金融机具销售组合预测方法的研究与应用

本文以省科学技术基金项目＂企业市场预测系统的研究＂为依托,以鞍山某金融机具公司为背景,对金融机具销售组合预测进行了深入的研究.首先,应用定量和定性预测方法进行单项预测,然后应用组合预测方法进一步修正预测值,最后运用定性影响因素修正定量预测结果.并且应用此方法对JL302微型纸币清分机2009年销售量进行预测,结果表明此方法优于以往各种方法.用定性修正定量的方法更适用于金融机具产品的销售量预测.

Study and Application of Sales Combination Prediction method for Financial Equipment

In this dissertation,one Financial Equipment Co,Ltd is taken as a practical background;the thorough research of some sales prediction problems is based on modern prediction theory and relying on science and technology foundation project of Liaoning province called＂Study on enterprises and markets prediction system＂.Firstly,it applies quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods to predict individual.Secondly,it applies the combined forecasting method to amend predictive value.Finally,using the qualitative factors to amend the quantitative forecast results.And the application of this method JL302 micro Currency Sorter 2009 sales forecast,the results show that this method is better than the previous ways.Amended with qualitative and quantitative method is more suitable for financial equipment products sales forecast.