Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of the American Thyroid Association Guidelines and American College of Radiology TI-RADS

ObjectiveTo evaluate the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines and 2017 American College of Radiology (ACR) Thyroid Imaging, Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) for their efficacy in predicting malignant thyroid nodules and safety in recommending fine needle aspiration (FNA).MethodsWe reviewed data of 970 thyroid nodules from 908 patients with core needle biopsy pathology. We calculated the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for each guideline to predict malignancies. We compared the areas under the curve and FNA recommendations between the 2 guidelines.ResultsAccording to the core needle biopsy pathology, 59.9% (581/970) of the thyroid nodules were malignant. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value was 68%, 91%, 33%, 67%, and 70%, respectively, for the ATA guidelines and 70%, 84%, 49%, 71%, and 68%, respectively, for the ACR TI-RADS. Areas under the curve (ATA: 0.71 vs ACR TI-RADS: 0.74; P = .054) were similar when predicting malignancies. For the 545 nodules with maximum diameter ≥1.0 cm, the ACR TI-RADS recommended FNA less often than the ATA guidelines (83.3% 454/545] vs 87.7% 478/545]; P = .01). For the 321 malignant nodules with maximum diameter ≥1.0 cm, the proportions of FNA recommendations were not significantly different (ACR TI-RADS: 90.7% 291/321] vs ATA: 92.5% 297/321]; P = .06).ConclusionThe 2015 ATA guidelines and 2017 ACR TI-RADS showed a similar ability in predicting malignancies. Reducing FNA recommendations by the ACR TI-RADS would not lead to a significant decrease in the FNA recommendations given for malignancies with maximum diameter ≥1.0 cm.