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Indicators and mechanisms of stability and resilience to climatic and landscape changes in a remnant calcareous grassland
Institution:1. The University of British Columbia, British Columbia Children''s Hospital Research Institute, V6H 3V4, Canada;2. ETH Zurich, Mobile Health Systems Lab, Institute of Robotics and Intelligent Systems, Department of Health Sciences and Technology, BAA, Lengghalde 5, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland;3. Department of Anesthesia, British Columbia Children''s Hospital, Vancouver BC V6H 3V4, Canada;1. School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;2. RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire SG19 2DL, UK;3. School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;4. Natural England, Suite D, Unex House, Bourges Boulevard, Peterborough PE1 1NG, UK;5. 5 Lancaster Way, East Winch, King''s Lynn PE32 1NY, UK;6. 1 Cobden Terrace, Great Yarmouth NR30 1BT, UK
Abstract:When considering the development of conservation strategies for threatened plant communities it is crucial to understand their resilience to environmental change, taking into account current decline and the occurrence of further habitat fragmentation and climatic changes. Many recent works describe resilience character and elements, but there is little focus on the metrics and indices that describe elements of stability and specific resistance or resilience over the community composition matrix. Communities with strong niche selection might be restricted to specific resistance strategies to cope with environmental changes. This would result in a community at greater risk from increasing fragmentation and climatic changes.In a 35 years survey of relic calcareous grasslands, we looked at measures to identify the resilience mechanisms for stability in the presence and abundance of species. We used techniques of partitioning of temporal beta diversity in nestedness and turnover components, analysis of functional strategy changes and dissimilarity analysis to detect changes in between?plot diversity and exchanges.Contrary to expectations, we observe strong resilience with different stabilizing mechanisms both at plot level and exchanges between plots. At the scale of our grassland complex, response diversity and environmental stochasticity allow for the maintenance of high biodiversity under natural perturbations and gradual human-induced environmental changes. This highlights the importance of dispersal, recruitment dynamics and microsite diversity.Community resilience is more than just the sum of species resilience strategies; adaptive management strategies need more emphasis on the variability of conditions, as this can enable or disrupt important community resilience mechanisms.
Keywords:Beta diversity  Raup-Crick index  Dispersal  Resistance  Habitat fragmentation  Rainfall variability
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