Inferring landscape resistance to gene flow when genetic drift is spatially heterogeneous

In connectivity models, land cover types are assigned cost values characterizing their resistance to species movements. Landscape genetic methods infer these values from the relationship between genetic differentiation and cost distances. The spatial heterogeneity of population sizes, and consequently genetic drift, is rarely included in this inference although it influences genetic differentiation. Similarly, migration rates and population spatial distributions potentially influence this inference. Here, we assessed the reliability of cost value inference under several migration rates, population spatial patterns and degrees of population size heterogeneity. Additionally, we assessed whether considering intra-population variables, here using gravity models, improved the inference when drift is spatially heterogeneous. We simulated several gene flow intensities between populations with varying local sizes and spatial distributions. We then fit gravity models of genetic distances as a function of (i) the ‘true’ cost distances driving simulations or alternative cost distances, and (ii) intra-population variables (population sizes, patch areas). We determined the conditions making the identification of the ‘true’ costs possible and assessed the contribution of intra-population variables to this objective. Overall, the inference ranked cost scenarios reliably in terms of similarity with the ‘true’ scenario (cost distance Mantel correlations), but this ‘true’ scenario rarely provided the best model goodness of fit. Ranking inaccuracies and failures to identify the ‘true’ scenario were more pronounced when migration was very restricted (<4 dispersal events/generation), population sizes were most heterogeneous and some populations were spatially aggregated. In these situations, considering intra-population variables helps identify cost scenarios reliably, thereby improving cost value inference from genetic data.     

Noncancer Risk Assessment: A Probabilistic Alternative to Current Practice

Based on imperfect data and theory, agencies such as the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) currently derive “reference doses” (RfDs) to guide risk managers charged with ensuring that human exposures to chemicals are below population thresholds. The RfD for a chemical is typically reported as a single number, even though it is widely acknowledged that there are significant uncertainties inherent in the derivation of this number.

In this article, the authors propose a probabilistic alternative to the EPA's method that expresses the human population threshold as a probability distribution of values (rather than a single RfD value), taking into account the major sources of scientific uncertainty in such estimates. The approach is illustrated using much of the same data that USEPA uses to justify their current RfD procedure.

Like the EPA's approach, our approach recognizes the four key extrapolations that are necessary to define the human population threshold based on animal data: animal to human, human heterogeneity, LOAEL to NOAEL, and subchronic to chronic. Rather than using available data to define point estimates of “uncertainty factors” for these extrapolations, the proposed approach uses available data to define a probability distribution of adjustment factors. These initial characterizations of uncertainty can then be refined when more robust or specific data become available for a particular chemical or class of chemicals.

Quantitative characterization of uncertainty in noncancer risk assessment will be useful to risk managers who face complex trade-offs between control costs and protection of public health. The new approach can help decision-makers understand how much extra control cost must be expended to achieve a specified increase in confidence that the human population threshold is not being exceeded.     

An evaluation of strategic and threshold control measures against the Karoo paralysis tick,Ixodes rubicundus (Acari: Ixodidae) in South Africa

Paralysis caused by feeding female Ixodes rubicundus ticks is a major problem in large areas of South Africa. As the life cycle of the tick extends over a period of 2 years, it was hypothesized that strategic treatment of sheep with an acaricide over a 2 year period, timed to kill most engorging females, should markedly lower the biotic potential of the tick. Two flocks of sheep grazing in separate paddocks known to be infested with I. rubicundus were treated either strategically or on a threshold basis (i.e. only when tick challenge exceeded a predetermined critical level in terms of paralysis) for a 2 year period. The tick burdens of untreated control sheep running with the two flocks were monitored over a 4 year period and their seasonal dynamics determined. The times at which peak infestations occurred were similar for both flocks of sheep, but significant differences in mean tick burdens between the two flocks were recorded. Tick numbers on sheep in the strategically treated flock did not decrease during the third and fourth years of the trial as was expected. Possible reasons for this were low stocking densities, especially during times of peak abundance of adults and the presence of wild hosts which maintained tick populations.     

Environmental and macroinvertebrate dynamics in the Lower Rhône River and a lateral dike field: a study matching two functioning descriptors

Environmental variables and macroinvertebrate communities are studied in two sites of the Lower Rhône River, the main channel and a lateral, occasionally connected dike field. Environmental variables and faunistic communities allow discrimination the two compartments. The environmental and faunistic differences the two sites change over time. The physical and chemical differences are significantly correlated with water discharge of the main channel. The faunistic ones are significantly correlated with the temperature of the dike field water. The connections between the main channel and the dike field could be very important to maintain a high heterogeneity of the habitat, and for recolonization of the main channel after a perturbation.     

华北棉区第三代棉铃虫对棉花为害损失与经济阈值的研究

通过在华北棉区棉花蕾铃期阶段,连续５ａ的田间蕾铃脱落原因的观察,明确了在第三代棉铃虫的中常发生年份,影响蕾铃期蕾铃脱落的主要因素是棉株本身的自然脱落其脱落率占总脱落的９０％以上,而因第三代棉铃虫为害造成的脱落率在５％以上。根据田间棉铃虫Ｈｅｌｉｃｏｖｅｒｐａ ａｒｍｉｇｅｒａ（ｈｕｂｎｅｒ）３龄幼虫虫量与为害力的关系研究,结合多年第三代棉铃虫田间生命表,文中提出了三代棉铃虫的经济阈值为百株累计卵量     

An examination of the thresholds of enrichment: a resource-based growth model

A model of single-species growth in the chemostat on two non-reproducing, growth-limiting, noninhibitory, perfectly substitutable resources is considered. The medium in the growth vessel is enriched by increasing the input concentration of one of the resources. Analytical methods are used to determine the effects of enrichment on the asymptotic behaviour of the model for different dilution rates. It is shown that there exists a threshold value for the dilution rate which depends on the maximal growth rate of the species on each of the resources. Provided the dilution rate is below the threshold, enrichment is beneficial in the sense that the carrying capacity of the environment is increased, regardless of which resource is used to enrich the environment. When the dilution rate is increased beyond the threshold, it becomes important to consider which resource is used for enrichment. For one of the resources it is shown that, while moderate enrichment can be beneficial, sufficient enrichment leads to the extinction of the microbial population. For the other resource, enrichment leads from washout or initial condition dependent outcomes to survival, and is thus beneficial. There are important implications of these results to the management of natural aquatic ecosystems. For example, while enrichment may be beneficial to the microbial species during the summer months, it can lead to their decimation during spring run-off, when the natural dilution rate is higher.Research partially supported by an Ontario Graduate Scholarship. This author's contribution was motivated by results in her Ph.D. thesis at McMaster UniversityResearch supported by the National Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.     

损毁和刺激垂体对大鼠痛阈的影响

采用局限性损毁和刺激垂体的方法,以行为测痛为指标,观察大鼠垂体在痛觉调节中的作用以及地塞米松（Ｄｅｘ）对其影响。实验结果显示,损毁垂体中间叶（ＩＬ）及邻近的前叶（ＡＬ）,大鼠痛阈明显低于手术前的痛阈（Ｐ＜０．０１）。电刺激垂体的上述同样部位,大鼠痛阈明显高于手术基础值及自身假刺激值（Ｐ＜０．００１）。经Ｄｅｘ处理的动物,电刺激垂体不再引起痛阈升高。结果表明,大鼠垂体ＩＬ及靠近ＡＬ与痛调节有关,这种     

大鼠侧脑室注射精氨酸加压素对针刺镇痛的影响

以钾离子透入法引起大鼠甩尾反应为指标,测定动物的痛阈。由侧脑室注射精氮酸加压素(AVP)后,大鼠痛阈升高33.6％～68.5％,针刺镇痛效应明显加强,痛阈提高202.4％～302.7％。脑室注射抗精氨酸加压素血清,动物痛阈虽无明显变化,但针刺镇痛效应明显削弱,痛阈仅增加41.6％～71.0％。注射抗β-内啡肽血清和抗强啡肽A血清并不阻断AVP增强针刺镇痛效应。本工作的结果提示,脑内AVP参与针刺镇痛,这种作用与脑内内源性β-内啡肽和强啡肽的关系不甚密切。     

Dissimilar phloem loading in leaves with symplasmic or apoplasmic minor-vein configurations

Plant species were selected on the basis of abundant or no symplasmic continuity between sieveelement-companion-cell (SE-CC) complexes and adjacent cells in the minor veins. Symplasmic continuity and discontinuity are denoted, respectively, as symplasmic and apoplasmic minor-vein configurations. Discs of predarkened leaves from which the lower epidermis had been removed, were exposed to ¹⁴CO₂. After 2 h of subsequent incubation, phloem loading in control discs and discs treated with p-chloromercuribenzenesulfonic acid (PCMBS) was recorded by autoradiography. Phloem loading was strongly suppressed by PCMBS in minor veins with symplasmically isolated SE-CC complexes (Centaurea, Impatiens, Ligularia, Pelargonium, Pisum, Symphytum). No significant inhibition of phloem loading by PCMBS was observed in minor veins containing sieve elements with abundant symplasmic connections (Epilobium, Fuchsia, Hydrangea, Oenothera, Origanum, Stachys). Phloem loading in minor veins with both types of SE-CC complex (Acanthus) had apoplasmic features. The results provide strong evidence for coincidence between the mode of phloem loading and the minor-vein configuration. The widespread occurrence of a symplasmic mode of phloem loading is postulated.Abbreviations PCMBS p-chloromercuribenzenesulfonic acid - SE-CC complex sieve-element-companion-cell complex     

水稻食叶类害虫等量损害系统与复合防治指标

稻纵卷叶螟Cnaphalocrocis.medinalis Guenèe中华稻蝗Oxya chinensis(Thunberg)稻苞虫Parnara guttatus (Bremer et Grey)是江苏地区水稻的主要食叶类害虫,取食水稻叶片,导致光合叶面积减少.剪叶模拟试验表明,水稻不同生育阶段叶面积损失率与产量损失率呈线性相关.其回归方程分蘖期、孕穗期、腊熟期分别为 D(I_t)=72.50759I_t^1.15906、D(I_t)=141.61737I_t^1.08002、D(I_t)=25.12434I_t^1.00569.在叶面积损失率相同的情况下,产量损失率孕穗期>分蘖期>腊熟期.试验通过三种害虫的各龄取食量,不同生育阶段水稻叶面积及为害与损失率之间的关系,建立了不同生育阶段的经济允许损害水平(EIL_t).并根据各种害虫的相对潜在取食量,计算了校正等量损害系数,为制订复合防治指标提供了依据.实践证明:以等量损害为单位的复合防治指标有较大的实用价值,生态效益、经济效益、社会效益明显.