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具有潜伏和隔离的传染病模型的全局稳定性
引用本文:胡新利,;周义仓.具有潜伏和隔离的传染病模型的全局稳定性[J].生物数学学报,2009(3):461-469.
作者姓名:胡新利  ;周义仓
作者单位:[1]西安交通大学理学院,陕西西安710049; [2]西安工程大学理学院,陕西西安710048
摘    要:研究了一类具有隔离仓室和潜伏仓室的非线性高维自治微分系统SEQIJR传染病模型,得到疾病绝灭与否的阀值一基本再生数R0.证明了当R0≤1时,模型仅存在无病平衡点,且无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的,疾病最终绝灭;当R0〉1时,模型存在两个平衡点,无病平衡点不稳定,地方病平衡点全局渐近稳定,疾病将持续.隔离措施影响着基本再生数,进而推得结论:适当地增大隔离强度,将有益于有效地控制疾病的蔓延.这就从理论上揭示了隔离对疾病控制的积极作用.

关 键 词:传染病模型  基本再生数  全局稳定性  轨道渐近稳定

The Global Stability of the Epidemic Model with Latency and Quarantine
Institution:HU Xin-li, ZHOU Yi-cang (1 Science College, Xi' an Jiaotong University, Xi' an Shanxi 710049 China;2 Science College, Xi'an Polytechnic University, Xit an Shanxi 710048 China)
Abstract:In this paper, a class of non-linear high dimensional autonomous SEQIJR epidemiology model containing quarantine is studied. The threshold, basic reproductive number, which determines whether a disease is extinct or not is obtained. The existence and global stabilities of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are proved. The conclusions indicate that a proper increasing of segregation intension benefits the efficient restraining disease spread. It is theoretically showed that the segregation has an active effect on disease controlling.
Keywords:Epidemic model  Basic reproductive number  Global stability  Orbital asymptotical stability
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