Modelling the Canada lynx and snowshoe hare population cycle: the role of specialist predators |
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Authors: | Rebecca Tyson Sheena Haines Karen E. Hodges |
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Affiliation: | (1) Mathematics, Statistics and Physics, University of British Columbia Okanagan, Vancouver, Canada;(2) Biology and Physical Geography, University of British Columbia Okanagan, Vancouver, Canada |
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Abstract: | Mathematical models of the snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) and Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis) population cycles in the boreal forest have largely focused on the interaction between a single specialist predator and its prey. Here, we consider the role that other hare predators play in shaping the cycles, using a predator–prey model for up to three separate specialist predators. We consider the Canada lynx, coyote (Canis latrans) and great horned owl (Bubo virginianus). Our model improves on past modelling efforts in two ways: (1) our model solutions more closely represent the boreal hare and predator cycles with respect to the cycle period, maximum and minimum hare densities and maximum and minimum predator densities for each predator, and (2) our model sheds light on the role each specialist plays in regulation of the hare cycle, in particular, the dynamics of the raptor appear to be crucial for characterising the low hare densities correctly. |
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