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Factors associated with in-hospital mortality of adult tetanus patients–a multicenter study from Bangladesh
Authors:Md. Abdullah Saeed Khan  Mohammad Jahid Hasan  Md. Utba Rashid  Soumik Kha Sagar  Sanzida Khan  Susmita Zaman  Sultan Mahamud Sumon  Ariful Basher  Mohammad Delwer Hossain Hawlader  Mohammad Hayatun Nabi  Nadira Sultana Kakoly
Affiliation:1. Infectious Disease Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh;2. Pi Research Consultancy Center, Dhaka, Bangladesh;3. Nutrition and Clinical Services Division (NCSD), International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh;4. Department of Public Health, North South University, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Yale University School of Medicine, UNITED STATES
Abstract:BackgroundTetanus, a vaccine-preventable disease, is still occurring in the elderly population of low- and middle-income countries with a high case-fatality rate. The objective of the study was to elucidate the factors associated with in-hospital mortality of tetanus in Bangladesh.MethodsThis prospective observational study, conducted in two specialized infectious disease hospitals, conveniently selected adult tetanus patients (≥18 years) for inclusion. Data were collected through a preformed structured questionnaire. Kaplan Meier survival analysis and univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis were carried out to assess factors associated with in-hospital mortality among patients. All analysis was done using Stata (version 16) and SPSS (version 26).ResultsA total of 61 tetanus cases were included, and the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 34.4% (n = 21). Patients had an average age of 46.49 ±15.65 years (SD), and the majority were male (96.7%), farmers (57.4%), and came from rural areas (93.4%). Survival analysis revealed that the probability of death was significantly higher among patients having an age of ≥ 40 years, incubation time of ≤12 days, onset time of ≤ 4 days, and having complication(s). However, on multivariable Cox regression analysis, age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 4.03, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.07–15.17, p = 0.039) and onset time (≤4 days) (aHR 3.33; 95% CI 1.05–10.57, p = 0.041) came as significant predictors of in-hospital mortality after adjusting for incubation period and complications.ConclusionOlder age and short onset time are the two most important determinants of in-hospital mortality of tetanus patients. Hence, these patients require enhanced emphasis and care.
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