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Combined Psychophysiological Assessment of ADHD: A Pilot Study of Bayesian Probability Approach Illustrated by Appraisal of ADHD in Female College Students
Authors:Raina Robeva  Jennifer Kim Penberthy  Tim Loboschefski  Daniel Cox  Boris Kovatchev
Affiliation:Department of Mathematical Sciences, Sweet Briar College, Sweet Briar, Virginia 24595, USA. robeva@sbc.edu
Abstract:Manifestations of ADHD are observed at both psychological and physiological levels and assessed via various psychometric, EEG, and imaging tests. However, no test is 100% accurate in its assessment of ADHD. This study introduces a stochastic assessment combining psychometric tests with previously reported (Consistency Index) and newly developed (Alpha Blockade Index) EEG-based physiological markers of ADHD. The assessment utilizes classical Bayesian inference to refine after each step the probability of ADHD of each individual. In a pilot study involving six college females with ADHD and six matched controls, the assessment achieved correct classification for all ADHD and non-ADHD participants. In comparison, the classification of ADHD versus non-ADHD participants was < 85% for any one of the tests separately. The procedure significantly improved the score separation between ADHD versus non-ADHD groups. The final average probabilities for ADHD were 76% for the ADHD group and 8% for the control group. These probabilities correlated (r = .87) with the Brown ADD scale and (r = .84) with the ADHD-Symptom Inventory used for the screening of the participants. We conclude that, although each separate test was not completely accurate, a combination of several tests classified correctly all ADHD and all non-ADHD participants. The application of the proposed assessment is not limited to the specific tests used in this study--the assessment represents a general paradigm capable of accommodating a variety of ADHD tests into a single diagnostic assessment.
Keywords:attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)  electroencephalography (EEG)  Bayesian probability/statistics  diagnostic assessment
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