基于能值的绿洲种植业系统可持续性及敏感性评价——以新疆渭干河流域为例

利用能值理论与方法对2000～2006年新疆渭干河流域种植业系统的可持续性与敏感性进行分析,研究结果表明:(1)种植业系统的能值总投入逐年上升,不可更新工业辅助能与可更新自然资源能是种植业系统主要的能值投入类型,地均能值投入在上、中、下游呈递增趋势;(2)种植业系统的能值总产出呈现逐年上升趋势,地均能值产出在上、中、下游依次增加,棉花是中游与下游重要的能值产出作物,玉米、小麦是上游主要的能值产出作物;(3)中游种植业系统的可持续发展指数较高,近年来基本处于稳定状态;上游与下游可持续发展能力偏低,并且表现为连续下降的趋势,形成上、下游可持续发展指数偏低的本质原因差别较大;(4)种植业系统对可更新自然资源能的变化响应较弱,对不可更新工业辅助能变化的响应最为明显;下游种植业系统在环境改善或恶化的情景下响应最为敏感,上游种植业系统对环境变化的响应较弱.     

黄土高原-青藏高原过渡带农户生产系统的能值分析——以通渭-渭源-夏河样带为例

通渭-渭源-夏河样带位于黄土高原向青藏高原过渡的生态区,是我国典型农牧交错带。长期以来,不合理的农业生产结构带来生态、经济等一系列问题,制约了该地区草地农业的持续发展。为此,从能值角度分析区域农业生产结构,可为农(牧)户决策提供理论依据,为优化区域农业生产结构提供科学依据。收集研究区农户作物和家畜生产的投入-产出数据,用能值方法分析农户生产系统结构特征、农户生产决策行为及生产系统耦合作用,用结构方程模型(SEM)分析农户生产系统能量的组分间流动。研究发现,随海拔增高,农户作物生产活动减少,作物总产出能值递减;尽管作物生产主要投入和产出要素相同,但同一作物不同地点的同一要素投入、产出能值和能值收益率均存在显著差异(P0.05);同一地点不同作物的同一要素投入、产出能值和能值收益率均差异显著(P0.05);作物生产投入要素中,有机肥能值在通渭和渭源均有较高贡献;作物投入和产出能值的农户生产决策阈值自东向西递减,在能值投入初始增加时,夏河农户作物生产规模扩增最为迅速。家畜养殖规模、能值投入和产出自东向西递增;通渭和渭源,小麦秸秆和苜蓿作为中间投入,能值贡献率达到80%;夏河家畜生产投入要素中,补饲粮食能值贡献率高达90%;家畜投入和产出能值的农户生产决策阈值点自东向西递增;能值收益率随耦合度的增加呈指数上升,通渭和渭源能值收益率的增加速度,随耦合度的增加趋于缓慢,而夏河能值收益率增速随耦合度的增加而上升。调整作物生产内部粮、经、饲产品比例结构,加强作物生产与家畜生产耦合作用,优化天然草地利用方式,实现生态效益最大化;阈值点调控农户生产决策行为,实现该区域农业生产结构优化。     

基于能值分析的无公害设施蔬菜生产系统效率和可持续性评价

发展无公害蔬菜是提高我国蔬菜品质和安全性、增强蔬菜产业竞争力的重要举措。针对蔬菜生产高投入、高产出的特点,采用能值分析方法对无公害设施蔬菜生产系统两种蔬菜栽培模式进行系统效率和可持续性评价,并与一般蔬菜生产模式进行对比。结果表明,无公害蔬菜生产模式能值利用效率、可更新比例、净能值产出率、食品安全性和可持续发展能力分别比一般蔬菜生产系统平均提高24.3%、24.9%、36.0%、98.2%和3.87倍,环境负载率平均下降64.7%,系统投入的能值货币价值平均降低20.0%。在此基础上,通过情景分析表明,如果进一步综合采用收集降雨用于棚内蔬菜灌溉、沼气发电供给蔬菜灌溉利用、通过标准化管理降低人力投入,可以使现有的无公害生产方式的能值利用效率提高3.4%—10.8%,可持续性提高1.2%—31.7%。该研究也表明,将无公害蔬菜生产纳入我国以沼气为纽带的循环农业发展模式中,实现适度的产业结合与规模化经营,能够较好的提高无公害蔬菜生产的生态经济效益和可持续发展能力。     

基于能值理论的循环复合农业生态系统发展评价——以福建省福清星源循环农业产业示范基地为例

循环农业是当前农业可持续发展理念的具体运作模式。对能值分析方法优化,使其更适合循环复合生态系统的应用上进行优化,并以福建省福清星源循环农业产业示范基地为例验证,评价复合生态系统的可持续发展程度和经济效益。结果表明改进的能值分析方法对循环复合农业生态系统的可持续发展评价更科学,复合系统的可持续发展指数比单纯的生猪养殖提高23.44%—33.86%,在4种组合的循环模式中以"生猪养殖-沼气工程-有机肥生产-种植业"循环复合生态系统整体效益最佳,其可持续发展指数最高,环境负载率最低,净能值产出率仅略低于"生猪养殖-沼气工程-种植业"复合系统。     

禁牧政策对宁夏盐池县农业生态系统服务影响的能值分析

农牧交错区农业可持续发展问题一直是我国区域农业研究的重要课题,以典型北方农牧交错区宁夏盐池县为例,利用农业生态系统能值分析框架,评估盐池县1991—2016年农业生态系统正反服务,揭示禁牧政策对农业可持续发展的影响。研究结果表明:(1) 1991—2016年盐池县农业投入能值和农业生态系统正反服务能值一直处于增长的趋势,禁牧政策实施以后增长速度高于禁牧之前,其中农业投入能值的增加主要是由于经济反馈能值投入的增加。(2)根据Pearson相关性分析,盐池县农业生态系统服务和反服务在0.01水平(双侧)呈显著的强正相关,农业生态系统服务和反服务具有相同的变化趋势。(3)生态环境的改善、经济反馈能值和农业灌溉面积的增加,可以增强北方农牧交错区农业抵御气候波动的能力。(4)盐池县农业可持续性高于全国和典型农区的平均水平,禁牧政策实施之前盐池县农业可持续性表现出稳定的下降趋势,而禁牧政策实施以后其可持续性表现为上升的趋势,禁牧政策的实施已初步实现农业生产的生态经济效益。     

毛乌素沙地县域典型农、牧户单元生态经济系统能值分析

农、牧户单元生态经济系统作为最基层的生产单位,关系着国家大政方针政策的落实和实施.运用能值理论及其分析方法,选择毛乌素沙地偏牧区的内蒙古自治区乌审旗苏力德苏木典型牧户生态经济系统和偏农区的陕西省榆阳区牛家梁镇典型农户生态经济系统作为研究对象,对两种不同产业偏重区产业模式的能值投入、产出结构状况进行对比分析,结合净能值产出率、能值投资率、环境负荷力、能值功率密度、单位面积生产力、人均能值用量、人均能值占有量、系统生产优势度、系统稳定性指数和系统可持续性指数共10项能值分析综合指标体系,全面系统地对农、牧户单元生态经济系统进行比较研究,定量描述典型农、牧户单元生态经济系统格局及其发展的总体特征.旨在为毛乌素沙地偏牧区和偏农区农、牧户经营层面的产业模式优化及发展提供策略选择.     

山东省农业生态系统能值分析

为了更好地评价山东省农业种植业对太阳能资源的利用情况和山东省农业的可持续发展状况,用能值分析方法对山东省农业生态系统的能值投入产出状况、环境承载情况和生态系统运行效果进行了定量分析.结果表明:山东农业生态系统的能值投入中,无偿利用的环境能值贡献率、不可更新的工业辅助能值贡献率和可更新的有机能值贡献率分别为21.0%、54.5%和24.5%;净能值产出率为5.31,环境承载力为6.42,能值密度为7.22×1011sej·m-2;基于能值分析的可持续发展指数为1.52.经分析,山东省农业生态系统能值产出效率相对较高,整体运行状况处于较好水平,但仍处于石油农业发展阶段,应引起关注.为促进山东省农业的可持续发展,应调整能值投入结构,加大农业科技的研究和推广力度,逐步减少石化能源的投入比例.     

基于能值理论的吉林省农业生态系统分析

以吉林省为研究区进行了农业生态系统的能值动态分析.结果表明:1990-2007年,吉林省的总能值投入呈上升的趋势,源于经济系统的反馈能值占总投入能值的比例基本保持在85%以上,其中可更新的能值投入占总投入的80%以上(农业劳动力的能值投入占总投入的60%);总产出能值也呈逐年增加的趋势,从1990年的5.5×1022 sej增至2007年的13.61×1022 sej,增长了147%,其中产出能值以种植业和畜牧业为主;1990--2007年总体上吉林省净能值产出率较高,环境负载率比较低,可持续发展能值指标较高并且呈逐年上升的趋势(从1990年的2.64上升到2007年的4.98),但吉林省农业生态系统的社会经济反馈能值中工业辅助能值投入不足,总的来说吉林省的农业可持续发展潜力较大.     

基于能值分析的环洞庭湖区农业生态系统结构功能和效率

为探究湖南环洞庭湖区农业生态系统的生态效率,揭示其中人与自然资源以及环境的相互关系,本文借鉴HT Odum的能值研究方法,以该系统2009年能值投入产出数据为依据,分析了能值结构、功能和效率.结果表明:研究期间,该系统经济较发达,机械化、现代化程度较高,其中,化肥能值和农业机械能值占比分别为47.13％和10.62％,能值密度为8.77×1011 sej·m-2·a-1;系统能值产出不平衡,种植业能值产出比重大,林业和渔业的能值产出比例相对偏低;人均产出能值的货币价值为31873.56元,远远大于该系统人均地区经济总产值24761.14元,表明系统产品的市场定价明显偏低,尤其是种植业产品,自然资源和环境的价值未得到市场体现;环境负载率为1.74,系统可持续发展指数为1.40;人口承受力为4.91×105人(该区域农业从业人口为3.15×106人),说明系统富有活力和发展潜力,自然资源和环境的压力不是很大,但系统人口承受力超载.总之,进一步缩小工农产品的价格剪刀差,继续对种植业产品实行价格保护,调整农业产业结构和产品结构,转移剩余劳动力是当前该区域农业政策的基本取向.     

基于能值分析的深圳市三个小型农业生态经济系统研究

应用能值分析方法,通过能值转换率,把深圳市3个农场生态经济系统的能量流、物质流、货币流和信息流转化为统一量纲———能值。在绘制能值系统概图和编制能值分析表的基础上,建立能值评价指标体系对3个系统的能值输入结构、生产效率、环境负载和可持续发展状况等进行分析和比较。此外,比较经济指标与能值分析结果,并采用情景分析对农场未来发展做出预测。能值分析方法不仅考虑环境及其服务功能对经济生产的贡献,同时能值交换率和能值产出率把系统经济流入和产出纳入分析过程,结合环境和经济评价,可用于综合分析农场生态效益和经济效益。研究结果表明:西丽果场是可持续发展能力最高的农场,碧岭现代农业科技园次之,而山海农场的可持续发展能力最低。都市农场应该大比例利用可更新资源,努力发展农业生产,并且积极提升农业的技术含量。在此基础上,控制规模合理地发展旅游经济,走高科技农业生态旅游之路。     

京郊农业生物循环系统生态经济能值评估——以密云尖岩村为例

国内外学术界和决策者对于循环农业给予了相当关注,但关于循环农业研究,从产业经济角度进行定量分析目前仍处于相对匮乏状态.以京郊典型的尖岩村农业生物循环农业范式为案例,采用能值方法,以翔实的数据描述了从种植、养殖到食用菌生产的各个阶段能量输入与输出,通过能值评估指标体系判断在整个循环产业链条中,各生产环节对环境经济产生的影响,结果显示:(1)农业生物循环系统的能值投资率(2.57)较养殖(116.23)、食用菌子系统(158.73)低;环境负荷率(1.40)也较养殖子系统(7.24)、食用菌子系统(13)低,表明,该循环模式可减少对自然资源和外来经济投入的依赖,能够获得自身的资源补偿.(2)农业生物循环系统的净能值产出率和可持续发展指数较高,说明,该模式有较强的获利性,是较理想的产业系统,在北京郊区推广价值较高.     

Emergy and economic evaluations of four fruit production systems on reclaimed wetlands surrounding the Pearl River Estuary,China

Emergy and economic methods were used to evaluate and compare a traditional tropical fruit cultivation system, for bananas, and three newly introduced fruit cultivation systems, for papaya, guava and wampee, on reclaimed wetlands of the Pearl River Estuary, China. The goal of this study was to apply ecological engineering principles to fruit production system designs to maximize total emergy benefits and sustainability. The evaluations considered input structure, production efficiency, environmental impacts, economic viability and sustainability. The market effects on emergy exchange were assessed both for purchasing the inputs to production and for selling the fruit. These market effects were also considered in the evaluation of sustainability by using the Emergy Index for Sustainable Development (EISD), which was evaluated with and without taking the change in natural capital (i.e., soil organic matter) into consideration. The results showed that all three of the newly introduced systems are much more sustainable than the traditional banana production system. The guava production system had the highest value of the Emergy Sustainability Index (ESI = 0.40). The high price of wampee gave it the highest economic yield/cost ratio (4.87) and EISD (0.73). Emergy and economic evaluations are complementary methods, with emergy analysis shedding more light on environmental support and impacts of the production systems not considered in the market value, and economic analysis focusing on the effects of markets on fruit production. The Emergy Exchange Ratio (EER) was proposed as a bridge between emergy and economic evaluations for specific systems and/or processes.     

种养系统可持续发展指数的空间格局及其演变趋势——以山东省为例

农业生产专业化、集约化背景下,种养分离越发严重,畜禽粪便排放与环境之间矛盾日益突出,农业可持续发展面临重大挑战.本研究以山东省为例,基于1999-2015年种养系统投入产出资料,利用能值的方法,定量分析了山东省域及市域种养系统可持续发展指数的空间格局及其演变趋势.结果表明:1999-2015年,山东省种养系统的可持续性减弱.可持续发展指数呈极显著下降趋势,2015年较1999年下降了22.0%;净能值产出率和环境负载率均呈极显著增加趋势,单位经济投入获得的利益显著增加,同时种养生产对环境的压力明显加大,这主要与电力、复合肥、农业机械等工业资源投入量的增加密切相关.山东省各地市种养系统可持续发展水平具有差异.大部分地市种养系统的可持续发展指数较高,而沿海地区(威海、烟台)和工业城市(淄博)则较低.同时,各地市种养系统的可持续发展态势也具有差异.鲁中和鲁南地区可持续性逐年减弱,鲁北地区可持续性逐年增强.以2015年为本底数据进行情景分析,发现种养高度结合(100%粪便有机肥替代化肥)情景的可持续发展指数可达8.4,是种养结合现状(30%粪便有机肥替代化肥)的2.6倍.     

舟山市东极大黄鱼养殖系统能值评估

以能值理论为基础,选择浙江省舟山市东极大黄鱼养殖系统为研究对象,在定量分析大黄鱼养殖系统的物流和能流基础上,通过建立能值评价指标体系,综合评价了东极大黄鱼养殖系统对环境的影响及其可持续性.结果表明:东极大黄鱼养殖系统的太阳能值转换率TR为1.46× 106 sej/J,环境承载力ELR为91.10,能值投入的生产效率PEEl为6.91× 10-7,能值持续性指数ESI为0.011.东极大黄鱼养殖系统虽然生产效率较高,但是过分依赖于外部购买资源,并且系统对环境的压力较大,环境的持续性也较差.另外,与广东珠江口3个不同鱼种养殖系统的有关指标进行了对比,提出了大黄鱼养殖系统的可持续性发展建议.     

Emergy analysis of regional water ecological–economic system

The theoretical framework and methodology of a water ecological–economic system (WEES) assessment based on emergy synthesis are proposed in this paper. Through calculating ecological and economic inputs and outputs within and outside the complex system, this paper discusses the system's economic situation, water resources development and system sustainability based on a series of emergy indicators. Besides traditional indices, following the principle of system assessment, four new indices, water emergy ratio (WER), water emergy utilization ratio (WEUR), water emergy self-support ratio (WESR), and water emergy density (WED) are formulated to assess the state of water resources development quantitatively. Taking the Zhengzhou water ecological–economic system as a study area, through the comparison of the systematic indicators of Zhengzhou with those of the selected Chinese cities, the general status of the Zhengzhou water ecological–economic system in China is identified. The results also show that most indicators of Beijing are located at middle levels among the selected Chinese cities. In particular, the sustainability, expressed by the indicators emergy-based sustainability index (ESI) and water resources population carrying capacity (WPC) were 1.34 and 1.94 million, respectively, in Zhengzhou in 2005, which indicates that the Zhengzhou WEES is in heavy pressure of water resources and is located at low levels of sustainability.     

A semantic study of the Emergy Sustainability Index in the hybrid lifecycle-emergy framework

Emergy-based indicators are claimed to be useful outcomes of the emergy evaluation framework, which aims at guiding decision-makers toward environmental sustainability. The calculation of the Emergy Sustainability Index (ESI), in particular, seems widely consensual among emergy scholars, but several variants actually exist in the scientific literature, which may lead to different interpretations or misunderstanding of the ESI result. This paper proposes a semantic study of two variants in both components of the ESI (the Emergy Yield Ratio and the Environmental Loading Ratio, respectively EYR and ELR), to enhance standardization and reproducibility in the calculation of emergy indicators. It is shown that ESI can be consistently defined at the level of the production site as well as from a lifecycle perspective, although several case studies in the literature use an intermediary version with inconsistent system boundaries. A recent definition of lifecycle-oriented EYR is made operational by the development of an algorithm to be implemented in the emergy accounting software SCALE. However, the classification of foreground inputs needs further precision. ESI is also decomposed using partial derivatives, in order to analyze the influence of each input category and retrieve generic recommendations. These multiple outcomes demonstrate the added value of hybrid lifecycle-emergy evaluation to identify specific potential actions toward enhancing ESI of human activities.     

Sustainability evaluation of e-waste treatment based on emergy analysis and the LCA method: A case study of a trial project in Macau

Electrical and electronic waste (e-waste) has become one of the fastest growing waste streams in the world, and many countries have established e-waste treatment enterprises to solve their e-waste problems. Because of the potential environmental pollution from e-waste, evaluating the overall sustainability of e-waste enterprises is critical to both nations and cities, although a great challenge academically. In this study, a combined approach of emergy analysis and life cycle assessment (LCA) was undertaken, to quantitatively investigate the effectiveness of an e-waste treatment trial project in Macau. In the emergy analysis, we also introduced two new indices (emergy recovery and technical efficiency) in order to evaluate the technical level of e-waste treatment in Macau. The research results show that the trial project has low competitive ability, due to high input emergy and low economic benefits. The emergy environmental efficiency analysis and LCA analysis together indicated that the trial project will indeed produce a low impact on the local environment, and because of the recovery of some resources in the e-waste treatment process, can even generate some environmental benefits. The analysis on the emergy recovery efficiency and technical efficiency shows that trial project has a relatively higher emergy recovery rate (52.78%) and technical level (72.36%) than the e-waste treatment enterprises in mainland China. However, based on both the emergy sustainability index (ESI) and the emergy–LCA sustainability index, it was found that the e-waste treatment trial project is not sustainable over the long term, due to low economic efficiency. Compared to ESI, the emergy–LCA sustainability index is more intuitive and easier to understand. Relevant results and data from this study could provide decision support to enterprise managers and government sectors, so that they could implement appropriate policies on e-waste treatment, to promote sustainable development and improved e-waste processing technologies.     

Emergy analysis of cassava chips-suitable feedstock for fuel ethanol in China

The theory and indices of Odum's concept of emergy are explained. The environmental and economic inputs and sustainability of cassava chips production system are evaluated by emergy methodology. The emergy indices of cassava chips production system were calculated as follows: Tr (transformity) was 6.85E + 11 sej/kg, EYR (emergy yield ratio) was 1.11, ELR (environmental loading ratio) was 1.75, EIR (emergy investment ratio) was 9.33, and ESI (emergy sustainability indice) was 0.63. The emergy indices of four kinds of feedstock for fuel ethanol—corn, wheat, sugarcane, and cassava chips—were compared. Least solar energy was consumed when taking cassava chips as feedstock for fuel ethanol. According to the emergy indices, using cassava chips as the feedstock of fuel ethanol is helpful for sustainable development in China.     

Emergy synthesis of a combined food and energy production system compared to a conventional wheat (Triticum aestivum) production system

It is a major challenge to produce food and energy sustainably for the ever increasing world population as today's conventional food production and energy needs are met by the fossil based resources, causing enormous environmental load. A novel, combined food and energy (CFE) agro-ecosystem, was designed for sustainable production of food, fodder and energy without chemical inputs (fertiliser, herbicide and fungicide). The objective was an emergy synthesis of the CFE system compared to a conventional wheat (Triticum aestivum) production system to assess resource use efficiency. The emergy indices, used to assess the environmental performance and sustainability, exhibited contrasting differences between the two production systems in terms of outputs (Y), total emergy use, solar transformity, relative use of local renewable resources, environmental loading ratio (ELR), emergy yield ratio (EYR) and emergy sustainability index (ESI). The Y in the CFE consisted of grain, straw, fodder and woodchip production of 4020, 3580, 6100 and 10,000 kg/ha/yr respectively whereas Y in the conventional wheat consisted of 7250 and 3770 kg grain and straw/ha/yr respectively. The Y in the CFE was 81% (2.80E+11 J/ha/yr) higher with 13.5 times (6.40E+03 seJ/J) lower solar transformity compared to the Y (1.54E+11 J/ha/yr) and solar transformity (8.63E+04 seJ/J) in the conventional wheat, exhibiting highly resource intensive production in conventional wheat. The local renewables constituted 19.2% and 2.6% of the total emergy input in the CFE and the conventional wheat respectively with a corresponding lower ELR (4.21) and 22.5% higher EYR (1.26) in CFE compared to conventional wheat. CFE was more reliant on local renewable emergy flows and compatible with the local environment with higher ESI (0.30) compared to conventional wheat (0.03), where 64.5% of the total emergy input constituted chemical inputs. The study demonstrated that the innovative agro-ecosystem, exemplified by CFE, is considerably less resource demanding and more amenable to sustainable production, whether defined in terms of outputs, solar transformity, relative use of local renewable resources, EYR, ELR or ESI.