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Simple Epidemic Models with Positive Latent Period
Authors:K Suneja
Abstract:This paper deals with two types of simple epidemic models, namely, deterministic and stochastic wherein the latent period is assumed to be positive. In the deterministic epidemic model, the distributions of susceptibles, inactive infectives, active infectives and that of epidemic curve which gives the rate at which new infections take place have been obtained. The expression for the expected time of the entire epidemic has been derived. Also the partial differential equation for the moment generating function of the proportion of susceptibles in the population is established. In the end, we have studied a stochastic approach of the system.
Keywords:Simple epidemic  deterministic and stochastic models  latent period  Epidemic curve  Total time of the epidemic
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