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Examining the total arrival distribution of migratory birds
Authors:T H Sparks  F Bairlein†  J G Bojarinova‡  O Hüppop†  E A Lehikoinen§  K Rainio§  L V Sokolov¶  D Walker&#;
Institution:NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Abbots Ripton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire PE28 2LS, UK,;Institute of Avian Research, 'Vogelwarte Helgoland', An der Vogelwarte 21, D-26386 Wilhelmshaven, Germany,;Biological Institute of St-Petersburg State University, Oranienbaumskoje sh. 2, Stary Peterhoff, St Petersburg 198504, Russia,;Department of Biology, University of Turku, 20014 Turku, Finland,;Biological Station Rybachy, Kaliningrad Region, Rybachy 238535, Russia,;Dungeness Bird Observatory, 11 RNSSS Cottages, Dungeness, Romney Marsh, Kent TN29 9NA, UK
Abstract:This paper reports on the total distribution of spring migration timing of willow warbler, chiffchaff and pied flycatcher at locations in the UK, Germany, Russia and Finland. This is the first time that high‐quality data based on known‐effort monitoring has been examined on a continental scale. First arrival dates, commonly reported in the literature, were positively correlated with mean arrival dates although they would not make good predictors of the latter. At all locations, at least one aspect of the arrival distribution of each species had got significantly earlier in recent years. The trend towards earliness was associated with warmer local temperatures and more positive winter North Atlantic Oscillation index. In years that were early, the arrival distribution became more elongated and skewed. Researchers should now investigate the consequences of earlier arrival on current and future bird populations.
Keywords:climate impacts  Finland  first arrival date  Germany  Migration  NAO  phenology  Russia  spring  UK
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