| 模糊综合评判法在斜纹夜蛾预测预报上的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 秦厚国,聂南生,黄水金,罗任华,朱雪晶. 模糊综合评判法在斜纹夜蛾预测预报上的应用[J]. 华东昆虫学报, 2007, 16(3): 181-186 |
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| 作者姓名： | 秦厚国 聂南生 黄水金 罗任华 朱雪晶 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省农业科学院植物保护研究所,江西,南昌,330200;江西省新干县农业局植保站,江西,新干,331300 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过分析多年斜纹夜蛾灯下虫量、田间虫量以及气象资料,采用模糊综合评判的原理和方法,组建了斜纹夜蛾发生量模糊综合评判模型。应用该模型对2006年和2007年斜纹夜蛾田间发生量进行预测,预测结果与田间发生实况基本相符。
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| 关 键 词： | 斜纹夜蛾 发生量预测 模糊综合评判 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-1694（2007）03-0181-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-07-10 |
Forecasting of Spodoptera litura by application of fezzy synthetic assessment |
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| QIN Hou-guo,NIE Nan-sheng,HUANG Shui-jin,LUO Ren-hua,ZHU Xue-jing. Forecasting of Spodoptera litura by application of fezzy synthetic assessment[J]. Entomological Journal of East China, 2007, 16(3): 181-186 |
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| Authors: | QIN Hou-guo NIE Nan-sheng HUANG Shui-jin LUO Ren-hua ZHU Xue-jing |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Institute of Plant Protection,Jiangxi Academy of Agricultural Science, Nanchang, Jiangxi 330200, China; 2. Xingan County Station of Plant Protection, Xingan, Jiangxi 331300, China |
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| Abstract: | Using the method of fuzzy synthetic assessment,the predictive model of the population of Spodoptera litura Fabricius was established according to the analysis of the climatic data,the population data of S.litura in the field and that in the lamp light trap for many years.The field population of S.litura in 2006 and in 2007 were predicted using the above predictive model,respectively.The test and verification results showed the prognoses corresponded with the actual field population of S.litura. |
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| Keywords: | Spodoptera litura quantitative forecast fezzy synthetic assessment |
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