内蒙古典型草原4种植物凋落物分解速率与气候因子之间的定量关系

文章报道了内蒙古典型草原羊草（Ａｎｅｕｒｏｌｅｐｉｄｉｕｍ ｃｈｉｎｅｎｓｅ）,大针茅（Ｓｔｉｐａ ｇｒａｎｄｉｓ）,猪毛菜（Ｓａｌｓｏａａ ｃｏｌｌｉｎａ）和芨芨草（Ａｃｈｎａｔｈｅｒｕｍ ｓｐｌｅｎｄｅｎｓ）的凋落物的分解速率与气温和降水之间的关系,建立了动态模型Ｘ（ｔ）／Ｘ（Ｏ）＝ｅ＾－（ａｔ－ｂΣＴ－ｃΣｐ）．其中ｔ表示时间,Ｘ（ｔ）是ｔ时凋落物残留量,ΣＴ是累计气温,ΣＰ是累计降水量。气     

包容生态因子的广义Logistic模型

以Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ模型为代表的种群（ｘ）生长模型,仅依赖于时间（ｔ）,Ｘ＝ｆ（ｔ）,它是表达某一环境下生物过程的数学模型,其增长率参数（μ）为常数。本文发展了一种包含生态因子的广义Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ模型,Ｘ＝ｆ（Ｐ,ｔ）,ｐ表示生态因子,认为增长率是与生态因子有关的参数：μ＝μ０ｆ（ｐ）,该模型可以概括在不同环境下种群增长的重复试验,使用作物分期播种资料,建立了水稻干物质积累过程与生育阶段（时间）、播种期、太阳辐射、温度之间的关系,结果表明：该模型可以解释干物重变异的９６．９％。     

HCV/HBV复合抗原基因的克隆、表达及免疫应答研究

为探讨ＨＣＶ／ＨＢＶ 复合疫苗的可行性,将合成的丙型肝炎病毒（ＨＣＶ）复合多表位抗原基因ＰＣＸ与ＨＢｓＡｇ 基因连接成ＰＣＸＳ基因,与β－半乳糖苷酶（ＧＺ）基因融合后在大肠杆菌及减毒鼠伤寒沙门氏菌中获得表达．目的蛋白ＧＺ－ＰＣＸＳ可被抗－ＨＢｓ 及抗－ＨＣＶ 抗体所特异识别．ＧＺ－ＰＣＸＳ抗原皮下注射免疫ＩＣＲ小鼠后,诱发了较高水平的抗－ＧＺ－ＰＣＸＳＩｇＧ反应．构建的重组减毒鼠伤寒沙门氏菌ＳＬ３２６１（ｐＷＲ／ＰＣＸＳ）口服免疫小鼠后,诱发了高水平的ＣＤ８＋ Ｔ细胞增殖反应及抗ＧＺ－ＰＣＸＳＩｇＧ反应．所有免疫小鼠均未见明显的毒副作用．该研究揭示,ＨＣＶ／ＨＢＶ 复合抗原可诱发特异性体液免疫及细胞免疫应答,而活菌苗口服可能是理想的免疫途径,为ＨＣＶ／ＨＢＶ 双价疫苗研究提供了一定的理论及实验依据．     

戊型肝炎病毒中国XT—179株全基因组Cdna克隆及其核苷酸和氨基酸序列分析

本文报道对中国新疆东部一起戊型肝炎流行高峰期间,由ＨＥ患者烘便中分离到的型肝炎病毒中国ＸＴ－１７９株进行全基因ｃＤＮＡ克隆、核苷酸和氨基酸序列测定及分析结果。所阐明的ＨＥＶ－ＸＴ－１７９株基因组全序列由７１９４个核苷酸和３＇端的多聚腺嘌呤核苷酸尾组成。四种核苷酸的含量腺嘌呤（Ａ）为１７．０％,胞嘧啶（Ｃ）为３１．９％,鸟嘌呤（Ｇ）为２６．０,尿嘧啶（Ｕ）为２５．１％。Ｇ＋Ｃ含量为５７．９％。全基因     

小兴安岭阔叶红松林凋落物产量及动态的研究

小兴安岭阔叶红松林凋落物产量及动态的研究刘传照,李景文,潘桂兰,李传荣（东北林业大学红松研究所,黑龙江带岭１５３１０６）ＬｉｔｔｅｒＰｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎａｎｄＤｙｎａｍｉｃｓｉｎＢｒｏａｄｌｅａｖｃｄ－ＫｏｒｅａｎＰｉｎｅＦｏｒｅｓｔｓｉｎＸｉａｏｘｉｎｇａｎＭｏｕｎｔａｉｉｌｓ￥ＬｉｕＣｈｕａｎｚｈａｏ;ＬｉＪｉｎｇｗｅｎ;ＰａｎＧｕｉｌａｎ;ＬｉＣｈｕａｎｒｏｎｇ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＫｏｒｅａｎＰｉｎｅＳｔｕｄｉｅｓ,ＮｏｒｔｂｅａｓｔＦｏｒｅｓｔｒｙＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ,Ｄａｉｌｉｎｇ,Ｈｅｉｌｏｎｇｊｉａｎｇ１５３１０６）．ＣｈｎｅｓｅＪｏｕｒｎａｌｏｆＥｃｏｌｏｇｙ,１９９３,１２（６）：２９－３３．Ｔｈｒｅｅ－ｙｅａｒｓｔｕｄｙｗａｓｄｏｎｅｏｎｌｉｔｔｅｒｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎａｎｄｄｙｎａｍｉｃｓｕｎｄｅｒｂｒｏａｄｌｅａｖｅｄ－ＫｏｒｅａｎｐｉｎｅｆｏｒｅｓｔｓｉｎｔｈｅＸｉａｏｘｉｎｇａｎＭｏｕｎｔａｉｎｓ。Ｒｅｓｕｌｔｓｓｈｏｗｅｄｔｈａｔａｎｎｕａｌｌｉｔｔｅｒｆａｌｌｉｓ４．２５±０．１７ｔ．ｈａ￣（－１）．ｙｒ￣（－１）．Ａｍｏｎｇｔｏｔａｌｌｉｔｔｅｒｆａｌｌ,ｌｅａｆｌｉｔ     

鼎湖山针阔叶混交林的第一性生产力研究

本文应用“树木收获法”和“气体分析法”,结合凋落物收集数据,综合测定了鼎湖山针阔叶混交林中的各种群第一性生产力以及群落的光。进一步综合分析表明,该群落的叶面积指数为１１;生物量为２６１ｔ·ｈｍ￣（－２）;总生产力约为１１７．６ｔ·ｈｍ￣（－２）·ａ￣（－１）,光能利用效率为１２％;第一性生产力为２０．９ｔ·ｈｍ￣（－２）·ａ￣（－１）。由于该群落是南亚热带演替系列中间阶段的代表性类型,因而本研究结果有助于了解本地带植被动态过程生产力发展规律和对能量的利用状况。     

中国潜在植被生产力的分布与模拟

利用中国植被净第一性生产力ＮＰＰ（ｎｅｔｐｒｉｍａｒｙｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｖｉｔｙ）的散点测量数据及中国一般气象站气候记录资料,并根据附近气象站数据进行地理位置相关插值,采用Ｐｅｎｍａｎ方法计算潜在蒸散,用Ｔｈｏｒｎｔｈｗａｉｔｅ的土壤水分处理方法,计算了ＮＰＰ测定位点的水分平衡。结果表明ＮＰＰ与生长季实际蒸散、总蒸散、潜在蒸散显著相关,与干燥度成负相关。从生长季的实际蒸散、干燥度指标两参数出发,建立了ＷＢＩＮＰＰ模型：ＮＰＰ＝２．５５·ＧＡＥ·ｅ－４．２０９２２－１．９６６５ＡＩ。该模型考虑了植被生产力形成机制,与ＮＰＰ实测值相关性高达０．８４２,高于国际上著名ＮＰＰ模型Ｍｉａｍｉ模型、ＴｈｏｒｎｔｈｗａｉｔｅＭｅｍｏｒｉａｌ模型和Ｃｈｉｋｕｇｏ模型（相关系数为０．６５５～０．７３２）。最后利用ＥＩＳ软件对全国潜在ＮＰＰ分布格局进行了分析,从东南到西北逐渐减少,最大值出现在海南和台湾,大于２２ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１,长江中下游地区１２～１６ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１,华北平原为８～１２ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１,东北地区为４～８ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１;草原地区为２ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１左右,干旱荒漠小于２ｔ·ｈｍ－２·ａ－１。     

视网膜神经节细胞感受野的一种新模型 I.含大周边的感受野模型

感受野是视觉系统信息处理的基本结构和功能单元。Ｘ、Ｙ细胞是两类主要的视网膜神经节细胞。生理实验发现,在经典感受野之外还存在一个大范围的在周边去抑制区。文中采用周边去抑制区对经典外周的去抑制非线性使用方式,建立一个二维的与实验结果联系紧密的Ｘ、Ｙ细胞统一的复合感受野模型。该模型不仅能模拟Ｘ细胞的ｎｕｌｌ－ｔｅｓｔ反应和Ｙ细胞的ｏｎ－ｏｆｆ反应,还模拟了Ｙ细胞在低空频刺激时的信频反应、圆面积空间的倍频     

中立型时滞模型周期正解的一个充分条件

研究了一类中立型时滞模型：Ｎ’（ｔ）＝Ｎ（ｔ）「α（ｔ）－β（ｔ）Ｎ（ｔ）－ｂ（ｔ）Ｎ（ｔ－τ（ｔ））－ｃ（ｔ）Ｎ’（ｔ－τ（ｔ））」周期正解的存在性,其中α（ｔ）,β（ｔ）,ｂ（ｔ）,ｃ（ｔ）,τ（ｔ）是周期Ｔ的非负连续函数。一个新的充分条件被给出,这一结果肯定的回答了文「１」的分开问题９．２。     

鹤山南亚热带草坡生态系统的生物量和生产力研究

以能量利用效率研究为中心,系统研究并分析了鹤山南亚热带草坡多年的光合作用与总第一性生产力、生物量与生物量增量、气候生产力模型和能量利用效率等能量学特征。草坡的总生物量为１１．３０ｔ·（ｈｍ）－２·ａ－１,其生物量增量为１．３９８ｔ·（ｈｍ）－２·ａ－１;草坡的总第一性生产力为４５．５４ｔ·（ｈｍ）－２·ａ－１,净第一性生产力为９．１０８ｔ·（ｈｍ）－２·ａ－１,用于净光合作用耗热１０５．５ＭＪ·ｍ－２·ａ－１,净光合耗热中又仅有２１．１ＭＪ·ｍ－２·ａ－１,用于净第一性生产力,净第一性生产力中又仅有３．２４ＭＪ·ｍ－２·ａ－１用于生物量增量;草坡生态系统的光能利用效率为０．０７％。草坡的能量利用效率是很低的     

Quantitative research on the cyclic fluctuations of the epidemic process in a number of infectious diseases in Bulgaria

The cyclic nature of the epidemic process in Bulgaria was studied by various methods (spectral analysis, etc.), forming a system. The morbidity dynamics in 10 infectious diseases (scarlet fever, rubella, measles, epidemic parotitis, whooping cough, diphtheria, typhoid fever, enterocolitis, bacterial dysentery, viral hepatitis) over the years of 1909-1983 were studied and cycles covering the periods of 3-4, 5-6, 10-11 and over 16 years were established. The data on the relative part of cyclic processes in the registered morbidity of infectious diseases, as well as information on the prognostication of the spread of infections in the absence of vaccinal prophylaxis, are presented.     

The structure of the population morbidity with specific intestinal infections in areas with different intensities in the development of the epidemic process and an evaluation of its manifestations]

The authors analyze the morbidity structure in five enteric infections (typhoid fever, dysentery caused by Shigella flexneri and Shigella sonnei, hepatitis A, and hepatitis E (non A, non B) with the fecal/oral mechanism of the agent transmission) in three towns of Turkmenia and in the town of Novomoskovsk, Tula Province. The incidence of S. sonnei dysentery was found higher in Novomoskovsk and that of the rest enteric infections under study in Turkmenia. The incidence of typhoid fever and hepatitis E was the highest among schoolchildren and adults, whereas preschool children suffered mostly from hepatitis A and S. sonnei dysentery. The authors discuss the specific features of the epidemic process manifestation in enteric infections.     

Mathematical modeling and prognosis of incidence of enteric anthroponoses with aqueous route of transmission

Using data on long-term dynamics of epidemic process of acute enteric infections enteric with aqueous route of transmission (typhoid fever, shigellosis caused by Shigella flexneri, hepatitis A, rotavirus gastroenteritis, etc.)the equation of regression was developed with the help of Chebyshev's polynoms. Predicted incidences of these infections for 2005 were on 61.2-99.5% in agree with the real ones on two territories of north region of West Siberia. Predicted incidence for 2006 is reflecting tendencies of epidemic process of mentioned infections.     

Problems of the epidemiology of viral hepatitis in Ryazan Province

The analysis of some features of the course of the epidemic process of viral hepatitis on the territory of the Ryazan region is presented. Periodic rises and falls in viral hepatitis morbidity, varying in their regularity (4-6 years), have been registered in the region. The general level and the seasonal distribution of viral hepatitis morbidity are determined by the morbidity rate among children, the increase in the proportion of children of senior school age being observed in recent years.     

Zonal characteristics of the dynamics of viral hepatitis A morbidity over a period of many years (based on data from the Ukrainian SSR)

The previously established zonal character of the prevalence of viral hepatitis A in the Ukraine is a stable epidemiological regularity observed for more than 30 years (1952-1985). Zonal differences in the dynamics of the epidemic process of viral hepatitis A were established. These differences became particularly hepatitis manifest in the years of periodic rises in the morbidity rate which is also irregular within zonal and regional boundaries. The main typological variants of the dynamics of the epidemic process ("urban" and "rural") were defined. Typological approach appears to be useful in the provision of information necessary for the proper functioning of epidemiological surveillance and for taking measures aimed at epidemics control.     

Specific features of the typhoid fever epidemic process in organized collective

During the chronic water epidemic of typhoid fever in Tajikistan in 1996-1997 specific features of the epidemic process dynamics in groups of servicemen were studied in several cities. The infective agent was proved to be transmitted by the alimentary route and through everyday contacts, the water route of transmission playing the most important role. The early clinical and epidemiological signs of the water outbreak of typhoid fever and the risk factors were established. The clinical and epidemiological aspects of vaccination were analyzed.     

The territorial and age-related characteristics of the distribution of patients with non-A, non-B viral hepatitis infected via the fecal-oral mechanism in foci of elevated viral hepatitis morbidity in the Uzbek SSR

The study of patients from 10 foci of acute viral hepatitides for the presence of HBsAg (in the passive reverse hemagglutination test) and anti-hepatitis A virus IgM (in the radioimmunoassay) has shown high frequency and variability in the spread of hepatitis non-A, non-B, the prevalence of adults aged 20-29 years and children aged 2-4 years among persons involved into the epidemic process and the tendency towards an increase in the proportion of hepatitis non-A, non-B in the total number of cases of viral hepatitides in the republic.     

Improvement in the tactics of systematic gamma globulin prevention of viral hepatitis taking the morbidity prognosis into account]

On the example of 4 cites of the RSFSR under conditions of expected epidemic threat a possibility was shown of directed influence on the viral hepatitis A epidemic process of preseasonal gamma-globulin prophylaxis conducted in 90% of "organized" children, aged from 1 to 12 years. The dose used was 0.75 ml of a 10% preparation. The method of Gorky Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology was used to prognosticate the morbidity. It is recommended to improve the tactics of preseasonal gamma-globulin prophylaxis with consideration to the data of the viral hepatitis prognosis.     

Morbidity and mortality in acute viral hepatitides in a hyperendemic region. The role of viral hepatitis E

Official annual statistical data on morbidity in acute viral hepatitides (AVH), including the number of lethal cases, for 1985-1995 were analyzed. Mortality rates per 100,000 of the population at the period of 11 years were calculated for different age groups, sex and the place of residence. 396 and 99 patients were examined for the presence of serological markers of hepatitides A, B and E, respectively, at the periods of epidemic rises in morbidity and satisfactory epidemic situation. In the course of 11 years AVH caused the death of 22,405 persons. In 1985-1987 the average mortality level (ML) reached 12.3-17.8 per 100,000 of the population (with morbidity being 1,200-1,400 and was essentially higher among the rural population in comparison with the urban population. During these years the highest ML, was registered among children aged 0-2 years (190-50 per 100,000) and, among adults, mainly among women aged 20-29 years (21.4-19.6 per 100,000). During the years when the epidemic of AVH was absent, ML among these groups was essentially lower: 40-20 among children aged 0-2 years and 4-5 among women aged 20-29 years. In 1987 in the Fergana Valley hepatitis E was detected in 72.2% of all examined patients, and in the southern areas of the country in 68.7%. A sharp rise on mortality among women of the productive age at the period of the epidemic rise of AVH morbidity in the endemic region indicated that this epidemic was linked with hepatitis E. High ML among young children may be indicative of a highly unfavorable course of hepatitis E in the group of infants, which had never been registered before. This newly established regularity may be used for the retrospective diagnostics of the outbreak of hepatitis E.     

Descriptive Epidemiology of Typhoid Fever during an Epidemic in Harare,Zimbabwe, 2012

Background

Typhoid fever remains a significant public health problem in developing countries. In October 2011, a typhoid fever epidemic was declared in Harare, Zimbabwe - the fourth enteric infection epidemic since 2008. To orient control activities, we described the epidemiology and spatiotemporal clustering of the epidemic in Dzivaresekwa and Kuwadzana, the two most affected suburbs of Harare.

Methods

A typhoid fever case-patient register was analysed to describe the epidemic. To explore clustering, we constructed a dataset comprising GPS coordinates of case-patient residences and randomly sampled residential locations (spatial controls). The scale and significance of clustering was explored with Ripley K functions. Cluster locations were determined by a random labelling technique and confirmed using Kulldorff''s spatial scan statistic.

Principal Findings

We analysed data from 2570 confirmed and suspected case-patients, and found significant spatiotemporal clustering of typhoid fever in two non-overlapping areas, which appeared to be linked to environmental sources. Peak relative risk was more than six times greater than in areas lying outside the cluster ranges. Clusters were identified in similar geographical ranges by both random labelling and Kulldorff''s spatial scan statistic. The spatial scale at which typhoid fever clustered was highly localised, with significant clustering at distances up to 4.5 km and peak levels at approximately 3.5 km. The epicentre of infection transmission shifted from one cluster to the other during the course of the epidemic.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated highly localised clustering of typhoid fever during an epidemic in an urban African setting, and highlights the importance of spatiotemporal analysis for making timely decisions about targetting prevention and control activities and reinforcing treatment during epidemics. This approach should be integrated into existing surveillance systems to facilitate early detection of epidemics and identify their spatial range.