模拟植物多样性的大尺度分布：从气候和生产力推知的一种可能性（英文）

 鉴于全球植被/生物群区在现状气候条件下已经被很好地模拟并在未来气候变化情景下得到很好的预测，人们有必要和急需模拟大尺度（区域、洲际至全球）植物多样性的分布格局。陆地生物圈模型的发展（从生物地理模型和生物地球化学模型到动态和耦合的植被模型），气候-生物多样性相互关系和生产力-生物多样性相互关系研究成果的增多，以及基于现有生物多样性调查的全球生物多样性理论和经验制图的进步，加大了模拟大尺度植物多样性格局的可能性。本文的目的是：综述当前气候-生物多样性相互关系和生产力-生物多样性相互关系的主要研究成果以及大尺度

MODELING THE LARGE-SCALE DISTRIBUTION OF PLANT DIVERSITY:A POSSIBILITY INFERRED FROM CLIMATE AND PRODUCTIVITY

As vegetation/biomes in the world has been well simulated in current climate and predicted in future climatic scenarios, it is urgently needed and necessary to simulate the large-scale(regional, continental to global) distribution of plant diversity. The development of terrestrial biosphere models from the biogeographical and biogeochemical models to dynamic and coupled vegetation models, the increasing achievements of relationships between climate and biodiversity and between productivity and biodiversity, as well as the theoretical and empirical products of mapping global biodiversity based on the existing field biodiversity investigation, accelerated the possibility of modeling large scale patterns of plant diversity. The aim of this paper is 1) to review the current situation of climate-biodiversity relationships, production-biodiversity relationships and the mapping of biodiversity patterns at a large scale, 2) to review the development of terrestrial biosphere models briefly, and then 3) to look for the possibility of modeling large-scale plant diversity using vegetation models and based on the climate-biodiversity-production relationships. Using the process-based equilibrium terrestrial biosphere models, the dynamic vegetation models driven by climate data and ecophysiological constraints of plant species such as leaf area index and net primary productivity, the large-scale pattern of plant diversity(the species count in a given area) can be simulated in the same time when modeling the vegetation distribution. The global map of plant distribution will become a good tool for comparing the simulated plant diversity with potential ones. However, limitations of knowledge about the actual distribution of global plant diversity, relationships among climatic constraints, productivity and biodiversity, as well as natural and human disturbances on biodiversity will restrict the more accurate simulation of plant diversity at present. How to simulate the plant diversity more accurately and more mechanically is a future challenge for ecologists. The modeling of Chinese plant diversity at the country level has not been reported. The challenge to Chinese ecologists is to compile the available field records of plant counts as accurately as possible and then to map the country-scale plant diversity using the Geographical Information System and predict the potential distribution of plant diversity using vegetation models.