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A stochastic model of animal growth
Authors:J R Parks
Institution:A.R.C. Animal Breeding Organization, West Mains Rd., Edinburgh EH9 3JQ, Scotland
Abstract:The plasticity of growth of animals in time, due to the resilience of their response to the ways they can be fed, suggests the difficulty of describing growth by a stochastic model in the time domain. A model is presented which avoids this difficulty by describing growth as a Markov process in the food-consumed domain, assuming that, at conception, (1) the maximum mature weight as a number α of biomass units of mass μ, and (2) the probability B of production of a biomass unit per unit of food consumed, are specified. Constancy of α, μ and B, as the animal feeds, is the basis of the proposed Markov process. The mean growth from infancy to maturity in the food-consumed domain is then the old law of diminishing returns empirically formulated first by Spillman (1924) for cattle and swine, and confirmed by Titus, Jull &; Hendricks (1934) for fowl, and by Parks (1972) across species from mice to steers. The solution also leads to the possibility that the distribution of weights in a population of growing animals of the same species, is related to the distribution of mature weights among the individuals. An experiment by Lister &; McCance (1967) with well-fed and severely undernourished pigs, shows the stability of growth in the foodconsumed domain compared to the plasticity in the time domain. Other implications of the model are discussed.
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