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Positive Association Among Three Binary Variables and Cross-Product Ratios
Authors:Fienberg, Stephen E.   Kim, Sung-Ho
Affiliation:Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213, U.S.A. fienberg{at}stat.cmu.edu
Abstract:We show that, when the three-way association level among thethree binary variables, X, U1 and U2 is fixed, DP = pr(X = 1¦U1= 1) – pr(X = 1¦U1 = 0) increases as the cross-productratio of U1 and U2 increases under the assumption that X ispositively associated with U1 and U2. We then discuss some implicationsof this property.
Keywords:Conditional probability    Discriminating ability    Prediction robustness    Yule-Simpson paradox
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