Detecting climate change induced range shifts: Where and how should we be looking?

Abstract: Global climate warming is expected to cause systematic shifts in the distribution of species and consequently increase extinction risk. Conservation managers must be able to detect, measure and accurately predict range shifts in order to mitigate impacts on biodiversity. However, important responses to climate change may go unnoticed or be dismissed if we fail to collect sufficient baseline data and apply the most sensitive analytical tests. Here we use randomizations of a contemporary data set on rainforest birds of north‐eastern Australia to quantify the sensitivity of three measures for assessing range shifts along altitudinal gradients. We find that smaller range shifts are detectable by analysing change in the mean altitude of presence records rather than upper or lower range boundaries. For a moderate survey effort of 96 surveys, measurements of change in the mean altitude of 34 species have the capacity to provide strong inference for a mean altitudinal range shift as small as 40 m across the species assemblage. We also show that range shifts measured at range boundaries can be potentially misleading when differences in sampling effort between contemporary and historical data sets are not taken into account.     

Colonization front of the understorey palm Astrocaryum sciophilum in a pristine rain forest of French Guiana

Aims Astrocaryum sciophilum (Miq.) Pulle (Arecaceae) is an understorey palm, endemic to north‐eastern South America with a patchy distribution. We tested the hypothesis that the spatial distribution of this palm species is not in equilibrium but is slowly colonizing the forest understorey. Location Inventories and seed dispersal studies were conducted in the undisturbed tropical forest close to the Nouragues research station, French Guiana. Additional data were collected in the entire territory of French Guiana. Methods We studied the demography of A. sciophilum on a 20‐ha plot located at the edge of its distribution. The age of the palms was estimated by postulating an exponentially decreasing abundance by age class. Direct seed dispersal experiments were also conducted, to estimate dispersal parameters. The seeds of A. sciophilum were dispersed only by rodents. This information was used to parameterize a forest growth simulator, to study the spatial spread of this species. Results Within the sampling plot, the density of A. sciophilum dropped sharply from about 500 individuals per hectare to zero. The maturation age was estimated to be 170 ± 70 years, and over 55 years with 95% confidence. Seed‐dispersal experiments yielded an average seed dispersal distance of 11 m and a maximum estimated dispersal distance of 125 m across a generational span of 55 years to maturity. Therefore, the maximal estimated colonization speed is 2.3 m/y. Conclusions Empirical results and numerical simulations suggest that the boundary of the A. sciophilum population is a colonization front, and that the range of this species is slowly expanding. The implications of this result in respect of palaeoenvironmental changes in this region are discussed.     

Bone Load Estimation for the Proximal Femur Using Single Energy Quantitative CT Data

A density-based load estimation method was applied to determine femoral load patterns. Two-dimensional finite element models were constructed using single energy quantitative computed tomography (QCT) data from two femora. Basic load cases included parabolic pressure joint loads and constant tractions on the greater trochanter. An optimization procedure adjusted magnitudes of the basic load cases, such that the applied mechanical stimulus approached the ideal stimulus throughout each model. Dominant estimated load directions were generally consistent with published experimental data for gait. Other estimated loads suggested that loads at extreme joint orientations may be important to maintenance of bone structure. Remodeling simulations with the estimated loads produced density distributions qualitatively similar to the QCT data sets. Average nodal density errors between QCT data and predictions were 0.24 g/cm(3) and 0.28 g/cm(3). The results indicate that density-based load estimation could improve understanding of loading patterns on bones.     

Determination of the Length of the Vegetative and Pre-floral Stages in the Day-Neutral Plant Helianthus annuus by Chilling Pulses

Helianthus annuus seedlings grown in an 18 h day at 28 ?C wereexposed to one 6 d chilling pulse of 12 ?C, at spaced timesduring the first 21 d from sowing. At 2 d intervals, the terminalbuds of 5 plants were dissected to determine leaf number andto score the vegetative or flowering state of the shoot apex.It was found that, while the rate of leaf initiation was reducedequally by each chilling pulse, pulses commencing on days 9or 12 reduced the total leaf number from 30 to 26, while pulsesapplied earlier had little effect. This variation is interpretedin terms of the time available for leaf production. The apicesof control plants commenced the visible transition to flowering16 d after sowing. Chilling pulses applied from days 3 or 6delayed this transition by about 5 d, whereas later pulses causedonly a 1•5 d delay. In a second experiment, where the chillingwas reduced to 2 d duration, it was again found that chillingdelayed flowering during the first 8 d and was progressivelyless effective when applied later. From this variation in temperaturesensitivity it is proposed that chilling sunflower plants immediatelyafter sowing delays flowering by extending the vegetative phaseof growth and so delaying the attainment of a ‘ripenessto flower’ state that appears to coincide with the expansionof the first pair of leaves. From day 8 onwards processes leadingto flowering that are relatively temperature insensitive apparentlybecome dominant in the apex and result in visible signs of flowering8 d later, although during this transitional stage leaf primordiacontinue to be initiated on the flanks of the apex.     

Functional Anatomy of the Association Between Motor Units and Muscle Receptors

Muscle spindles and tendon organs occur in most somatic musclesof the mammal and are particularly concentrated in muscles subservingfine movements, including postural muscles and small musclesof the distal extremities. In those mixed muscles in which thedifferent fiber and motor unit types are "compartmentalized,"the spindles, and perhaps tendon organs also, are virtuallylimited to those compartments predominated by "oxidative" musclefibers. These morphological observations based on a broad arrayof muscles in many species, complement electrophysiologicalstudies which have emphasized that (1) the "oxidative" motorunits have low reflex thresholds and (2) segmental proprioceptivereflexes may be primarily concerned with the control of finelygraded contractions. Consideration of the functional anatomyof the association between motor units and muscle receptorssuggests the need for detailed structural-functional analysesof those muscles with specializations in architecture, fiber-typecomposition and distribution, and in the number and distributionof their muscle spindles and tendon organs. An electrophysiologicalanalysis of the relationship between the spinal cord and suchmuscles might also reveal certain strategies and mechanismsunderlying segmental motor control which are either absent orobscured in the analysis of that select number of "homogenously-mixed"muscles conventionally used in the study of the mammalian segmentalmotor control system.     

Thermogenesis of three species of Arum from Crete

Inflorescences of arum lilies have a three-part spadix with a scent-producing, sterile appendix above two bands of fertile male and female florets. The appendix and male florets are thermogenic, but with different temporal patterns. Heat-production was measured in Arum concinnatum , A. creticum and A. idaeum . The male florets of A. concinnatum showed a 3 d continuous episode of thermogenesis with three waves, and the appendix warmed in a single, 6 h episode. Maximum fresh-mass-specific CO₂ production rate was 0.17  µ mol s⁻¹ g⁻¹ to achieve a 10.9 °C temperature elevation by the appendix, and 0.92  µ mol s⁻¹ g⁻¹ to achieve a 4.8 °C elevation by male florets. Reversible, physiological temperature regulation was not evident in either tissue. Respiration increased with tissue temperatures with Q₁₀ values of 1.8–3.9, rather than less than 1.0 as occurs in thermoregulatory flowers. Experimental step changes in temperature of appendix and male floret tissues also failed to show thermoregulatory responses. The patterns of thermogenesis therefore appear to be fixed by the temporal sequence of blooming. Thermogenesis in the alpine species, A. creticum and A. idaeum , was significantly lower than in the lowland A. concinnatum , possibly related to difficulty in raising floral temperature in their cold and windy habitat.     

Systematic revision of Nearctic species of Achalcus Loew (Diptera: Dolichopodidae) with comments on their phylogeny, ecology and zoogeography

The species of the genus Achalcus Loew from the Nearctic Region are revised and a key to males and females is provided. Achalcus utahensis (Harmston & Miller) and A. oregonensis (Harmston & Miller) are redescribed, and A. californicus sp.n., A. dytei sp.n. and A. similis sp.n. are described. Together with eight of the nine known Palaearctic species of the genus, they represent a monophyletic species group, which is characterized by the presence of five pairs of dorsocentral bristles and the incorporation of the epandrial setae onto the shaft of the epandrial lobe. Like their Palaearctic congeners, most Nearctic species occur in damp habitats, such as coastal forests and riparian vegetation. Most specimens were collected in the Pacific coastal states from British Columbia to California, but one species occurs in Utah, and one of six species which were not described because males are lacking, was discovered in Ontario.     

Effects of H-Y Antigen on Morphologic and Endocrine Differentiation of Gonads in Mammals

The effects of H-Y antigen, released in a soluble state by male human Burkitt lymphomas and mouse teratomas, were studied in the fetal gonads from 13 to 21-day-old rats and 98-day-old calves, using histologic techniques, radioimmunoassays for testosterone, and bioassays for Müllerian-inhibiting substance (MIS). Whereas no effect was detected in the younger gonads, some structural changes were observed in bovine and 21-day-old rat ovaries when cultured for 5 days with Daudi and male teratoma supernatants, but there was no synthesis of testosterone or MIS. These observations raise questions concerning the critial period of sensitively to H-Y antigen of female gonads, and the dissociation between morphologic and biochemical events.     

Assessment of genetic and pheromonal diversity of the Cydia strobilella species complex (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)

Combining pheromone trapping and genetic analyses can be useful when trying to resolve complexes of closely related insect taxa that are difficult to distinguish based on morphological characters. Nearctic and Palearctic populations of the spruce seed moth, Cydia strobilella L., have been considered taxonomically synonymous since 1983, but more recent work revealing distinct sex pheromones for Canadian and Swedish moths suggest that populations in the two regions belong to different species. In order to test this hypothesis, we performed field trapping using different pheromone lures at ten sites in North America, Europe and Asia, and reconstructed phylogenetic relationships among trapped moths using mitochondrial (cytochrome oxidase subunit I) and nuclear (elongation factor 1 alpha) DNA sequence data. Trapping data and tree topologies for both genes revealed distinct pherotypes in North America and Eurasia. A genetically distinct population from China was investigated further with respect to its sex pheromone. Electrophysiological data indicated that Chinese females produce a deviant ratio of the sex pheromone components (dienic acetates) compared to Swedish females. However, trapping experiments in both areas revealed a similar broad response profile in males to a wide range of acetate ratios, and these populations should be considered taxonomically synonymous. A previous suggestion of an agonistic effect on the attraction of C. strobilella males in Sweden when adding the corresponding alcohols to the binary acetate blend was also tested in Sweden as well as in China, with no observed effect on attraction of males. In conclusion, our study demonstrates the great potential of using pheromone trapping as a tool for identification and delimitation of taxa within cryptic species complexes. Based on our data, Nearctic and Palearctic populations of C. strobilella should be considered different species, and C. youngana Kearfott stat. rev. is resurrected here as valid name for North American populations, which was the case before the revision in 1983.