Beiträge zur Kenntniss der adriatischen Algen

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Twenty Years After Decollectivization: Mobile Livestock Husbandry and Its Ecological Impact in the Mongolian Forest-Steppe

The socioeconomics and the ecological impact of nomadic pastoralism were analyzed using interviews with 87 herder families and secondary information in the western Khangai, Mongolia. The pastoralists had an income above the national average for rural areas in Mongolia. Most herders continued traditional seasonal migration patterns, which involved ca. 10 moves per year over a total distance of ca. 100 km between summer and winter grazing grounds. As elsewhere in Mongolia, the number of goats owned by herders has greatly increased and cashmere has become the main source of cash income. Total livestock numbers rose considerably after decollectivization of the livestock sector in 1992, but in recent years have periodically been reduced by harsh winters, often combined with drought. Due to the high economic risk of these periodic livestock losses, many herders invest in better education for their children to enable them to migrate to the cities.     

Structure determination of the O-specific polysaccharides from Citrobacter O4- and O27-lipopolysaccharides by methylation analysis and one- and two-dimensional 1H-NMR spectroscopy

Using sugar and methylation analyses, and one- and two-dimensional 1H-NMR spectroscopy at 500 MHz it was established that poly-beta-1,2-4-deoxy-D-arabinohexopyranose occurs as O-specific chains of lipopolysaccharides in Citrobacter serotypes O4, O27 and O36. Strong serological cross-reactivity between these serotypes is in full agreement with the chemical identity of their O-specific polysaccharides.     

Structure elucidation of the core regions from Citrobacter O4 and O36 lipopolysaccharides by chemical and enzymatic methods, gas chromatography/mass spectrometry, and NMR spectroscopy at 500 MHz

Novel enterobacterial core oligosaccharides were isolated from Citrobacter O4 and O36 lipopolysaccharides, and their structures were determined by methylation analysis, Smith degradation and enzymatic degradations, gas chromatography/mass spectrometry, and two-dimensional phase-sensitive correlated, relayed coherence transfer, double-quantum, triple-quantum-filtered, and nuclear Overhauser effect (NOE) 1H NMR spectroscopy at 500 MHz. In the formulas, all hexose residues are D-hexopyranoses, and heptoses are L-glycero-D-manno-heptopyranoses; the alternative locations of the side-chain heptose and pyrophosphorylethanolamine (PPEtN) residues are marked by dashed lines; dOclA stands for 3-deoxy-D-manno-octulosonic acid. (formula; see text) Along with these complete cores, incomplete ones, lacking the hexosamine trisaccharides, occur in the lipopolysaccharides of both types. Qualitative NOE data were in good agreement with the minimum energy conformation of the above O36 oligosaccharide, calculated with the aid of the SUGAR program [Sundin, A., Carter, R. E., & Liljefors, T. (1988) J. Mol. Graphics (in press)].     

Estimation of a common odds ratio in case-control studies of familial aggregation

A new estimator of a common odds ratio is proposed for case-control studies of familial aggregation. The proposed estimator is a modification to the usual Mantel-Haenszel estimator that relies on an empirical adjustment for the within-family clustering which is typical of such designs. A simulation study shows that the estimator tends to have smaller mean squared error than the unmodified Mantel-Haenszel estimator under conditions likely to arise in practice. The construction of confidence intervals is also discussed.     

Structure elucidation of the core octasaccharide from Citrobacter PCM 1487 with the aid of 500-MHz, two-dimensional phase-sensitive correlated, relayed-coherence transfer, double-quantum, triple-quantum filtered, and N.O.E. H-n.m.r. spectra

The main features of the primary structure of the octasaccharide, - -Glcp-(1→2)-- -Glcp-(1→2)-[- -GalpNAc- (1→3)]-- -Galp-(1→3)-- -Glcp-(1→3)-[- -Hepp-(1→7)]-- -Hepp-(1→3)-- -Hep, have been determined in the ab initio manner by ¹H-n.m.r. spectroscopy without resorting to biochemical methods of analysis. Several nontypical interresidue n.O.e. values point to a preferred solution conformation of the molecule.     

A comparative study of conditional maximum likelihood estimation of a common odds ratio

The finite-sample properties of various point estimators of a common odds ratio from multiple 2 X 2 tables have been considered in a number of simulation studies. However, the conditional maximum likelihood estimator has received only limited attention. That omission is partially rectified here for cases of relatively small numbers of tables and moderate to large within-table sample sizes. The conditional maximum likelihood estimator is found to be superior to the unconditional maximum likelihood estimator, and equal or superior to the Mantel-Haenszel estimator in both bias and precision.     

Bidirectional effect of met-enkephalin on macrophage effector functions

Summary Met-enkephalin (ME) exerts a bimodal effect on functional activities of rat peritoneal macrophages (PM); in a range of low concentration (10^-9-10^-7 M) antibody dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC)was markedly stimulated with a simultaneous decrease of Fc receptor (FcR) mediated phagocytosis while the opposite was observed at 10^-6-10^-5 M concentrations.Studying the possible underlying mechanism(s) the followings were recorded: (1) ME in all applied concentrations induced an early Na⁺ influx which was followed by a Ca²⁺ efflux in the range of low concentrations. In the range of high concentrations Na⁺ influx was accompanied by a Ca²⁺ influx. (2) ME at 10^-8 M concentration induced a rise in cGMP level with a plateau in the 60–120th min of incubation. This effect was prevented by 10^-5 M of naloxone. At 10^-6 M concentration a transient rise of cAMP level was recorded which was not affected by naloxone. (3) Verapamil in 10^-6 M abolished both the Ca²⁺ influx and the rise in cAMP level induced by 10^-6-10^-5 M ME but not the rise in cGMP level induced by lower ME concentrations. (4) cAMP elevation by high ME concentrations was abolished by enkephalinase inhibitory puromycin. (5) PM-enkephalinase as assessed by the cleavage of fluorogenic substrate L-alanine beta naphthylamide (ABNA), was inhibited by 10^-6-10^-5 M of ME. This inhibition was abolished by verapamil, but not affected by naloxone. In the range of low concentrations ME appears to act on specific delta opioid receptors and its action is positively coupled to guanylate cyclase. In relatively higher concentrations ME-action is not mediated by specific delta opioid receptors and it appears to involve Ca²⁺ influx, adenylate cyclase activation as well as the processing of hormone by PM-enkephalinase.     

Increased Summer Temperatures Reduce the Growth and Regeneration of Larix sibirica in Southern Boreal Forests of Eastern Kazakhstan

The larch forests at the southern limit of the Siberian boreal forest in Central Asia have repeatedly experienced strong recent growth declines attributed to decreasing summer precipitation in the course of climate warming. Here, we present evidence from the southernmost Larix sibirica forests in eastern Kazakhstan that these declines are primarily caused by a decrease in effective moisture due to increasing summer temperatures, despite constant annual, and summer precipitation. Tree-ring chronologies (>800 trees) showed a reduction by 50–80% in mean ring width and an increase in the frequency of missing rings since the 1970s. Climate-response analysis revealed a stronger (negative) effect of summer temperature (in particular of the previous year’s June and July temperature) on radial growth than summer precipitation (positive effect). It is assumed that a rise in the atmospheric vapor pressure deficit, which typically increases with temperature, is negatively affecting tree water status and radial growth, either directly or indirectly through reduced soil moisture. Larch rejuvenation ceased in the 1950s, which is partly explained by increasing topsoil desiccation in a warmer climate and a high drought susceptibility of larch germination, as was demonstrated by a germination experiment with variable soil moisture levels. The lack of regeneration and the reduced annual stem increment suggest that sustainable forest management aiming at timber harvesting is no longer feasible in these southern boreal forests. Progressive climate warming is likely to cause a future northward shift of the southern limit of the boreal forest.     

An IDEA for Short Term Outbreak Projection: Nearcasting Using the Basic Reproduction Number

Background

Communicable disease outbreaks of novel or existing pathogens threaten human health around the globe. It would be desirable to rapidly characterize such outbreaks and develop accurate projections of their duration and cumulative size even when limited preliminary data are available. Here we develop a mathematical model to aid public health authorities in tracking the expansion and contraction of outbreaks with explicit representation of factors (other than population immunity) that may slow epidemic growth.

Methodology

The Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment (IDEA) model is a parsimonious function that uses the basic reproduction number R₀, along with a discounting factor to project the growth of outbreaks using only basic epidemiological information (e.g., daily incidence counts).

Principal Findings

Compared to simulated data, IDEA provides highly accurate estimates of total size and duration for a given outbreak when R₀ is low or moderate, and also identifies turning points or new waves. When tested with an outbreak of pandemic influenza A (H1N1), the model generates estimated incidence at the i+1^th serial interval using data from the i^th serial interval within an average of 20% of actual incidence.

Conclusions and Significance

This model for communicable disease outbreaks provides rapid assessments of outbreak growth and public health interventions. Further evaluation in the context of real-world outbreaks will establish the utility of IDEA as a tool for front-line epidemiologists.