南京市高温热浪特征及其对人体健康的影响

利用1951 -2009年(6—9月)气象资料、2005-2008年(6-9月)南京市逐日死亡人数、2005 -2007年(6-9月)中暑相关的逐时急诊人数,采用描述性研究、回归分析等流行病学统计方法,研究南京市高温热浪特征及其对人体健康的影响.结果表明:南京是各种级别高温和热浪频发的城市,近60年来,南京市每年平均高温日数14.5 d,危害高温日数1.1d,高温热浪1.9次,强高温热浪0.8次;高温热浪过程造成的人群超额死亡率在20％以上,其中女性超额死亡率稍大于男性,对冠心病和脑血管病患者的伤害较大,而且不存在滞后性;由于人体的适应性,发生在夏季早期的高温热浪比发生在季节中、末阶段的高温热浪危害大,但热浪持续的时间对超额死亡率的影响较小;另外,由于城市居民工作需要和出行时间的选择,导致夏季逐时高温对人体危害呈双峰型分布,2个峰值分别出现在9:00-11:00和19:00-21:00;高温热浪对人体的危害与年龄约呈三次函数关系,对0～5岁的婴幼儿和60～80岁的高龄人群危害较大.这些结果可为人体健康风险管理提供参考.     

城市居民对高温热浪的感知——基于福州市的调查

全球气候正在经历以变暖为主要特征的显著变化,高温热浪更是其突出表现。民众感知是适应高温热浪的重要前提与社会基础。以高温热浪发生最为剧烈的福州市为例,基于585份问卷调查数据,分析了城市居民对高温热浪的感知及其差异。结果显示:(1)75.56%的居民能够准确感知当地气温升高趋势,85.81%的居民认为2000年至今气温升高最为明显,感知结果与气象监测数据基本一致;(2)居民对于高温热浪影响感知水平较高,85.81%的居民认为高温热浪对个人与家人的日常生活有显著影响;(3)不同年龄段居民对气温升高趋势感知差异明显,而不同健康状况居民对高温热浪影响感知差异明显。研究对于引导城市居民采取适应措施减缓或消除高温热浪不利影响,以及政府制定适应政策具有一定的借鉴。     

刈割降低热浪对内蒙古草甸草原碳通量的影响

热浪（Heat waves）是近年来频发的一种极端气候,其短期时间会影响生态系统植被健康并对生态系统碳通量产生长期负面影响,但其影响强度往往因生态系统类型而异。而内蒙古高原草甸草原属高纬度半干旱生态脆弱区,受气候变化影响显著,且正在遭受频繁热浪侵袭。在内蒙古呼伦贝尔草甸草原进行为期2年的野外原位模拟热浪控制实验,关注热浪对生态系统碳循环关键过程的影响和调节机制,并研究人类活动（刈割）与极端气候（热浪）对草甸草原碳通量的交互作用。结果表明,热浪处理显著降低了生态系统的土壤含水量,并显著降低草甸草原净碳交换（NEE）、生态系统呼吸（Re）和生态系统总生产力（GEP）,分别为31%、1%和14%。然而,刈割处理下,能够有效降低热浪的负面影响,表现为热浪后草地恢复所需时间缩短了约1/3。同时,热浪后水分供给能缓解热浪对生态系统碳通量的滞后效应,并缩短生态系统所需的恢复时间。     

气候变化背景下全球陆地干湿变化研究综述

气候变化背景下,全球水循环加剧,出现了大气变干与植被变绿等陆地干湿变化趋势的解耦现象,旱区面积变化也存在争议。为回答上述问题,在梳理常见干湿指标变化趋势与驱动因素的基础上,根据指标变化方向对其进行归类,然后从机理角度解析影响不同指标趋势耦合或解耦的关键要素,并提出未来干湿变化研究展望。结果表明,气候变化背景下,饱和水汽压差、干燥度指数和土壤水分指标显著变干,植被绿度和生产力显著变湿(增加),降水、径流、陆地水储量和其他复合指标区域分异明显、但整体趋势不显著。二氧化碳浓度增加、气温升高和土地利用变化是导致不同指标趋势分异的重要因素,不同指标的趋势分异也解释了旱区面积评估在不同维度上的差异。未来研究中应开展干湿变化的综合评估,其综合性主要体现在以下四个方面：1)关注大气-生态-水文多维度评估;2)解析自然与人类双重压力下,不同维度要素间的关联、互馈过程,及其对系统干湿演变的促进、限制与调节作用;3)重视干湿演变程中的极端灾害事件和空间上以旱区为代表的气候变化敏感性区域;4)构建以脆弱性评估与适应性治理为核心的气候变化应对路径。     

控水与补水条件下连续热浪对闽楠光合特性和生长速率的影响

全球变暖背景下,亚热带地区极端气候热浪事件发生频率持续增加。高频热浪及其伴随的高温和干旱复合胁迫将严重影响植物的光合特性,抑制植物的生长,甚至造成死亡。然而,目前亚热带树木光合特性及生长对高频热浪及复合胁迫的响应仍不明确。以亚热带阔叶树种闽楠苗木为研究对象进行了热浪模拟实验,关注了补水和控水处理不同水分环境下连续热浪对闽楠光合特性及生长速率的影响。结果表明,补水处理下闽楠净光合速率(Pn)在单次热浪影响下显著下降了34%,同时水分利用效率显著(WUE)下降,但蒸腾速率(Tr)、气孔导度(Gs)和叶片水汽压亏缺(Leaf_vpd)显著上升(P<0.05)。表明水分充沛的高温环境中闽楠可通过增加蒸腾耗水加速水分蒸散来调节叶片的温度,增强植株光合特性对热浪的抗性。而控水处理下单次热浪处理组Tr和Gs未显著上升,以及Tr与Leaf_vpd在干湿环境下线性拟合的不同斜率,说明水分胁迫会降低叶片降温的效率,加剧热浪对闽楠光合特性的影响。水分和高温的复合胁迫还延长了闽楠光合特性在热浪后的恢复过程,高温胁迫下闽楠Pn在15 d后恢复至未干扰水平,但复合胁迫...     

周期性重复高温对昆虫的生态学效应

在自然界,昆虫经常经历以几天为周期的重复高温。这种周期性重复高温对昆虫的影响主要有3种作用模式:周期性重复高温与对应恒温比较、昆虫的不同发育阶段经历不同的周期性重复高温和昆虫的一生经历不同的周期性重复高温。同恒温条件下的昆虫相比,重复高温作用后的昆虫生殖量降低、寿命延长。重复高温作用于昆虫不同生活史阶段导致的存活率不同,重复高温作用于昆虫的发育阶段越接近成虫,其生殖量越易受到影响。高温持续天数增多,昆虫存活率、生殖量降低;但一定范围内的高温天数有助于昆虫寿命的延长。重复高温对昆虫的影响程度还因植食性昆虫和天敌昆虫种类的不同而异。本文根据近年来的研究,结合相关的研究文献,从周期性重复高温的温度变化模式及这些温度模式对昆虫生态指标、内在机理等方面产生的影响进行了综述,并建议未来的研究将充分结合自然温度变化进行模拟,增强研究的实用性;扩大考察指标范围并建立考察指标间的联系,拓展研究对象。     

应用CiteSpace对生态学科meta分析的文献计量学和可视化分析

Meta分析是针对一系列独立研究结果进行定量综合分析的方法。从20世纪90年代初开始被应用于生态学的研究中,已经对这一学科的数据汇总方式产生重大影响。为了探究meta分析方法在生态学领域的研究现状及热点,以Web of Science论文核心合集为检索数据库,通过输入关键词检索了1992至2018年之间的论文,并利用Web of Science自带的文献分析工具和Histcite对检索的文献信息进行统计分析,分析了不同年份、国家、期刊、学科基础知识论文的发表和被引情况,用CiteSpace软件对其进行热点分析并绘制了知识图谱。研究发现,我国生态学研究在meta分析方法的改进和利用方面与美国、英国等国家相比尚有差距;使用meta分析方法开展研究越来越多,但研究方向上出现了一些转变,越来越多的研究关注全球变化背景下植物光合作用、物种入侵的机理以及模拟氮循环过程对物候和植被生产力的影响及价值评估的研究,并成为本领域的研究前沿。     

2022年生命健康领域科技发展态势

该文系统分析了各国的科技规划,总结了生命健康领域的战略与布局重点。分析发现,提高关键技术竞争力,强化科技主权成为科技战略的重点。2022年度,全球主要国家(地区)出台了多个生命健康科技规划,足见对该领域的重视;为了推动科技创新发展,多个国家成立了新的研究资助机构,并已开始运行。该文也从认识与解析生命、改造生命、模拟生命等角度,系统回顾了生命健康领域重点与前沿方向的发展趋势与突破性成果。2022年,生命健康领域创新活跃,多个细分领域取得突破性进展,并不断产生新的前沿方向,整体领域呈现从点的突破到系统性突破态势。最后,该文展望了生命健康科技发展前景。     

1961—2019年辽宁省高温天气变化特征

深入理解高温热浪天气的变化特征、辨识其影响因素,对于科学防控高温天气的危害、保障经济社会可持续发展具有重要意义。本研究基于1961—2019年6—8月辽宁省23个气象站点的日最高气温、相对湿度和风速数据,分析日最高气温(Tx)、日最高体感温度(AT)和高温热浪(连续3 d≥35 ℃)的变化特征,并采用灰色关联度分析气象因子对AT的影响。结果表明: 1961—2019年,辽宁省各站点6、7和8月Tx的平均值分别为26.19、28.29和28.14 ℃,气候倾向率平均值分别为0.17、0.20、0.17 ℃·(10 a)^-1,AT的平均值分别为27.35、31.13、31.08 ℃,气候倾向率平均值分别为0.38、0.35、0.28 ℃·(10 a)^-1。6—8月,研究区各站点Tx、AT与其气候倾向率均呈显著负相关关系,说明夏季Tx、AT低值区的增温幅度大于高值区,应重视研究区夏季Tx、AT低值区的高温防御。6—8月,各站点日最高气温≥35 ℃日数平均值为0.85 d·a^-1,6、7月明显大于8月,高值区主要位于辽宁西部,低值区主要位于辽宁南部和滨海地区,平均增加速率为0.20 d·(10 a)^-1。各站点多年平均高温热浪次数为0.071次,高值区主要分布在西部地区,南部和滨海地区未出现高温热浪事件。关联度分析表明,6月最高体感温度与相对湿度关系最密切,而7月和8月最高体感温度与最高气温关系最密切。因此,在高温天气预报预警中应充分考虑相对湿度的影响。     

气候变暖对昆虫影响研究进展

"全球气候变化"已成为国内外最受关注的环境问题。气候变化中以温度升高为特征的气候变暖对变温动物昆虫自身及其所在的生物群落产生直接或间接影响。从研究内容与研究方法2个方面综述了气候变暖对昆虫影响研究的国内外进展。气候变暖导致昆虫发生期提前,地理分布向更高纬度和海拔地区扩散,低温适生种种群密度下降,高温适生种种群密度增加。气候变暖改变寄主植物—害虫—天敌的物候同步性和昆虫原有种间互作关系,影响植食性昆虫的寄主植物范围和取食为害程度。长期的气候变暖带来的强烈的选择性压力引起某些昆虫种群的基因组发生变异。以日均温升高、日最高气温升高和昼夜温差变化等为主要特征气候变暖对昆虫发育、繁殖及存活等生态学指标产生重要影响。研究方法上主要是利用野外直接观察法、回归预测模型、有效积温模型、CLIMEX和GIS等生态风险评估软件、生物化石比较技术、人工气候下生态试验、检测标记基因频率变化等方法来研究气候变暖对昆虫的影响。最后简要评述了已有研究的不足并指出未来的研究方向:(1)气候变暖情景下开展昆虫种间互作研究并拓展研究对象;(2)高温下昆虫适应性研究;(3)建立完善人工模拟气候下的实验方法;(4)构建昆虫有效生态机理模型。     

Assessment of Heat-Related Health Impacts in Brisbane,Australia: Comparison of Different Heatwave Definitions

Background

There is no global definition of a heatwave because local acclimatisation and adaptation influence the impact of extreme heat. Even at a local level there can be multiple heatwave definitions, based on varying temperature levels or time periods. We investigated the relationship between heatwaves and health outcomes using ten different heatwave definitions in Brisbane, Australia.

Methodology/Principal Findings

We used daily data on climate, air pollution, and emergency hospital admissions in Brisbane between January 1996 and December 2005; and mortality between January 1996 and November 2004. Case-crossover analyses were used to assess the relationship between each of the ten heatwave definitions and health outcomes. During heatwaves there was a statistically significant increase in emergency hospital admissions for all ten definitions, with odds ratios ranging from 1.03 to 1.18. A statistically significant increase in the odds ratios of mortality was also found for eight definitions. The size of the heat-related impact varied between definitions.

Conclusions/Significance

Even a small change in the heatwave definition had an appreciable effect on the estimated health impact. It is important to identify an appropriate definition of heatwave locally and to understand its health effects in order to develop appropriate public health intervention strategies to prevent and mitigate the impact of heatwaves.     

Adjustments in fatty acid composition is a mechanism that can explain resilience to marine heatwaves and future ocean conditions in the habitat‐forming seaweed Phyllospora comosa (Labillardière) C.Agardh

Marine heatwaves are extreme events that can have profound and lasting impacts on marine species. Field observations have shown seaweeds to be highly susceptible to marine heatwaves, but the physiological drivers of this susceptibility are poorly understood. Furthermore, the effects of marine heatwaves in conjunction with ocean warming and acidification are yet to be investigated. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a laboratory culture experiment in which we tested the growth and physiological responses of Phyllospora comosa juveniles from the southern extent of its range (43–31°S) to marine heatwaves, ocean warming and acidification. We used a ‘collapsed factorial design’ in which marine heatwaves were superimposed on current (today's pH and temperature) and future (pH and temperature projected by 2100) ocean conditions. Responses were tested both during the heatwaves, and after a 7‐day recovery period. Heatwaves reduced net photosynthetic rates in both current and future conditions, while respiration rates were elevated under heatwaves in the current conditions only. Following the recovery period, there was little evidence of heatwaves having lasting negative effects on growth, photosynthesis or respiration. Exposure to heatwaves, future ocean conditions or both caused an increase in the degree of saturation of fatty acids. This adjustment may have counteracted negative effects of elevated temperatures by decreasing membrane fluidity, which increases at higher temperatures. Furthermore, P. comosa appeared to down‐regulate the energetically expensive carbon dioxide concentrating mechanism in the future conditions with a reduction in δ¹³C values detected in these treatments. Any saved energy arising from this down‐regulation was not invested in growth and was likely invested in the adjustment of fatty acid composition. This adjustment is a mechanism by which P. comosa and other seaweeds may tolerate the negative effects of ocean warming and marine heatwaves through benefits arising from ocean acidification.     

Current Perspectives on Issues in Risk Assessment Methods

The Office of Research and Development (ORD) of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was reorganized in 1995 to follow the risk assessment paradigm developed by the National Research Council. With the reorganization, a number of different research strategies and plans were developed on problem-driven topics (e.g., arsenic, particulate matter, and microbial pathogens/disinfectant byproducts) as well as on core research (e.g., ecological research, human health risk assessment research, and pollution prevention research). The human health risk assessments research strategy, which is currently under development, addresses a variety of issues which affect all human health risk assessments. These include mechanism of action, variation in response, aggregate risk, and effect on public health. While all of the issues that have been identified are important, the challenge to ORD is to identify which will have the greatest impact on improving risk assessment so that resources can be most strategically applied.     

Value Choices in Life Cycle Impact Assessment of Stressors Causing Human Health Damage

This article investigates how value choices in life cycle impact assessment can influence characterization factors (CFs) for human health (expressed as disability‐adjusted life years [DALYs]). The Cultural Theory is used to define sets of value choices in the calculation of CFs, reflecting the individualist, hierarchist, and egalitarian perspectives. CFs were calculated for interventions related to the following impact categories: water scarcity, tropospheric ozone formation, particulate matter formation, human toxicity, ionizing radiation, stratospheric ozone depletion, and climate change. With the Cultural Theory as a framework, we show that individualist, hierarchist, and egalitarian perspectives can lead to CFs that vary up to six orders of magnitude. For persistent substances, the choice in time horizon explains the differences among perspectives, whereas for nonpersistent substances, the choice in age weighting and discount rate of DALY and the type of effects or exposure routes account for differences in CFs. The calculated global impact varies by two orders of magnitude, depending on the perspective selected, and derives mainly from particulate matter formation and water scarcity for the individualist perspective and from climate change for the egalitarian perspective. Our results stress the importance of dealing with value choices in life cycle impact assessment and suggest further research for analyzing the practical consequences for life cycle assessment results.     

Impact of summer warming on the thermal characteristics of a polymictic lake and consequences for oxygen, nutrients and phytoplankton

1. The impact of long thermal stratification events on some key properties in a polymictic lake was studied by determining the mixing regime of Müggelsee, Germany, using water temperature profiles taken hourly over 4 years. The period included two exceptional summer heatwaves. 2. Long thermal stratification events lasted from about 1 week to 2 months, and exhibited a high variability in thermocline depth and stratification intensity within and between events. 3. During stratification events, hypolimnetic oxygen concentrations strongly decreased while hypolimnetic SRP accumulation increased, depending on the duration and intensity of stratification and on hypolimnetic water temperature. 4. The impact of stratification on the functional phytoplankton composition increased with increasing stratification duration, but was rather different for the heatwaves. 5. Stratification events were followed by strong nutrient pulses into the euphotic zone and intense phytoplankton growth, particularly after the heatwaves. Hence, the influence of the climate extremes counteracted effects of reduced external nutrient loading.     

Profiling urban vulnerabilities to climate change: An indicator-based vulnerability assessment for European cities

Governing climate change in cities entails a good understanding of urban vulnerabilities. This research presents an Indicator-based Vulnerability Assessment for 571 European cities. Basing on panel data from Urban Audit database and a set of newly developed indicators, we assessed urban vulnerabilities for the following impact chains: (i) heatwaves on human health; (ii) drought on water planning, and; (iii) flooding (sub-divided into pluvial, fluvial and coastal) on the socio-economic tissue and the urban fabric. Results shed light on the key challenges that specific groups of European cities face in order to better deal with the expected impacts of climate change. This knowledge is a necessary step to advance in the understanding of urban risks to climate change and the development of effective EU policies for urban adaptation.     

生态系统健康研究进展

健康的生态系统一般被视为环境管理的终极目标,进行生态系统健康研究对探索区域与生态系统可持续发展具有重要意义。随着国际生态与健康学会(International Association for Ecology and Health)的解体,生态系统健康研究视角出现转型。系统梳理了近年来国际上有关生态系统健康概念及其评估方法、指标的新进展,通过文献统计和重要文献引用揭示了国际生态系统健康研究的发展历程,提出了从生态系统健康到生态健康再到生态文化健康的三大核心框架发展阶段,生态系统健康的研究对象和范围正在不断扩充。资源环境研究领域是国内研究者应用生态系统健康概念与方法的优势领域,在区域尺度上评价生态系统的健康更贴近资源环境和社会文化交互作用的复合表征理念。因此,我国生态系统健康研究的趋向不仅应包括在生态系统尺度上研究的继续深化,也应包含对生态文化健康概念的完善与应用,并发挥地理-生态视角的区域集成研究优势,从而有效指导区域生态与环境政策制定与实施。     

基于禽流感发生风险的生态安全评价研究进展

禽流感是危害公共健康、社会经济和政治稳定重要的传染性疾病。近年来,禽流感引发的区域生态安全(公共卫生安全和生物安全)问题日益受到学界关注。为此,有必要从禽流感发生风险的角度来开展区域生态安全评价。根据1996—2017年发表的禽流感发生风险与生态安全评价英文文献,运用Citespace软件综合分析了禽流感与生态安全评价的最新研究进展。在阐述禽流感发生风险与生态安全评价关系基础上,结合生态安全评价理论框架,从数据来源、适用范围、优缺点等方面分别对禽流感发生风险评估方法以及基于禽流感发生风险的生态安全评价方法进行对比与总结。综述表明:禽流感发生风险对生物物种安全和公共卫生安全的威胁已经严重影响到区域生态安全,其引发的公共卫生危机和生物多样性减少是生态安全评价研究的重要内容,从禽流感发生风险视角评价区域生态安全具有其必要性和紧迫性,并迫切需要加强相关模型方法及其应用研究。目前,禽流感研究主要以病毒学、流行病学为主,与生态安全领域结合研究较为缺乏,在生态安全评价中有关禽流感发生风险内容的研究基本被忽视。既可为深入揭示禽流感发生与传播的动力学机制与防控和监测禽流感提供科学依据,亦可为未来开展基于禽流感发生风险的区域生态安全评价研究提供方法借鉴。     

基于医院管理者视角的医学新技术转化应用模式分析

目的 对医院管理者视角下,新技术的引进,引进后的使用与管理及使用后的综合评估与反馈进行综合分析。方法 通过对53名医院管理人员1~1.5小时的半结构式访谈收取定性资料,并进行属性归类分析。结果 研究发现新技术在引入过程中主要考虑的因素涉及新技术的特性及循证依据的情况、新技术引入可能对医生的影响、新技术引入可能为医院带来的影响、新技术引入过程中涉及的相关政策、新技术引入可能对医患关系的影响;明晰了新技术引入的程序、新技术的使用管理及使用后的评估。结论 二三级医院基本已经形成一整套新技术的引进及管理反馈机制,在医院层面新技术的引进及使用过程中,政策因素起到非常重要的作用。     

NDM-1结构功能及抑制剂的抑制机理

在过去的10年中,以新德里金属β-内酰胺酶-1(NDM-1)为代表的金属β-内酰胺酶在全球范围内广泛传播,对公共卫生安全产生了较大的威胁。尤其是近些年这些酶的突变体的出现使得耐药菌给人类健康造成了更加复杂和困难的挑战。目前,临床上仍然缺乏有效的治疗药物和手段。研发有效广谱的抑制剂成为解决此问题的重点。因此本文将针对NDM-1及其相关抑制剂复合物的三维结构解析工作进行综述,希望从生物学机制研究的角度带给相关研究人员一点启发和帮助。