Stress and disturbance determine the demographic dynamics of two grass species along a grazing gradient in Southern Mexico

Chronic anthropogenic disturbance (CAD), characterized by low-intensity but high frequency, is a major driver of environmental degradation in developing countries. CAD is a mixture of disturbance sensu stricto (DSS), that is, plant biomass removal and stress that reduces biomass production due to changes in environmental conditions. However, we still lack data on the separate effects of both components and their interaction in nature. We analyze the demographic effects of DSS and stress on two grass species in an area heavily affected by livestock raising (a widespread cause of CAD) during the last 500 year. We compared areas exposed to DSS and stress with areas without grazing but that continue experiencing a gradient of stress. Using matrix and integral projection models, we analyzed DSS and stress effects on population growth rates (λ) of two grass species and determined the relative importance of different vital rates and states for the change on λ. Disturbance and stress affected different individuals and processes. For example, changed conditions due to stress increased seedling mortality, but DSS reduced size (growth) of large plants through grazing. CAD had highly nonlinear and species-specific effects on population size structures, λ and elasticities. Such complex behavior is seemingly due to changes in the components of CAD as it intensified and synergic interactions between disturbance and stress. Given CAD's multivariate nature, these results are not surprising. Nevertheless, grouping this multitude of factors into two broad categories, namely DSS and stress, may prove a useful conceptual tool for analysis.