Modelling the distribution and growth of ‘problem’ green seaweed in the Medway estuary,UK

The results of a modelling study to investigate the mechanisms controlling macroalgal growth within the Medway estuary, UK, are presented. Intertidal zone bathymetry, tidal dynamics and turbidity control the time available for nutrient uptake and photosynthesis, and were used as a basis for predicting areas where macroalgae will grow. Tidal bed stress was also considered as a controlling factor for the presence of the less robust green macroalgae species. Two approaches to predicting macroalgal distributions were applied: (1) a simple ‘suitability index’ method based on tidal flooding and drying, taking account of the conflict between time available for nutrient uptake and for photosynthesis; and (2) a biological macroalgal growth model that includes a detailed treatment of nutrient uptake and plant growth. The former approach assigns a value between zero and one for the suitability of a location for macroalgal occurrence, while the latter predicts the full macroalgal growth dynamics over an annual cycle. Tidal bed stress was included in both approaches as an independent modifier of macroalgal occurrence/growth. Results were compared with aerial survey maps of observed vegetation cover and time series of measured biomass density. Both approaches gave good predictions of non-species-specific vegetation cover in the intertidal zone of the Medway. Tidal bed stress was found to be a strong predictor of the specific occurrence of Enteromorpha spp. and Ulva spp., with these species favouring areas of low tidal energy. It was concluded that light and a lack of suitable regions with low tidal bed stress, rather than nutrients, were the main factors limiting excessive growth of Enteromorpha spp. and Ulva spp. in the estuary. Although this study was focussed on the Medway, the results are likely to be applicable to a broad range of relatively turbid, meso- and macro-tidal estuaries. Electronic supplementary material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Guest editors: J. H. Andersen & D. J. Conley Eutrophication in Coastal Ecosystems: Selected papers from the Second International Symposium on Research and Management of Eutrophication in Coastal Ecosystems, 20–23 June 2006, Nyborg, Denmark