SEASONAL VARIATION IN SEXUAL SELECTION IN THE MOTTLED SCULPIN

Seasonal variation in sexual and natural selection in male mottled sculpins (Cottus bairdi) can be evaluated by calculating selection differentials, which measure the magnitude of phenotypic change resulting from selection, and by calculating indices of the opportunity for selection, which indicate the potential for phenotypic selection in a given interval. Selection differentials are high at the beginning of the breeding season and decline throughout the breeding season. The magnitude and direction of selection differentials depend on when spawning occurs and are independent of the size or age of the females that spawn. Annual selection differentials due to differences in mating success (female choice) are nearly constant between years. Annual selection differentials associated with hatching success are variable. Opportunities for selection (I = fitness variance/[mean fitness]²) show clear seasonal patterns. They are highest at the beginning and at the end of the spawning season. However, this variation is dependent on the mean used to calculate I, and hence variation in I values does not indicate a significant change in the variance of male fitness.