起伏型时间序列分析方法在害虫测报上的应用

介绍了起伏型时间序列（analysisforwavetypetimeseries）害虫预测方法。对安徽省凤阳县稻纵卷叶螟四（2）代蛾主峰高峰日进行建模预测，对历史资料的拟合和1989、1990两年的试报，结果令人满意。这是一种新的时间序列分析法。

Prediction of insect pests by application of analysis for wave-type time series

From the analysis for wave-type time series, the authors deduced the model forecasting thedata of the peak of fourth generation for Cnaphalocrocis medinalis Guenee at Feng Yang, in AnhuiProvince, China. The results are completely coincided with the actual occurrence of the pest in eachyear and the accuracy of forecast for 1989-1990 was right. the adoption of new technique will contribute to developing the long-term forecast ot insect pests.