Estimating the impact of changing fertilizer application rate, land use, and climate on nitrous oxide emissions in Irish grasslands

Aim

This study examines the impact of changing nitrogen (N) fertilizer application rates, land use and climate on N fertilizer-derived direct nitrous oxide (N₂O) emissions in Irish grasslands.

Methods

A set of N fertilizer application rates, land use and climate change scenarios were developed for the baseline year 2000 and then for the years 2020 and 2050. Direct N₂O emissions under the different scenarios were estimated using three different types of emission factors and a newly developed Irish grassland N₂O emissions empirical model.

Results

There were large differences in the predicted N₂O emissions between the methodologies, however, all methods predicted that the overall N₂O emissions from Irish grasslands would decrease by 2050 (by 40–60 %) relative to the year 2000. Reduced N fertilizer application rate and land-use changes resulted in decreases of 19–34 % and 11–60 % in N₂O emission respectively, while climate change led to an increase of 5–80 % in N₂O emission by 2050.

Conclusions

It was observed in the study that a reduction in N fertilizer and a reduction in the land used for agriculture could mitigate emissions of N₂O, however, future changes in climate may be responsible for increases in emissions causing the positive feedback of climate on emissions of N₂O.