Long-term variation in trematode (Trematoda, Digenea) component communities associated with intertidal gastropods is linked to abundance of final hosts

Trematodes are abundant parasites essential for maintaining stability of marine intertidal ecosystems. Despite the great ecological significance of trematodes, long-term dynamics of their communities remains practically unstudied. This study, based on 12-year-long seasonal monitoring of infection of Littorina and Hydrobia snails with 16 trematode species in the White Sea, aimed to reveal factors determining long-term variation in infection of intertidal snails by trematode parthenitae and larvae. Using the state-of-the-art method of singular spectrum analysis, we revealed trends in this variation and assessed their significance. Interestingly, these trends were not associated with oceanic and climatic parameters but were mostly determined by changes in abundance of the trematode final hosts. Moreover, the prevalence trends turned out to be connected with both large-scale events and local factors at the scale of the intertidal site. The main factors determining the long-term dynamics of the trematode component communities in the study area were the decreasing abundance of birds due to growing anthropogenic disturbance and the increasing abundance of the three-spined stickleback. The analysis of long-term trends of trematode prevalence in intertidal snails may be a sensitive indicator of the abundance dynamics of final hosts in the coastal areas of temperate and northern seas.