Cormack–Jolly–Seber model with environmental covariates: A P‐spline approach |
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Authors: | Jakub Stoklosa Richard M. Huggins |
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Affiliation: | 1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of New South Wales, , New South Wales, 2052 Australia;2. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, , Victoria, 3010 Australia |
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Abstract: | In capture–recapture models, survival and capture probabilities can be modelled as functions of time‐varying covariates, such as temperature or rainfall. The Cormack–Jolly–Seber (CJS) model allows for flexible modelling of these covariates; however, the functional relationship may not be linear. We extend the CJS model by semi‐parametrically modelling capture and survival probabilities using a frequentist approach via P‐splines techniques. We investigate the performance of the estimators by conducting simulation studies. We also apply and compare these models with known semi‐parametric Bayesian approaches on simulated and real data sets. |
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Keywords: | Capture– recapture Cross‐validation Little Penguins Eudyptula minor Open population P‐splines |
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