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Biotic responses buffer warming‐induced soil organic carbon loss in Arctic tundra
Authors:Junyi Liang  Jiangyang Xia  Zheng Shi  Lifen Jiang  Shuang Ma  Xingjie Lu  Marguerite Mauritz  Susan M Natali  Elaine Pegoraro  Christopher Ryan Penton  César Plaza  Verity G Salmon  Gerardo Celis  James R Cole  Konstantinos T Konstantinidis  James M Tiedje  Jizhong Zhou  Edward A G Schuur  Yiqi Luo
Institution:1. Department of Microbiology and Plant Biology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma;2. Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee;3. Tiantong National Station of Forest Ecosystem, Research Center for Global Change and Ecological Forecasting, School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China;4. Institute of Eco‐Chongming (IEC), Shanghai, China;5. Center for Ecosystem Science and Society and Department of Biological Sciences, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, Arizona;6. Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, Massachusetts;7. College of Integrative Sciences and Arts, Arizona State University, Mesa, Arizona;8. Center for Fundamental and Applied Microbiomics, Biodesign Institute, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona;9. Departamento de Biología y Geología, Física y Química Inorgánica, Escuela Superior de Ciencias Experimentales y Tecnología, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Móstoles, Spain;10. Instituto de Ciencias Agrarias, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain;11. Department of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, Center for Microbial Ecology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan;12. School of Civil and Environmental Engineering and School of Biology, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia;13. Institute for Environmental Genomics, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma;14. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China;15. Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California;16. Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Abstract:Climate warming can result in both abiotic (e.g., permafrost thaw) and biotic (e.g., microbial functional genes) changes in Arctic tundra. Recent research has incorporated dynamic permafrost thaw in Earth system models (ESMs) and indicates that Arctic tundra could be a significant future carbon (C) source due to the enhanced decomposition of thawed deep soil C. However, warming‐induced biotic changes may influence biologically related parameters and the consequent projections in ESMs. How model parameters associated with biotic responses will change under warming and to what extent these changes affect projected C budgets have not been carefully examined. In this study, we synthesized six data sets over 5 years from a soil warming experiment at the Eight Mile Lake, Alaska, into the Terrestrial ECOsystem (TECO) model with a probabilistic inversion approach. The TECO model used multiple soil layers to track dynamics of thawed soil under different treatments. Our results show that warming increased light use efficiency of vegetation photosynthesis but decreased baseline (i.e., environment‐corrected) turnover rates of SOC in both the fast and slow pools in comparison with those under control. Moreover, the parameter changes generally amplified over time, suggesting processes of gradual physiological acclimation and functional gene shifts of both plants and microbes. The TECO model predicted that field warming from 2009 to 2013 resulted in cumulative C losses of 224 or 87 g/m2, respectively, without or with changes in those parameters. Thus, warming‐induced parameter changes reduced predicted soil C loss by 61%. Our study suggests that it is critical to incorporate biotic changes in ESMs to improve the model performance in predicting C dynamics in permafrost regions.
Keywords:acclimation  biotic responses  carbon modeling  climate warming  data assimilation  permafrost  soil carbon
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