Weather-Related Flood and Landslide Damage: A Risk Index for Italian Regions

The frequency of natural hazards has been increasing in the last decades in Europe and specifically in Mediterranean regions due to climate change. For example heavy precipitation events can lead to disasters through the interaction with exposed and vulnerable people and natural systems. It is therefore necessary a prevention planning to preserve human health and to reduce economic losses. Prevention should mainly be carried out with more adequate land management, also supported by the development of an appropriate risk prediction tool based on weather forecasts. The main aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between weather types (WTs) and the frequency of floods and landslides that have caused damage to properties, personal injuries, or deaths in the Italian regions over recent decades. In particular, a specific risk index (WT-FLARI) for each WT was developed at national and regional scale. This study has identified a specific risk index associated with each weather type, calibrated for each Italian region and applicable to both annual and seasonal levels. The risk index represents the seasonal and annual vulnerability of each Italian region and indicates that additional preventive actions are necessary for some regions. The results of this study represent a good starting point towards the development of a tool to support policy-makers, local authorities and health agencies in planning actions, mainly in the medium to long term, aimed at the weather damage reduction that represents an important issue of the World Meteorological Organization mission.     

Phenotype and Hierarchy of Two Transgenic T Cell Lines Targeting the Respiratory Syncytial Virus KdM282-90 Epitope Is Transfer Dose-Dependent

In this study, we compared two lines of transgenic CD8+ T cells specific for the same K^dM2_82-90 epitope of respiratory syncytial virus in the CB6F1 hybrid mouse model. Here we found that these two transgenic lines had similar in vivo abilities to control viral load after respiratory syncytial virus infection using adoptive transfer. Transfer of the TRBV13-2 line resulted in higher levels of IL-6 and MIP1-α in the lung than TRBV13-1 transfer. Interestingly, when large numbers of cells were co-transferred, the lines formed a hierarchy, with TRBV13-2 being immunodominant over TRBV13-1 in the mediastinal lymph node despite no identifiable difference in proliferation or apoptosis between the lines. This hierarchy was not established when lower cell numbers were transferred. The phenotype and frequency of proliferating cells were also cell transfer dose-dependent with higher percentages of CD127^loCD62L^loKLRG1^lo and proliferating cells present when lower numbers of cells were transferred. These results illustrate the importance of cell number in adoptive transfer experiments and its influence on the phenotype and hierarchy of the subsequent T cell response.     

Acceleration of cyanobacterial dominance in north temperate‐subarctic lakes during the Anthropocene

Increases in atmospheric temperature and nutrients from land are thought to be promoting the expansion of harmful cyanobacteria in lakes worldwide, yet to date there has been no quantitative synthesis of long‐term trends. To test whether cyanobacteria have increased in abundance over the past ~ 200 years and evaluate the relative influence of potential causal mechanisms, we synthesised 108 highly resolved sedimentary time series and 18 decadal‐scale monitoring records from north temperate‐subarctic lakes. We demonstrate that: (1) cyanobacteria have increased significantly since c. 1800 ce , (2) they have increased disproportionately relative to other phytoplankton, and (3) cyanobacteria increased more rapidly post c. 1945 ce . Variation among lakes in the rates of increase was explained best by nutrient concentration (phosphorus and nitrogen), and temperature was of secondary importance. Although cyanobacterial biomass has declined in some managed lakes with reduced nutrient influx, the larger spatio‐temporal scale of sedimentary records show continued increases in cyanobacteria throughout the north temperate‐subarctic regions.     

Urban-Hazard Risk Analysis: Mapping of Heat-Related Risks in the Elderly in Major Italian Cities

BackgroundShort-term impacts of high temperatures on the elderly are well known. Even though Italy has the highest proportion of elderly citizens in Europe, there is a lack of information on spatial heat-related elderly risks.ObjectivesDevelopment of high-resolution, heat-related urban risk maps regarding the elderly population (≥65).MethodsA long time-series (2001–2013) of remote sensing MODIS data, averaged over the summer period for eleven major Italian cities, were downscaled to obtain high spatial resolution (100 m) daytime and night-time land surface temperatures (LST). LST was estimated pixel-wise by applying two statistical model approaches: 1) the Linear Regression Model (LRM); 2) the Generalized Additive Model (GAM). Total and elderly population density data were extracted from the Joint Research Centre population grid (100 m) from the 2001 census (Eurostat source), and processed together using “Crichton’s Risk Triangle” hazard-risk methodology for obtaining a Heat-related Elderly Risk Index (HERI).ResultsThe GAM procedure allowed for improved daytime and night-time LST estimations compared to the LRM approach. High-resolution maps of daytime and night-time HERI levels were developed for inland and coastal cities. Urban areas with the hazardous HERI level (very high risk) were not necessarily characterized by the highest temperatures. The hazardous HERI level was generally localized to encompass the city-centre in inland cities and the inner area in coastal cities. The two most dangerous HERI levels were greater in the coastal rather than inland cities.ConclusionsThis study shows the great potential of combining geospatial technologies and spatial demographic characteristics within a simple and flexible framework in order to provide high-resolution urban mapping of daytime and night-time HERI. In this way, potential areas for intervention are immediately identified with up-to-street level details. This information could support public health operators and facilitate coordination for heat-related emergencies.     

Genetic variation and drought response in two Populus × euramericana genotypes through 2-DE proteomic analysis of leaves from field and glasshouse cultivated plants

Genotype and water deficit effects on leaf 2-DE protein profiles of two Populus deltoides × Populus nigra, cv. ‘Agathe_F’ and ‘Cima’, were analysed over a short-term period of 18 days in glasshouse using 4-month-old rooted cuttings and over a long-lasting period of 86 days in open field using 4-year-old rooted cuttings. Leaf proteomes were analyzed using two-dimensional gel electrophoresis, and proteins were identified after database searching from MS peptide spectra.A reliable genotype effect was observed in the leaf proteome over experiment locations, water regimes and sampling dates. Quantitative differences between genotypes were found. Most of them corresponded to proteins matching isoforms or post-translational modification variants. However, ‘Cima’ displayed the highest abundance of antioxidant enzymes.In response to water deficit, about 10% of the reproducible spots significantly varied regardless of the experiment location, among which about 25% also displayed genotype-dependent variations. As a whole, while ‘Cima’ differed from ‘Agathe_F’ by increased abundance of enzymes involved in photorespiration and in oxidative stress, ‘Agathe_F’ was mainly differentiated by increased abundance of enzymes involved in photosynthesis.     

Phytoplankton assemblage at equilibrium in large and deep subalpine lakes: a case study from Lago Maggiore (N. Italy)

In 1996, we studied the phytoplankton seasonal succession in Lago Maggiore (N. Italy) through weekly sampling. Such a frequency enabled us to evaluate the changes of the phytoplankton assemblage in the light of the equilibrium and non-equilibrium theories. The distinct phases of changing of the species composition were identified separating the samples by means of cluster analysis and non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS). We recognised well distinct phytoplankton associations, whose seasonal succession followed a clear cyclic path throughout the year, with spring and summer phases respectively characterised by a rapid turn-over of the assemblages and by a relative stability. Moreover, we observed an increase of species number and Shannon-Wiener diversity during the spring, followed by a summer decline of the diversity in spite of an unchanged species number. Because of the dominance of the same few species for about two months during summer, coupled with small fluctuations of the total biomass, we could identify the summer assemblage as a steady state assemblage. The aim of the present contribution, although describing the whole seasonal succession, is to draw the attention towards the species composition at the steady state, taking into account the functional properties of the species involved. The possible role of the metalimnetic niche in selecting a particular summer assemblage in deep and large lakes will be discussed.