Effects of river temperature and climate warming on stock‐specific survival of adult migrating Fraser River sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka)

Mean summer water temperatures in the Fraser River (British Columbia, Canada) have increased by ～1.5 °C since the 1950s. In recent years, record high river temperatures during spawning migrations of Fraser River sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) have been associated with high mortality events, raising concerns about long‐term viability of the numerous natal stocks faced with climate warming. In this study, the effect of freshwater thermal experience on spawning migration survival was estimated by fitting capture–recapture models to telemetry data collected for 1474 adults (captured in either the ocean or river between 2002 and 2007) from four Fraser River sockeye salmon stock‐aggregates (Chilko, Quesnel, Stellako‐Late Stuart and Adams). Survival of Adams sockeye salmon was the most impacted by warm temperatures encountered in the lower river, followed by that of Stellako‐Late Stuart and Quesnel. In contrast, survival of Chilko fish was insensitive to the encountered river temperature. In all stocks, in‐river survival of ocean‐captured sockeye salmon was higher than that of river‐captured fish and, generally, the difference was more pronounced under warm temperatures. The survival–temperature relationships for ocean‐captured fish were used to predict historic (1961–1990) and future (2010–2099) survival under simulated lower river thermal experiences for the Quesnel, Stellako‐Late Stuart and Adams stocks. A decrease of 9–16% in survival of all these stocks was predicted by the end of the century if the Fraser River continues to warm as expected. However, the decrease in future survival of Adams sockeye salmon would occur only if fish continue to enter the river abnormally early, towards warmer periods of the summer, as they have done since 1995. The survival estimates and predictions presented here are likely optimistic and emphasize the need to consider stock‐specific responses to temperature and climate warming into fisheries management and conservation strategies.     

Modelling the future hydroclimatology of the lower Fraser River and its impacts on the spawning migration survival of sockeye salmon

Short episodic high temperature events can be lethal for migrating adult Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.). We downscaled temperatures for the Fraser River, British Columbia to evaluate the impact of climate warming on the frequency of exceeding thermal thresholds associated with salmon migratory success. Alarmingly, a modest 1.0 °C increase in average summer water temperature over 100 years (1981–2000 to 2081–2100) tripled the number of days per year exceeding critical salmonid thermal thresholds (i.e. 19.0 °C). Refined thresholds for two populations (Gates Creek and Weaver Creek) of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) were defined using physiological constraint models based on aerobic scope. While extreme temperatures leading to complete aerobic collapse remained unlikely under our warming scenario, both populations were increasingly forced to migrate upriver at reduced levels of aerobic performance (e.g. in 80% of future simulations, ≥90% of salmon encountered temperatures exceeding population‐specific thermal optima for maximum aerobic scope; T_opt=16.3 °C for Gates Creek and T_opt=14.5 °C for Weaver Creek). Assuming recent changes to river entry timing persist, we also predicted dramatic increases in the probability of freshwater mortality for Weaver Creek salmon due to reductions in aerobic, and general physiological, performance (e.g. in 42% of future simulations≥50% of Weaver Creek fish exceeded temperature thresholds associated with 0–60% of maximum aerobic scope). Potential for adaptation via directional selection on run‐timing was more evident for the Weaver Creek population. Early entry Weaver Creek fish experienced 25% (range: 15–31%) more suboptimal temperatures than late entrants, compared with an 8% difference (range: 0–17%) between early and late Gates Creek fish. Our results emphasize the need to consider daily temperature variability in association with population‐specific differences in behaviour and physiological constraints when forecasting impacts of climate change on migratory survival of aquatic species.     

Time to Evolve? Potential Evolutionary Responses of Fraser River Sockeye Salmon to Climate Change and Effects on Persistence

Evolutionary adaptation affects demographic resilience to climate change but few studies have attempted to project changes in selective pressures or quantify impacts of trait responses on population dynamics and extinction risk. We used a novel individual-based model to explore potential evolutionary changes in migration timing and the consequences for population persistence in sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka in the Fraser River, Canada, under scenarios of future climate warming. Adult sockeye salmon are highly sensitive to increases in water temperature during their arduous upriver migration, raising concerns about the fate of these ecologically, culturally, and commercially important fish in a warmer future. Our results suggest that evolution of upriver migration timing could allow these salmon to avoid increasingly frequent stressful temperatures, with the odds of population persistence increasing in proportion to the trait heritability and phenotypic variance. With a simulated 2°C increase in average summer river temperatures by 2100, adult migration timing from the ocean to the river advanced by ～10 days when the heritability was 0.5, while the risk of quasi-extinction was only 17% of that faced by populations with zero evolutionary potential (i.e., heritability fixed at zero). The rates of evolution required to maintain persistence under simulated scenarios of moderate to rapid warming are plausible based on estimated heritabilities and rates of microevolution of timing traits in salmon and related species, although further empirical work is required to assess potential genetic and ecophysiological constraints on phenological adaptation. These results highlight the benefits to salmon management of maintaining evolutionary potential within populations, in addition to conserving key habitats and minimizing additional stressors where possible, as a means to build resilience to ongoing climate change. More generally, they demonstrate the importance and feasibility of considering evolutionary processes, in addition to ecology and demography, when projecting population responses to environmental change.     

Low cardiac and aerobic scope in a coastal population of sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka with a short upriver migration

This study showed that a coastal population (Harrison) of Fraser River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka had a lower aerobic and cardiac scope compared with interior populations with more challenging upriver spawning migrations, providing additional support to the idea that Fraser River O. nerka populations have adapted physiologically to their local migratory environment.     

Sea louse infection of juvenile sockeye salmon in relation to marine salmon farms on Canada's west coast

Background

Pathogens are growing threats to wildlife. The rapid growth of marine salmon farms over the past two decades has increased host abundance for pathogenic sea lice in coastal waters, and wild juvenile salmon swimming past farms are frequently infected with lice. Here we report the first investigation of the potential role of salmon farms in transmitting sea lice to juvenile sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka).

Methodology/Principal Findings

We used genetic analyses to determine the origin of sockeye from Canada''s two most important salmon rivers, the Fraser and Skeena; Fraser sockeye migrate through a region with salmon farms, and Skeena sockeye do not. We compared lice levels between Fraser and Skeena juvenile sockeye, and within the salmon farm region we compared lice levels on wild fish either before or after migration past farms. We matched the latter data on wild juveniles with sea lice data concurrently gathered on farms. Fraser River sockeye migrating through a region with salmon farms hosted an order of magnitude more sea lice than Skeena River populations, where there are no farms. Lice abundances on juvenile sockeye in the salmon farm region were substantially higher downstream of farms than upstream of farms for the two common species of lice: Caligus clemensi and Lepeophtheirus salmonis, and changes in their proportions between two years matched changes on the fish farms. Mixed-effects models show that position relative to salmon farms best explained C. clemensi abundance on sockeye, while migration year combined with position relative to salmon farms and temperature was one of two top models to explain L. salmonis abundance.

Conclusions/Significance

This is the first study to demonstrate a potential role of salmon farms in sea lice transmission to juvenile sockeye salmon during their critical early marine migration. Moreover, it demonstrates a major migration corridor past farms for sockeye that originated in the Fraser River, a complex of populations that are the subject of conservation concern.     

Individual variation in migration speed of upriver-migrating sockeye salmon in the Fraser River in relation to their physiological and energetic status at marine approach

Little research has examined individual variation in migration speeds of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) in natural river systems or attempted to link migratory behavior with physiological and energetic status on a large spatial scale in the wild. As a model, we used three stocks of summer-run sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) from the Fraser River watershed, British Columbia, to test the hypothesis that individual variation in migration speed is determined by a combination of environmental factors (i.e., water temperature), intrinsic biological differences (sex and population), and physiological and energetic condition. Before the freshwater portion of the migration, sockeye salmon (Quesnel, Chilcotin, and Nechako stock complexes) were captured in Johnstone Strait ( approximately 215 km from river entry), gastrically implanted with radio transmitters, and sampled for blood, gill tissue, and energetic status before release. Analyses focused solely on individuals that successfully reached natal subwatersheds. Migration speeds were assessed by an extensive radiotelemetry array. Individuals from the stock complex that migrated the longest distance (Nechako) traveled at speeds slower than those of other stock complexes. Females traveled slower than males. An elevated energetic status of fish in the ocean was negatively correlated with migration speed in most river segments. During the transition from the ocean to the river, migration speed was negatively correlated with mean maximum water temperature; however, for the majority of river segments, it was positively correlated with migration speed. Physiological status measured in the ocean did not explain among-individual variability in river migration speeds. Collectively, these findings suggest that there could be extensive variation in migration behavior among individuals, sexes, and populations and that physiological condition in the ocean explained little of this variation relative to in-river environmental conditions and energetic status. Interestingly, individual fish generally retained their rank in swimming speed across different segments, except when transiting a challenging canyon midway during the migration.     

Distribution,prevalence and severity of Parvicapsula minibicornis infections among anadromous salmonids in the Fraser River,British Columbia,Canada

Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and microscopic examination of stained kidney sections were used to diagnose infections with the myxozoan parasite Parvicapsula minibicornis in maturing Fraser River salmon. In 2 series of collections, the parasite was detected in 109 of 406 migrating sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka belonging to Early Stuart, Early Summer and Summer run-timing groups, mainly upper Fraser River stocks. However, the parasite was detected neither in fish at sea nor once they had migrated several 100 km upstream. Prevalence then increased to 95% or greater at the spawning grounds. Histological examination of kidney was less sensitive than PCR in detecting the parasite in salmon collected from the earliest sites in both collections found positive by PCR. Severity of infection was greatest at the spawning grounds. Development of infection in sockeye, measured by prevalence, severity or by the rate of false-negative histological diagnoses, appeared to be a useful estimate of in-river residence time. Prevalence and severity of infections in sequential samples of Harrison River and Weaver Creek sockeye stocks collected from the Harrison River indicated that more time had elapsed since parasite transmission than would be predicted based on migration distance alone. Pink salmon Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, coho salmon O. kisutch and chinook salmon O. tshawytscha were found to be infected with the parasite. Development of P. minibicornis in pink salmon was most similar to that in sockeye. Pink and coho salmon may be at risk to the pathological consequences of P. minibicornis infection.     

Provenance matters: thermal reaction norms for embryo survival among sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka populations

Differences in thermal tolerance during embryonic development in Fraser River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka were examined among nine populations in a controlled common‐garden incubation experiment. Forcing embryonic development at an extreme temperature (relative to current values) of 16° C, representing a future climate change scenario, significantly reduced survival compared to the more ecologically moderate temperature of 10° C (55% v. 93%). Survival at 14° C was intermediate between the other two temperatures (85%). More importantly, this survival response varied by provenance within and between temperature treatments. Thermal reaction norms showed an interacting response of genotype and environment (temperature), suggesting that populations of O. nerka may have adapted differentially to elevated temperatures during incubation and early development. Moreover, populations that historically experience warmer incubation temperatures at early development displayed a higher tolerance for warm temperatures. In contrast, thermal tolerance does not appear to transcend life stages as adult migration temperatures were not related to embryo thermal tolerance. The intra‐population variation implies potential for thermal tolerance at the species level. The differential inter‐population variation in thermal tolerance that was observed suggests, however, limited adaptive potential to thermal shifts for some populations. This infers that the intergenerational effects of increasing water temperatures may affect populations differentially, and that such thermally mediated adaptive selection may drive population, and therefore species, persistence.     

Dead fish swimming: a review of research on the early migration and high premature mortality in adult Fraser River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka

Adult sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka destined for the Fraser River, British Columbia are some of the most economically important populations but changes in the timing of their homeward migration have led to management challenges and conservation concerns. After a directed migration from the open ocean to the coast, this group historically would mill just off shore for 3-6 weeks prior to migrating up the Fraser River. This milling behaviour changed abruptly in 1995 and thereafter, decreasing to only a few days in some years (termed early migration), with dramatic consequences that have necessitated risk-averse management strategies. Early migrating fish consistently suffer extremely high mortality (exceeding 90% in some years) during freshwater migration and on spawning grounds prior to spawning. This synthesis examines multidisciplinary, collaborative research aimed at understanding what triggers early migration, why it results in high mortality, and how fisheries managers can utilize these scientific results. Tissue analyses from thousands of O. nerka captured along their migration trajectory from ocean to spawning grounds, including hundreds that were tracked with biotelemetry, have revealed that early migrants are more reproductively advanced and ill-prepared for osmoregulatory transition upon their entry into fresh water. Gene array profiles indicate that many early migrants are also immunocompromised and stressed, carrying a genomic profile consistent with a viral infection. The causes of these physiological changes are still under investigation. Early migration brings O. nerka into the river when it is 3-6° C warmer than historical norms, which for some late-run populations approaches or exceeds their critical maxima leading to the collapse of metabolic and cardiac scope, and mortality. As peak spawning dates have not changed, the surviving early migrants tend to mill in warm lakes near to spawning areas. These results in the accumulation of many more thermal units and longer exposures to freshwater diseases and parasites compared to fish that delay freshwater entry by milling in the cool ocean environment. Experiments have confirmed that thermally driven processes are a primary cause of mortality for early-entry migrants. The Fraser River late-run O. nerka early migration phenomenon illustrates the complex links that exist between salmonid physiology, behaviour and environment and the pivotal role that water temperature can have on population-specific migration survival.     

After 100 years: hydroelectric dam-induced life-history divergence and population genetic changes in sockeye salmon (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Oncorhynchus nerka</Emphasis>)

Understanding the impact of barriers and habitat fragmentation on the ecology and genetics of species is of broad interest to many biologists. In aquatic systems, hydroelectric dams often present an impenetrable barrier to migratory fish and can have negative effects on their persistence. Hydroelectric dams constructed in the Coquitlam and Alouette Rivers in the Fraser River drainage (British Columbia, Canada) in the early 1900s were thought to have led to complete loss of anadromous sockeye salmon from both rivers. For both reservoirs, recent water release programs resulted in the unexpected downstream migration of juvenile sockeye salmon and the subsequent upstream migration of adults towards the reservoir 2 years later. Here we investigate the evolutionary impact of dams on the sockeye salmon migration behavior by investigating the genetic distinction between migratory and non-migratory individuals within the Alouette and Coquitlam reservoirs. We also compare historical and contemporary genetic connectivity among 11 Lower Fraser River sockeye sites to infer recent population connectivity changes that might have been influenced by anthropogenic activities. Our molecular genetic analyses show a genetic distinction between the sea-run and resident individuals from the Coquitlam reservoir and population splitting time estimates suggest a very recent divergence between them. These results indicate a genetic component to migration behavior. For our broader survey from 11 sites, our comparisons suggest a general decline in gene flow, with a few interesting exceptions. In summary, our results suggest (i) early stage divergence between life history forms of sockeye salmon within one reservoir, and (ii) recent changes in genetic connectivity among Lower Fraser River populations; both of these results have potential recovery implications for historically migratory populations that were affected by anthropogenic barriers such as hydroelectric dams.     

Sex and proximity to reproductive maturity influence the survival, final maturation, and blood physiology of Pacific salmon when exposed to high temperature during a simulated migration

Some Pacific salmon populations have been experiencing increasingly warmer river temperatures during their once-in-a-lifetime spawning migration, which has been associated with en route and prespawn mortality. The mechanisms underlying such temperature-mediated mortality are poorly understood. Wild adult pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) salmon were used in this study. The objectives were to investigate the effects of elevated water temperature on mortality, final maturation, and blood properties under controlled conditions that simulated a "cool" (13°C) and "warm" (19°C) freshwater spawning migration. After 10 d at 13°C, observed mortality was 50%-80% in all groups, which suggested that there was likely some mortality associated with handling and confinement. Observed mortality after 10 d at 19°C was higher, reaching ≥98% in male pink salmon and female pink and sockeye salmon. Thus, male sockeye salmon were the most thermally tolerant (54% observed mortality). Model selection supported the temperature- and sex-specific mortality patterns. The pink salmon were closer to reproductive maturation and farther along the senescence trajectory than sockeye salmon, which likely influenced their survival and physiological responses throughout the experiment. Females of both species held at 19°C had reduced plasma sex steroids compared with those held at 13°C, and female pink salmon were less likely to become fully mature at 19° than at 13°C. Male and female sockeye salmon held at 19°C had higher plasma chloride and osmolality than those held at 13°C, indicative of a thermally related stress response. These findings suggest that sex differences and proximity to reproductive maturity must be considered when predicting thermal tolerance and the magnitude of en route and prespawn mortality for Pacific salmon.     

Population structure of lake‐type and river‐type sockeye salmon in transboundary rivers of northern British Columbia

The population structure of 'lake‐type' and 'river‐type' sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka , primarily in transboundary rivers in northern British Columbia, was examined with a survey of microsatellite variation. Variation at 14 microsatellite loci was surveyed from c . 3000 lake‐type and 3200 river‐type sockeye salmon from 47 populations in six river drainages in British Columbia. The mean F _ST for the 14 microsatellite loci and 47 populations was 0·068, and 0·034 over all river‐type populations. River‐type sockeye salmon were more genetically diverse than lake‐type sockeye salmon, with expected heterozygosity of river‐type sockeye salmon 0·72 and with an average 12·7 alleles observed per locus, whereas expected heterozygosity of lake‐type sockeye salmon was 0·65 with and average 10·5 alleles observed per locus. River drainage of origin was a significant unit of population structure. There was clear evidence of genetic differentiation among river‐type populations of sockeye salmon from different drainages over a broad geographic range in British Columbia.     

A three-species model explaining cyclic dominance of Pacific salmon

The four-year oscillations of the number of spawning sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) that return to their native stream within the Fraser River basin in Canada are a striking example of population oscillations. The period of the oscillation corresponds to the dominant generation time of these fish. Various—not fully convincing—explanations for these oscillations have been proposed, including stochastic influences, depensatory fishing, or genetic effects. Here, we show that the oscillations can be explained as an attractor of the population dynamics, resulting from a strong resonance near a Neimark Sacker bifurcation. This explains not only the long-term persistence of these oscillations, but also reproduces correctly the empirical sequence of salmon abundance within one period of the oscillations. Furthermore, it explains the observation that these oscillations occur only in sockeye stocks originating from large oligotrophic lakes, and that they are usually not observed in salmon species that have a longer generation time.     

Swimming patterns and behaviour of upriver-migrating adult pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and sockeye (O. nerka) salmon as assessed by EMG telemetry in the Fraser River,British Columbia,Canada

Little is known about the behaviour patterns and swimming speed strategies of anadromous upriver migrating fish. We used electromyogram telemetry to estimate instantaneous swimming speeds for individual sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) and pink salmon (O. gorbuscha) during their spawning migrations through reaches which spanned a gradient in river hydraulic features in the Fraser River, British Columbia. Our main objectives were to describe patterns of individual-specific swim speeds and behaviours, identify swimming speed strategies and contrast these between sexes, species and reaches. Although mean swimming speeds did not differ between pink salmon (2.21 BL s^–1) and sockeye salmon (1.60 BL s^–1), sockeye salmon were over twice as variable (mean CV; 54.78) in swimming speeds as pink salmon (mean CV; 22.54). Using laboratory-derived criteria, we classified swimming speeds as sustained (<2.5 BL s^–1), prolonged (2.5–3.2 BL s^–1), or burst (>3.2 BL s^–1). We found no differences between sexes or species in the proportion of total time swimming in these categories – sustained (0.76), prolonged (0.18), burst (0.06); numbers are based on species and sexes combined. Reaches with relatively complex hydraulics and fast surface currents had migrants with relatively high levels of swimming speed variation (e.g., high swimming speed CV, reduced proportions of sustained speeds, elevated proportions of burst speeds, and high rates of bursts) and high frequency of river crossings. We speculate that complex current patterns generated by river constrictions created confusing migration cues, which impeded a salmon's ability to locate appropriate pathways.     

Parvicapsula minibicornis in anadromous sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) and coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) salmon from tributaries of the Columbia River

The myxosporean parasite Parvicapsula minibicornis is described from adult sockeye and coho salmon during spawning migrations in tributaries of the Columbia River in Canada and the United States. These observations extend the known distribution of this parasite from the Fraser River drainage basin. The parasite was identified in Columbia River salmonids using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and by in situ hybridization, but unlike in Fraser River salmon, it was not observed in conventional histological preparations of the kidney. Prevalence of the parasite determined by PCR was higher in spawning sockeye from the Fraser River than in those from the Okanagan River. Our ability to explain the relatively low prevalence and absence of clinical P. minibicornis infections in Columbia River salmon is hampered by our poor understanding of the life cycle of this parasite.     

Energy expenditures during spawning by chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta (Walbaum) in British Columbia

Physiological telemetry and proximate tissue analyses were used to assess energy expended by chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta on various behaviours during spawning in Kanaka Creek, British Columbia, Canada, and results were compared with published data on Fraser River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka , the only other species for which both types of measurements have been taken. Chum salmon arrived at the spawning grounds with body energy densities of 4·84 MJ kg⁻¹ in males and 4·62 MJ kg⁻¹ in females, lower than most sockeye salmon populations, and died with energy densities of c . 4 MJ kg⁻¹, similar to that observed in sockeye salmon and other salmonids. Moisture levels generally increased in body tissues over the spawning life, particularly in female gonads, and lipid levels decreased. Declines in protein observed over the spawning life of other Pacific salmon Oncorhynchus sp. were less evident in Kanaka Creek chum salmon. Holding behaviour constituted the dominant component of the activity schedule and energy budget of both sexes. After holding, the most expensive behaviours were nest digging in females and aggressive displays in males. Dominant males expended the most energy on behaviours each day, as indexed by oxygen consumption (3600 mgO₂ kg⁻¹), while satellite males expended nearly as much (3504 mgO₂ kg⁻¹) but females expended considerably less (2327 mgO₂ kg⁻¹). Kanaka chum salmon engaged more frequently in energetically expensive reproductive behaviours than Stuart River sockeye salmon.