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A newly discovered role of evolution in previously published consumer–resource dynamics
Authors:Teppo Hiltunen  Nelson G Hairston Jr  Giles Hooker  Laura E Jones  Stephen P Ellner
Institution:1. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, , Ithaca, NY, 14853 USA;2. Department of Food and Environmental Sciences/Microbiology, University of Helsinki, Viikki Biocenter, , FIN‐00014 Helsinki, Finland;3. Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, Eawag, , 8600 Dübendorf, Switzerland;4. Department of Biological Statistics and Computational Biology, Cornell University, , Ithaca, NY, 14853 USA
Abstract:Consumer–resource interactions are fundamental components of ecological communities. Classic features of consumer–resource models are that temporal dynamics are often cyclic, with a ¼‐period lag between resource and consumer population peaks. However, there are few published empirical examples of this pattern. Here, we show that many published examples of consumer–resource cycling show instead patterns indicating eco‐evolutionary dynamics. When prey evolve along a trade‐off between defence and competitive ability, two‐species consumer–resource cycles become longer and antiphase (half‐period lag, so consumer maxima coincide with minima of the resource species). Using stringent criteria, we identified 21 two‐species consumer–resource time series, published between 1934 and 1997, suitable to investigate for eco‐evolutionary dynamics. We developed a statistical method to probe for a transition from classic to eco‐evolutionary cycles, and find evidence for eco‐evolutionary type cycles in about half of the studies. We show that rapid prey evolution is the most likely explanation for the observed patterns.
Keywords:Eco‐evolutionary dynamics  host–  parasite interaction  population cycles  predator–  prey interaction  rapid evolution  retrospective analysis
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