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Estimating Geographical Variation in the Risk of Zoonotic Plasmodium knowlesi Infection in Countries Eliminating Malaria
Authors:Freya M Shearer  Zhi Huang  Daniel J Weiss  Antoinette Wiebe  Harry S Gibson  Katherine E Battle  David M Pigott  Oliver J Brady  Chaturong Putaporntip  Somchai Jongwutiwes  Yee Ling Lau  Magnus Manske  Roberto Amato  Iqbal R F Elyazar  Indra Vythilingam  Samir Bhatt  Peter W Gething  Balbir Singh  Nick Golding  Simon I Hay  Catherine L Moyes
Abstract:BackgroundInfection by the simian malaria parasite, Plasmodium knowlesi, can lead to severe and fatal disease in humans, and is the most common cause of malaria in parts of Malaysia. Despite being a serious public health concern, the geographical distribution of P. knowlesi malaria risk is poorly understood because the parasite is often misidentified as one of the human malarias. Human cases have been confirmed in at least nine Southeast Asian countries, many of which are making progress towards eliminating the human malarias. Understanding the geographical distribution of P. knowlesi is important for identifying areas where malaria transmission will continue after the human malarias have been eliminated.Conclusions/SignificanceWe have produced the first map of P. knowlesi malaria risk, at a fine-scale resolution, to identify priority areas for surveillance based on regions with sparse data and high estimated risk. Our map provides an initial evidence base to better understand the spatial distribution of this disease and its potential wider contribution to malaria incidence. Considering malaria elimination goals, areas for prioritised surveillance are identified.
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