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Poplar and shrub willow energy crops in the United States: field trial results from the multiyear regional feedstock partnership and yield potential maps based on the PRISM‐ELM model
Authors:Timothy A Volk  Bill Berguson  Christopher Daly  Michael D Halbleib  Raymond Miller  Timothy G Rials  Lawrence P Abrahamson  Dan Buchman  Marylin Buford  Michael W Cunningham  Mark Eisenbies  Eric S Fabio  Karl Hallen  Justin Heavey  Gregg A Johnson  Yulia A Kuzovkina  Bo Liu  Bernie Mcmahon  Randy Rousseau  Shun Shi  Richard Shuren  Lawrence B Smart  Glen Stanosz  Brain Stanton  Bryce Stokes  Jeff Wright
Institution:1. State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY, USA;2. Natural Resources Research Institute, University of Minnesota‐Duluth, Duluth, MN, USA;3. Northwest Alliance for Computational Science and Engineering, PRISM Climate Group, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA;4. Forest Biomass Innovation Center, Michigan State University, Escanaba, MI, USA;5. Center for Renewable Carbon, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA;6. Forest Service Research and Development, USDA Forest Service, Washington, DC, USA;7. ArborGen, Ridgeville, SC, USA;8. Horticulture Section, School of Integrative Plant Science, Cornell University, Geneva, NY, USA;9. Southern Outreach and Extension Center, University of Minnesota, Waseca, MN, USA;10. Department of Plant Science, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CY, USA;11. Department of Forestry, Mississippi State University, Mississippi, MS, USA;12. GreenWood Resources, Portland, OR, USA;13. Department of Forestry and Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin‐Madison, Madison, WI, USA;14. Allegheny Science & Technology, Bridgeport, WV, 26330, USA;15. Durania LLC, Boone, NC, USA
Abstract:To increase the understanding of poplar and willow perennial woody crops and facilitate their deployment for the production of biofuels, bioproducts, and bioenergy, there is a need for broadscale yield maps. For national analysis of woody and herbaceous crops production potential, biomass feedstock yield maps should be developed using a common framework. This study developed willow and poplar potential yield maps by combining data from a network of willow and poplar field trials and the modeling power of PRISM‐ELM. Yields of the top three willow cultivars across 17 sites ranged from 3.60 to 14.6 Mg ha?1 yr?1 dry weight, while the yields from 17 poplar trials ranged from 7.5 to 15.2 Mg ha?1 yr?1. Relationships between the environmental suitability estimates from the PRISM‐ELM model and results from field trials had an R2 of 0.60 for poplar and 0.81 for willow. The resulting potential yield maps reflected the range of poplar and willow yields that have been reported in the literature. Poplar covered a larger geographic range than willow, which likely reflects the poplar breeding efforts that have occurred for many more decades using genotypes from a broader range of environments than willow. While the field trial data sets used to develop these models represent the most complete information at the time, there is a need to expand and improve the model by monitoring trials over multiple cutting cycles and across a broader range of environmental gradients. Despite some limitations, the results of these models represent a dramatic improvement in projections of potential yield of poplar and willow crops across the United States.
Keywords:   Populus        Salix     short cutting cycle intensive culture  short‐rotation woody crops
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