Mass-balanced trophic and loop models of complex benthic systems in northern Chile (SE Pacific) to improve sustainable interventions: a comparative analysis

The capacity to withstand perturbations and the propagation of direct and indirect effects of harvesting were explored in seagrass and sand–gravel subtidal subsystems of northern Chile using Ecopath II, Ecosim and Loop Analysis theoretical frameworks. The relative Ascendancy and Redundancy from Ecopath II and Ecosim models and the holistic stability measure (F _n ) given by Loop Analysis, all suggest that the sand–gravel subsystem is the more resistant and its fishery more sustainable. This outcome is relevant since the theoretical frameworks used are based on different assumptions but arrive at similar conclusions. If the fishery is included in the qualitative ecological models, which were found locally stable only when the fishery is self-controlled. While this conclusion is not new, its relevance here is that it emerges from qualitative multispecies modelling (Loop Analysis). Based on our model predictions, the biomass removal of the sea star Meyenaster gelatinosus would increase the standing stock of the commercial scallop Argopecten purpuratus only in the seagrass habitat, whereas the same man-made intervention may have an opposite effect in the sand–gravel habitat. We recommend to enunciate holistic models based on the theoretical framework used in the current work, which explore the reality from different perspectives assuming different givens. Based on these holistic explorations alternative and complementary management scenarios could be designed. Handling editor: T. P. Crowe