Time Varying Optimization for Monitoring Multiple Contaminants under Uncertain Hydrogeology

This study presents a method for identifying cost effective sampling designs for long-term monitoring of remediation of groundwater over multiple monitoring periods under uncertain flow conditions. A contaminant transport model is used to simulate plume migration under many equally likely stochastic hydraulic conductivity fields and provides representative samples of contaminant concentrations. Monitoring costs are minimized under a constraint to meet an acceptable level of error in the estimation of total mass for multiple contaminants simultaneously over many equiprobable realizations of hydraulic conductivity field. A new myopic heuristic algorithm (MS-ER) that combines a new error-reducing search neighborhood is developed to solve the optimization problem. A simulated annealing algorithm using the error-reducing neighborhood (SA-ER) and a genetic algorithm (GA) are also considered for solving the optimization problem. The method is applied to a hypothetical aquifer where enhanced anaerobic bioremediation of four toxic chlorinated ethene species is modeled using a complex contaminant transport model. The MS-ER algorithm consistently performed better in multiple trials of each algorithm when compared to SA-ER and GA. The best design of MS-ER algorithm produced a savings of nearly 25% in project cost over a conservative sampling plan that uses all possible locations and samples.