| The current and future potential geographic range of West Indian fruit fly,Anastrepha obliqua （Diptera： Tephritidae） |
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| 作者姓名： | Liao Fu Zhi-Hong Li Guan-Sheng Huang Xing-Xia WU Wen-Long Ni Wei-Wei Qu |
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| 作者单位： | [1]College of Agriculture and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University [2]General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of People＇s Republic of China, Beijing, China |
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| 基金项目： | The authors thank Dr. Kriticos at CSIRO for providing the climate data for this research. We are also grateful to Professor Stauffer at Pennsylvania State University for his valuable suggestions and modifying the draft. We thank all members of the Plant Quarantine and Invasion Biology Laboratory of China Agricultural University （CAUPQL）. This study received financial support from MOA project （2012-Z15）. |
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| 摘 要： | The West Indian fruit fly, Anastrepha obliqua （Macquart）, is one of the most important pests throughout the Americas. CLIMEX 3.0 and ArcGIS 9.3 were used to model the current and future potential geographical distribution of this pest. Under current climatic conditions, A. obliqua is predicted to be able to establish throughout much of the tropics and subtropics, including not only North and South America, where it has been reported, but also southern Asia, northeastern Australia and Sub-Saharan Africa. The main factors limiting the pest＇s range expansion may be cold stress. Climate change expands the potential distribution of A. obliqua poleward as cold stress boundaries recede, but the predicted distribution in northwestern Australia and northern parts of Sub-Saharan Africa will decrease because of heat stress. Considering the widely suitable range for A. obliqua globally and in China, enhanced quarantine and monitoring measures should be implemented in areas that are projected to be suitable for the establishment of the pest under current and future climatic conditions.
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| 关 键 词： | 地理范围 实蝇科 西印度 双翅目 亚热带地区 CLIMEX ArcGIS 气候条件 |
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