Box-Jenkins forecasting in ecology: An answer to poole

This answering of Poole, 1978, Poole, 1976 aims at rounding off our exchange of views, without losing the readership from an excess of toing and froing between the four contributions. So my final rejoinder only attempts at treating the general points raised by Poole (1978), rather than taking issue with all the minutiae, which would require too many quotes of quotes and counterquotes. The main nub of contention remains as to whether or not statistical fits can be meaningfully interpreted biologically.