Theropithecus and 'Out of Africa' dispersal in the Plio-Pleistocene

Theropithecus oswaldi was one of the most widely distributed Plio-Pleistocene primates, found in southern, East, and North Africa, as well as in Spain, India, and possibly Italy. Such a large geographic range for a single primate species is highly unusual. Here, the nature and timing of its dispersal is examined using the Stepping Out cellular automata model. A hypothetical dispersal of T. darti is also modelled to assess whether the late Pliocene might have been a more favorable period for Afro-Eurasian dispersal than the early Pleistocene. Stepping Out draws on climatic and biome reconstruction to provide the paleovegetative and climatic background necessary for the simulations, and model parameters for T. oswaldi and T. darti were set a priori on the basis of their fossil records and paleobiologies. The simulations indicate that T. darti could have readily left Africa in the Pliocene, and that it swiftly reaches Asia. A European T. darti colonization was less certain and less rapid. The simulated T. oswaldi dispersal out of Africa was slower, but nonetheless T. oswaldi arrived at Mirzapur within the time period indicated by the fossil record. Using the a priori parameters, T. oswaldi did not arrive at the European sites of Cueva Victoria and Pirro Nord. It cannot be discounted, therefore, that some of the European fossils are a result of an earlier T. darti dispersal. The simulations also showed that in order for Theropithecus to reach Europe, it needed to be tolerant of a relatively wide range of habitats. In addition, our finding that Asian colonization was more rapid and more probable parallels the information from the hominin fossil record, in which the fossils from Asia predate those from Europe by several hundred thousand years.