A theoretical method for evaluating the relative importance of positive selection and neutral drift from observed base changes

To evaluate the relative importance of positive selection and neutral drift from the nucleotide base changes observed in the homologous alignment of genes, a theoretical equation of base changes is formulated by including both the influence of selection and the base substitutions due to mutations. Under the assumption that the average rate of base substitutions estimated from synonymous changes is the ``true' mutation rate applicable at all positions, this method is applied to the vertebrate globin gene family, and evaluates the departures of base change rates from the ``true' mutation rate at the first and second codon positions as a consequence of preferential selection for the conservation of important function. In addition to the strong effect of selection on the amino acid residues in the internal region mostly common to myoglobin and hemoglobin chains, the distinctive directions of selective parameter values are seen at sites on the globin surface, distinguishing the subunit contact residues of hemoglobins from the polar residues on the surface of myoglobins. Moreover, this effect of selection distinguishing between the myoglobin and hemoglobin chain genes becomes weaker in cold-blooded vertebrates, especially in fish, strongly suggesting the possibility that the clear distinction between these globins is a result of selection out of the changes regarded as neutral ones in an ancestor of vertebrates. Thus, the present method may also serve to investigate the homology of many other proteins from the aspect of molecular evolution, mainly focusing on the evolution of their biological functions. Received: 2 January 1996 / Accepted: 20 February 1997