金双歧辅助治疗小儿扁桃体炎的随访观察

目的探讨通过随访观察金双歧辅助治疗小儿扁桃体炎患儿的远期效果。方法选取2013年1月至2014年7月在本院儿科住院诊断为扁桃体炎患儿300例,采用随机数字表法,按入院先后顺序分为对照组和观察组,对照组常规给予抗生素(包括抗病毒药)和(或)对症治疗;观察组在对照组治疗的基础上,给予金双歧口服辅助治疗,出院后继续服用金双歧4周;两组患儿分别在出院后1个月、2个月、3个月均进行电话随访,3个月后均通过家庭访视进行观察,比较两组患儿出院后发生呼吸道感染和肠道感染的差异。结果观察组患儿在出院后3个月内呼吸道感染和肠道感染的发生率低于对照组,差异具有统计学意义(P0.05)。结论出院扁桃体炎患儿继续服用金双歧,可提高患儿机体免疫力,降低呼吸道和肠道感染的发生率;随访为观察患儿出院后健康状态,进行健康指导以及收集资料的重要手段。     

基于网络的肾癌随访系统的建立与应用

目的:肾癌是泌尿系常见肿瘤,需长期随访,传统统计及随访方式已逐渐不能适应现代临床及科研需求,我们尝试建立基于网络的肾癌随访系统,满足临床实际工作和科研需求。方法:以Microsoft Office Access 2007软件构建数据库管理系统,分为资料录入模块、检索分析模块、网络随访模块,选取我院2008.5至2012.12收治的132例肾癌患者,将资料录入已建成的数据库,利用网络随访辅助传统随访方式进行随访。结果:构建的肾癌随访数据库,能够实现授权账户登录,检索、分析、肿瘤自动评级等功能,可根据不同检索条件筛选出适合病历,在传统随访方式的基础上联合应用网络随访方式可提高随访效率及随访率,并能获得更详实的随访资料。结论:基于网络的肾癌随访系统操作简便,能够实现无纸化管理,数据详实,检索便捷,为科学制定治疗方案提供帮助,可一定程度上提高随访率及随访效率,降低失访率和患者就医成本。     

Development of thyroid dysfunction among women with excessive iodine intake – A 3-year follow-up

ObjectivesThyroid dysfunction can be a result of excessive iodine intake, which may have adverse health consequences, particularly for women in fertile age. In 2010, we conducted a cross-sectional study among lactating women with excessive iodine intake in the Saharawi refugee camps in Algeria and found a high prevalence of thyroid dysfunction. Three years later, we conducted a follow-up study to monitor the iodine situation and explore whether thyroid dysfunction still was highly prevalent when the women no longer were post-partum. None of the women were treated for hyper- or hypothyroidism between baseline and follow-up.MethodsIn 2013, we were able to recapture 78 of the 111 women from the baseline. Thyroid hormones and antibodies were measured in serum and thyroid size was assessed by palpation. Urinary iodine concentration (UIC) and drinking water iodine concentration were measured.ResultsThe overall prevalence of thyroid dysfunction and/or positive antibodies was 34.3% and was not significantly changed from baseline. Of the non-pregnant women we reexamined, 17 had hypo- or hyperthyroidism in 2010; among these, 12 women still had abnormal thyroid function at follow-up. In addition, we found 9 new cases with marginally abnormal thyroid function. Women with thyroid dysfunction and/or positive antibodies had significantly higher BMI and thyroglobulin than women with normal thyroid function. We also found that women with high breast milk iodine concentration (BMIC) at baseline had more thyroid dysfunction at follow-up than the women with lower BMIC at baseline.ConclusionsAt follow-up, the prevalence of thyroid dysfunction was still high and had not changed during the 3 years between studies and from a postpartum period. The women still had a high iodine intake indicated by high UIC. Breast milk iodine concentration from baseline predicted thyroid dysfunction at follow-up.     

新疆地区家庭肠内营养应用情况分析

目的:随着新疆地区医疗技术的进步,进行家庭肠内营养支持的患者越来越多.本研究旨在了解新疆地区家庭肠内营养实施现状,以便提出针对性建议.方法:患者出院时,进行肠内营养指导,教育.详细记录患者信息,患者出院后进行电话跟踪随访,出院后,由营养科专人按既定计划对病人进行随访,于病人出院后3天、15天进行电话随访,对于长期HEN支持的病人,以后每月1次.了解肠内营养使用情况并针对遇到的问题给出专业建议.结果:使用的肠内营养制剂包括商品化制剂、自制制剂及二者的联合使用.66.9％的患者使用注射器输注.常见的问题是堵管和肠内营养相关腹泻.结论:在科学指导下,家庭营养支持是安全可行的.通过我们近几年在家庭肠内营养所开展的工作,可以看出在科学指导下,患者及亲属的家庭护理能力将得到提高,家庭营养支持是安全可行的,同时在很大程度上减少了病人的治疗费用和负担.相信随着人民生活水平的不断提高和社会医疗保险的改革,HEN会更加普及.     

Parameter estimation in longitudinal studies with outcome-dependent follow-up

In many observational studies, individuals are measured repeatedly over time, although not necessarily at a set of prespecified occasions. Instead, individuals may be measured at irregular intervals, with those having a history of poorer health outcomes being measured with somewhat greater frequency and regularity; i.e., those individuals with poorer health outcomes may have more frequent follow-up measurements and the intervals between their repeated measurements may be shorter. In this article, we consider estimation of regression parameters in models for longitudinal data where the follow-up times are not fixed by design but can depend on previous outcomes. In particular, we focus on general linear models for longitudinal data where the repeated measures are assumed to have a multivariate Gaussian distribution. We consider assumptions regarding the follow-up time process that result in the likelihood function separating into two components: one for the follow-up time process, the other for the outcome process. The practical implication of this separation is that the former process can be ignored when making likelihood-based inferences about the latter; i.e., maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the regression parameters relating the mean of the longitudinal outcomes to covariates does not require that a model for the distribution of follow-up times be specified. As a result, standard statistical software, e.g., SAS PROC MIXED (Littell et al., 1996, SAS System for Mixed Models), can be used to analyze the data. However, we also demonstrate that misspecification of the model for the covariance among the repeated measures will, in general, result in regression parameter estimates that are biased. Furthermore, results of a simulation study indicate that the potential bias due to misspecification of the covariance can be quite considerable in this setting. Finally, we illustrate these results using data from a longitudinal observational study (Lipshultz et al., 1995, New England Journal of Medicine 332, 1738-1743) that explored the cardiotoxic effects of doxorubicin chemotherapy for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia in children.     

筋膜下经内镜穿通静脉离断术治疗下肢静脉性溃疡10年临床随访

目的:探讨筋膜下经内镜穿通静脉离断术(SEPS)治疗下肢静脉性溃疡的远期临床效果。方法:收集1999年12月至2001年1月在本院接受SEPS治疗的36例患者,共40条患肢,均患有静脉性溃疡。所有患者同时行大隐静脉高位结扎及曲张浅静脉剥脱术,术后1、3、6、12个月接受随访,以后每年随访1次,随访时间10年,观察患者的近期和远期疗效。结果:所有患肢溃疡均愈合,2例复发。1条患肢出现神经损伤,2条患肢出现皮下血肿。16条患肢出现丹毒,其中5条患肢反复发作,6条患肢静脉曲张复发。结论:SEPS治疗下肢静脉性溃疡的一种有效方法,近期并发症少,远期并发症率高。在促进溃疡愈合方面与传统手术相比未见明显优势。     

冠心病三支病变置入Firebird2术后3年的随访研究

目的:通过对冠心病三支病变患者置入Firebird 2支架术后3年的随访,探讨Firebird 2支架的性能。方法:收集2009年1月~2012年12月在解放军总医院住院行冠脉造影确诊为冠心病且首次置入Firebird 2支架患者的临床资料,按术后随访时间不同分为术后3年组(70例)与术后1年组(69例),比较两组的临床资料及术后MACE的结果。结果:术后3年组再发心绞痛的比例显著高于术后1年组(33.8 vs 18.2)%,差异有统计学意义(P0.05)。而两组间性别、年龄、体重指数、SYNTAX积分、LVEF、优势血管(右)、既往史、诊断、NYHA心功能分级,MACE、再次血运重建、总死亡、非致死性心肌梗死及造影复查比例,支架总数及前降支、回旋支和右冠置入支架数比较均无统计学差异(P0.05)。结论:冠心病三支病变置入Firebird 2术后3年主要心血管不良事件的发生情况与术后1年相当,但还需大规模、多中心继续随访研究。     

Semiparametric regression estimation in the presence of dependent censoring

We propose a semiparametric estimation procedure for estimatingthe regression of an outcome Y, measured at the end of a fixedfollow-up period, on baseline explanatory variables X, measuredprior to start of follow-up, in the presence of dependent censoringgiven X. The proposed estimators are consistent when the dataare ‘missing at random’ but not ‘missing completelyat random’ (Rubin, 1976), and do not require full specificationof the complete data likelihood. Specifically, we assume thatthe probability of censoring at time t is independent of theoutcome Y conditional on the recorded history up to t of a vectorof time-dependent covariates that are correlated with Y. Ourestimators can be used to adjust for dependent censoring andnonrandom noncompliance in randomised trials studying the effectof a treatment on the mean of a response variable of interest.Even with independent censoring, our methods allow the investigatorto increase efficiency by exploiting the correlation of theoutcome with a vector of time-dependent covariates.