Mathematical modelling of ecological succesion—a review

The present review gives an account of the applicability of mathematical modelling in ecological succession studies. The ability of particular model types to solve problems of both theory and management is discussed. The Markovian models are found to be useful for short term predictions, but of very limited value for theoretical considerations. Finally, the predictability of successional pathways is discussed. It is argued that the less we understand about processes in vegetation dynamics, the more we will see the course of succession as random and unpredictable.