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Model complexity affects species distribution projections under climate change
Authors:Philipp Brun  Wilfried Thuiller  Yohann Chauvier  Loïc Pellissier  Rafael O. Wüest  Zhiheng Wang  Niklaus E. Zimmermann
Affiliation:1. Swiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland;2. Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Laboratoire d’Écologie Alpine, Grenoble, France;3. Swiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland

Department of Environmental Systems Science, Landscape Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland;4. Institute of Ecology and Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China

Abstract:
Keywords:climate change  European trees  future projection  model performance  multicollinearity  number of variables  parameterization complexity  species distribution modelling  species range change  species range loss
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