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Accuracy of canine parturition date prediction using fetal measurements obtained by ultrasonography
Authors:Kutzler Michelle A  Yeager Amy E  Mohammed Hussni O  Meyers-Wallen Vicki N
Affiliation:Department of Biomedical Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA. michelle.kutzler@oregonstate.edu
Abstract:The length of canine gestation is 65 days from the luteinizing hormone (LH) surge. Early and accurate determination of canine gestational age is useful for predicting and managing parturition. We performed a retrospective study on fetal measurements obtained by transabdominal ultrasonographic examination of 83 bitches (32 breeds) to estimate gestational age. Gestational age was estimated using two published tables correlating either (1). embryonic vesicle diameter (EVD), crown-rump length (CRL), body diameter (BD), and biparietal diameter (HD) to the LH surge in mid-gestational beagles or (2). BD and HD to parturition in late-gestation retrievers. Parturition date was predicted by obtaining the difference between the gestational age estimate and 65 days. Bitches were divided into four body weight (BW) groups based on nonpregnant body weight: small (9-20 kg), large (>20-40 kg), and giant (>40 kg). Mean+/-S.D. litter size (LS) was calculated for each BW group. The BW groups were then divided into small, average, or large LS groups. The accuracy of the prediction was not affected by LS but was affected by maternal body weight for small and giant BW groups only. When adjusted for weight, the accuracy of prediction within +/-1 day and +/-2 day intervals was 75 and 87%, respectively. Using stepwise logisitic regression, the most accurate prediction of parturition date was obtained when fetuses were measured at 30 days after the LH surge, regardless of body weight or LS. Parturition date predictions made after 39 days of gestation using only biparietal and BD fetal measurements were <50% accurate within +/-2 days.
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