Optimal resource allocation model for excessive flower production in a pollinating seed-predator mutualism

Many plants produce excessive flowers and several hypotheses have been proposed for adaptive significances of this behavior. Here, I develop a simple resource allocation model for plants in a mutualism with pollinating seed-predators to examine a novel hypothesis that excessive flower production can be favored to “dilute” seed predation by the pollinators. Pollinators visit flowers to deposit pollen and oviposit on them, and their offspring feed on a portion of the seeds, leaving the remainder intact. Further pollinator visits increase seed mortality by over-oviposition. Excessive flower production is favored if it decreases pollinator-visit frequency per flower, while it incurs decrease in seed production because of the resource trade-off. I examine three plant strategies: (1) no abortion, the plant allocates resource to all pollinated flowers to mature; (2) selective abortion, the plant aborts flowers depending on how many times they were visited by pollinators; and (3) random abortion, the plant indiscriminately aborts a fraction of pollinated flowers irrespective of how many times they were visited. I show that the random abortion strategy can perform much more effectively than the no-abortion strategy when the amount of resource is small, the production cost per flower is low, and the pollinator density is high, although the selective abortion strategy is always the best. This “predator dilution” effect has not been considered with regard to previous excessive flower production hypotheses.