基于赤水河流域生态补偿的政府和社会资本合作项目风险识别与分担

赤水河流域为生态脆弱区域,现行的流域生态补偿机制存在补偿资金来源单一、总量不足且持续性较差、补偿方式较为单一等问题。将政府和社会资本合作（Public-Private Partnership,PPP）模式应用于建立赤水河流域生态补偿机制,有助于拓宽补偿资金来源、增加资金总量、丰富补偿方式,推动各利益相关方收益共享、风险共担。与传统PPP项目相比,基于流域生态补偿的PPP项目具有更为复杂的风险结构,风险因素的正确识别和合理分担是成功运用PPP模式完善赤水河流域生态补偿机制的关键。识别基于赤水河流域生态补偿的PPP项目运作关键环节,甄别各环节面临的主要风险因素;基于云理论建立风险分担模型;将有关风险在政府和社会资本间进行分担。研究结果表明：（1）基于赤水河流域生态补偿的PPP项目运作过程共包括项目准备、项目实施和项目合同终结等三个阶段、共11个关键环节,各环节共面临26个主要风险因素。（2）分析了有关风险因素可能对赤水河流域生态补偿机制或PPP项目产生的不利影响,并指出了风险引致方。（3）在项目准备阶段,政府拥有绝对的资源优势,以政府为主承担主要风险;在项目实施阶段,项目风险总体上由政府承担为主向社会资本承担为主转移,80%的风险主要由社会资本承担;特许经营期满后,社会资本将项目的经营权（或所有权与经营权同时）向政府移交,在项目合同终结阶段,有关风险再次以政府承担为主。     

河湖生态系统生态用水优化研究——以滇池流域为例

生态需水是河流与湖泊生态系统健康的重要基础。湖泊流域的河流与湖泊生态系统之间存在密切的水量联系,目前对流域内生态用水的研究多为单一生态系统生态需水简单相加,忽略了河流和湖泊之间复杂的水量联系。基于河湖复合生态系统之间的水量联系构建了河湖生态系统生态用水优化模型,并以滇池为例分析了河湖生态系统生态用水规律。结果表明：湖泊流域中单一河流或湖泊生态需水计算结果不能满足复合生态系统的生态用水要求,需要综合考虑河流和湖泊之间的水量联系;在当前水质状况下,牛栏江每年的调水量不能满足滇池流域的生态用水要求;滇池流域水体污染对流域内生态用水影响较大,随着水体污染程度的下降,流域生态用水量和调水量呈指数下降,河流生态用水呈线性下降。     

基于多尺度标记优化分水岭方法的油茶冠幅提取

针对尺度对地物空间结构的限制以及传统分水岭分割易产生树冠过分割等问题,选择长沙县明月村油茶基地为研究区,提出一种基于多尺度标记优化分水岭分割油茶树冠的方法。首先使用高分辨率无人机影像采集图像,分析影像特征,构建油茶分类体系,提取油茶林分布区域。其次,运用多尺度区域迭代增长方法提取树冠标记,将标记应用于多阈值尺度的分水岭变换,并结合Johnson指数选取树冠标记增长和分水岭阈值的最优尺度,实现油茶单木的准确识别。结果表明:多尺度标记优化分水岭方法在分离油茶单木时,树冠面积提取值与目视解译参考值的相对误差为9.4%;单木总体识别精度为89.4%,相对于传统的分水岭分割方法精度提高了34.8%;通过Johnson指数确定的最优迭代增长尺度为20,分水岭分割阈值尺度为85,对比不同尺度组合下的油茶冠幅提取结果,最优尺度下的油茶冠幅提取精度最高(R²=0.75)。多尺度标记优化分水岭方法能较准确地分离油茶树冠,将该方法应用于无人机影像树冠分割,可有效提高经济林调查的效率。     

皇甫川流域中小型土壤动物对不同水土治理措施的响应

2007年9月至2008年9月,选择皇甫川流域人工松树林、人工杨树林、人工锦鸡儿灌木林、人工沙打旺草地和撂荒地等不同水土治理措施植被为采样地,以耕作农田为对照,研究了中小型土壤动物对不同水土治理措施的响应。结果表明,共捕获中小型土壤动物14 747只,隶属于5门7纲10类。优势类群为线虫,占群落总个体数的比例为95.53%,常见类群为螨类和弹尾类。不同水土治理措施样地中,中小型土壤动物群落个体数较农田有提高趋势,但无显著差异（P >0.05）;螨类和弹尾类个体数显著提高（P<0.05）;线虫个体数在人工沙打旺草地中显著高于农田（P<0.05）;中小型土壤动物垂直分布的表聚性较农田增强,并以地表凋落物覆盖显著的人工林最为明显。RDA分析表明,中小型土壤动物群落、螨类和弹尾类个体数与凋落物厚度、树（草）高和土壤有机质的变化之间呈显著正相关。以上结果说明,研究地区采取的几种水土治理植被均有利于中小型土壤动物群落的恢复;相比较,地表凋落物层显著的人工松树林、人工杨树林更加有益于螨类和弹尾类的恢复。     

Circulation of whale-bone artifacts in the northern Pyrenees during the late Upper Paleolithic

The importance of coastal resources in the late Upper Paleolithic of western Europe has been reevaluated in recent years thanks to a growing body of new archeological evidence, including the identification of more than 50 implements made of whale bone in the Magdalenian level of the Isturitz cave (western Pyrenees). In the present study, the assemblages of osseous industry from 23 Magdalenian sites and site clusters in the northern Pyrenees were investigated, systematically searching for whale-bone implements. The objective of this research was to determine if, and how, tools and weapons of coastal origin were circulated beyond Isturitz into the inland, and if similar implements existed on the eastern, Mediterranean side of the Pyrenees. A total of 109 whale-bone artifacts, mostly projectile heads of large dimensions, were identified in 11 sites. Their geographic distribution shows that whale bone in the Pyrenean Magdalenian is exclusively of Atlantic origin, and that objects made of this material were transported along the Pyrenees up to the central part of the range at travel distances of at least 350 km from the seashore. This phenomenon seems to have taken place during the second half of the Middle Magdalenian and the first half of the Late Magdalenian, ca. 17,500–15,000 cal BP (calibrated years before present). The existence of a durable, extended coastal-inland interaction network including the circulation of regular tools is thus demonstrated. Additionally, differences between the whale-bone projectile heads of the Middle Magdalenian and those of the Late Magdalenian document an evolutionary process in the design of hunting weapons.     

Ships in Distress,Environmental Threats to Coastal States,and Places of Refuge: New Directions for an Ancien Regime ?

Places of refuge for ships in distress is a topic before the International Maritime Organization as a result of several recent well-publicized refusals by maritime authorities of coastal states to allow such ships to enter sheltered waters within national jurisdiction. The traditional right of refuge of the crew, ship, and cargo is pitted against threat perceptions held by coastal states resulting in a "not in my backyard" syndrome. Instances of modern state practice seem to restrict the right of refuge to a purely humanitarian dimension. There is a need to reevaluate the right of refuge and to establish a system of places of refuge on the basis of regional cooperation to counter the potential threat of stricken ships that are unable to effect necessary repairs in sheltered areas within national jurisdiction.     

The case in international law for Canada's extension of fisheries jurisdiction beyond 200 miles

In March 1995, Canadian fisheries authorities boarded and arrested the Spanish fishing vessel, Estai, outside the Canadian 200‐mile zone on the Grand Banks, an event that served to focus world attention on a dispute that had its origins in the failure of the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea to implement an effective conservation and management regime for fish stocks on the high seas, particularly with respect to fish stocks that straddle coastal states’ exclusive economic zones. This article examines the origins of the dispute, including the allegations relating to overfishing of North Atlantic Fisheries Organization‐recommended quotas, the background to the vessel's arrest, and the subsequent confrontation that occurred, both at diplomatic levels and on the high seas, between Canada and the European Union. An analysis is made of the case in international law for Canada's extension of jurisdiction beyond 200 miles pursuant to the provisions of Section 5 of the Coastal Fisheries Protection Act. Finally, the article examines the implications of the recently concluded Agreement on the Conservation and Management of Straddling Fish Stocks and Highly Migratory Fish Stocks for disputes of the kind that arose in the present case.     

太湖流域生态风险评价

随着城镇的急剧扩张和经济的快速增长,流域生态环境遭到极大冲击和破坏,致使生态系统出现资源退化、环境恶化与灾害风险加剧的趋势,生态环境面临前所未有的挑战.从复合生态系统入手,深入分析流域内各生态系统要素之间的相互作用与影响机制,综合考虑多风险源、多风险受体和生态终点共存情况下的风险大小,从风险源危险度、生境脆弱度及受体损失度三方面构建了流域生态风险评价技术体系,并选取太湖流域为实证区域,对太湖流域2000年、2008年两个时期生态风险的时空演化特征进行评价与分析.结果表明:太湖流域生态风险指数介于0.015-0.253之间,以中等和较低生态风险为主.至2008年,高、较高生态风险所占面积逐渐扩大,已由2000年的5.66％、13.42％增加至6.05％、18.42％,主要集中在流域北部的常州市区、江阴市大部分地区以及无锡市区.     

基于BP神经网络与ETM+遥感数据的盐城滨海自然湿地覆被分类

高效而精确的湿地遥感分类是大范围湿地资源动态监测与管理的必要保障。本研究使用ETM 遥感数据,借助Matlab神经网络工具箱,构建了基于BP神经网络的滨海湿地覆被分类模型,并将其应用于江苏盐城沿海湿地珍禽国家级自然保护区的核心区的自然湿地覆被分类研究中。本研究选择3、4、7、8波段作为输入层变量,单隐藏层设为10个节点,输出层变量对应待划分的8种覆被类型,构建三层式BP神经网络滨海湿地覆被分类模型。结果显示,BP分类总精度为85.91%,Kappa系数为0.8328,与最小距离法和极大似然法的分类总精度相比,分别提高了7.99%和6.08%,Kappa系数也相比提高。研究结果表明,BP神经网络分类法是一种较为有效的湿地遥感影像分类技术,能够提高分类精度。     

山美水库流域水量水质模拟的SWAT与CE-QUAL-W2联合模型

为更好地模拟分析流域非点源污染对山美水库水质的影响,联合运用流域日尺度分布式水文模型SWAT和二维垂向水动力水质模型CE-QUAL-W2,将SWAT模型的时序输出作为CE-QUAL-W2模型的输入条件,构建了山美水库流域水量水质模拟联合模型,并对流域径流、输沙和污染物以及水库的水位、水温和无机氮等变量进行了率定.结果表明: 尽管受流域部分计算结果的影响,误差会累积到对下游水库水体的计算,但模型的模拟结果与实测数据的吻合程度仍较高,说明联合模型可以较好地反映山美水库流域及库区水体的水动力和污染过程.模型的使用可以为定位流域关键污染源区及控制水库富营养化提供科学依据.