生物115种。其中,粮谷中以截获的杂草种类和截获频次最多,分别达到59种和31801批次;木材及木制品中以截获的蠹虫最多,达43种,共2456批次;从水果和种苗中截获病原菌6种,共79批次。另外,从入境旅客携带物中共截获检疫性有害生物9种,共66批次。【结论】澳大利亚输华农林产品可携带的检疫性有害生物自口岸传入的风险较高,相关部门应加强口岸检疫工作。     

Plant Quarantine as a Measure Against Invasive Alien Species: The Framework of the International Plant Protection Convention and the plant health regulations in the European Union

The introduction of several plant pests into Europe in the 19th century with disastrous consequences called for the development of plant quarantine measures to prevent the spread and introduction of pests of plants and plant products. With the purpose of harmonising these measures, and of promoting measures for pest control, the International Plant Protection Convention (IPPC) was developed to address organisms that are both directly and indirectly injurious to plants. It supplies a framework for measures against invasive alien species according to the Convention on Biological Diversity, as far as they are plant pests. Three examples of invasive alien species within the scope of the IPPC are given in the article: the fungus Ceratocystis fagacearum, the pinewood nematode Bursaphelenchus xylophilus and the flatworm Arthurdendyus triangulatus. In its 1997 revision, the IPPC provides for the establishment of International Standards for Phytosanitary Measures, being acknowledged by the Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures of the World Trade Organisation. Standards most important for invasive alien species are those on pest risk analysis, on requirements for the establishment of pest-free areas, on surveillance, on pest eradication programmes, and on the import and release of exotic biological agents. Phytosanitary regulations in the European Union (EU) have been harmonised and up to now have regulated about 300 plant pests. The requirements also have a protective horizontal effect against the unintentional introduction of many other species, but the existing broader IPPC mandate for alien plant pests is not fully applied by the EU regulations. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

A rigorous yet simple quantitative risk assessment method for quarantine pests and non-native organisms

Internationally recognised guidelines for the assessment of risk posed by non‐native organisms generally suggest that the assessment is disaggregated into a series of components each being scored and then the scores added or averaged to give the final result. Assigning odds instead of scores allows a more rigorous probabilistic treatment of the data, which can offer more effective discrimination between organisms. For each component of the assessment, the odds express how likely is the evidence if the organism poses a risk as a quarantine pest. According to Bayesian theory, the odds for all components are multiplied together and the product divided by itself plus one to give the probability that the organism poses a risk as a quarantine pest given the evidence available (assuming that the prior probability is neutral). A general illustration of the different distributions of outcomes obtained from score averaging and probability is provided. The approach is then applied to a set of risk assessments for 256 potential quarantine pests compiled for Tanzania in 1997. The greater discrimination between cases may help improve communication between risk assessment scientists and regulatory decision makers.     

The status quo of invasive alien insect species and plant quarantine in Korea

The recent increase in agricultural commodities from abroad and travelers due to the economic growth and globalization in Korea has resulted in an increase in invasive alien insect species establishing in Korea. When “alien” is defined as species introduced after the beginning of the Greater Korean Empire Era (1897), 171 insect species are considered invasive alien species. On average, 0.85 alien insect species have become established each year for the last 40 years, and 76.6% of the alien insect species are economic agricultural pests. The annual invasion rate and the pest interceptions from imported cut flowers, planting material, and vegetables have been increasing rapidly. Traveler's baggage is an important pathway for fruit flies. Most of the alien pests that were first found in Japan were confirmed in Korea at least 3 years later until the 1990s, but the pattern has been reversed since the 2000s. Thus, continuous information sharing with neighboring countries such as Japan and China is needed to develop a system for early detection and prompt action against invading insect species. Thus, we introduce and summarize the present status of invasive alien insect species in Korea.