Models of epidemics: when contact repetition and clustering should be included |
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Authors: | Timo Smieszek Lena Fiebig Roland W Scholz |
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Institution: | (1) Institute for Environmental Decisions, Natural and Social Science Interface, ETH Zurich, Universitaetsstrasse 22, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland;(2) Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, Swiss Tropical Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4051 Basel, Switzerland |
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Abstract: | Background The spread of infectious disease is determined by biological factors, e.g. the duration of the infectious period, and social
factors, e.g. the arrangement of potentially contagious contacts. Repetitiveness and clustering of contacts are known to be
relevant factors influencing the transmission of droplet or contact transmitted diseases. However, we do not yet completely
know under what conditions repetitiveness and clustering should be included for realistically modelling disease spread. |
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