Early needle senescence and thinning of the crown structure of Picea abies as induced by chronic SO2 pollution. II. Field data basis, model results and tolerance limits

Field data on the sulphur and cation budget of growing Norway spruce canopies (Picea abies [L.] Karst.) are summarized. They are used to test a spruce decline model capable of quantifying effects of chronic SO₂ pollution on spruce forests. At ambient SO₂ concentrations, acute SO₂ damage is rare, but exposure to polluted air produces reversible thinning of the canopy structure with a half-time of a few years. Canopy thinning in the spruce decline model is highest (i) at elevated SO₂ pollution, (ii) in the mountains, (iii) at unfertilized sites with poor K⁺, Mg²⁺ or Zn²⁺ supply, (iv) at low spruce litter decomposition rates, and (v) acidic, shallow soils at high annual precipitation rates in the field and vice versa. Model application using field data from Würzburg (moderate SO₂ pollution, alkaline soils, no spruce decline) and from the Erzgebirge (extreme SO₂ pollution, acidic soils in the mountains, massive spruce decline) predicts canopy thinning by 2–11% in Würzburg and by 45–70% in the Erzgebirge. The model also predicts different SO₂-tolerance limits for Norway spruce depending on the site elevation and on the nutritional status of the needles. If needle loss of more than 25% (damage class 2) is taken to indicate ‘real damage’ exceeding natural variances, then for optimum soil conditions SO₂ tolerance limits range from (27.3 ± 7.4) μg m^?3 to (62.6 ± 16.5) μg m^?3. For shallow and acidic soils, SO₂ tolerance limits range from (22.0 ± 5.5) μg m^?3 to (37.4 ± 7.5) μ m^?3. These tolerance limits, which are calculated on an ecophysiological data basis for Norway spruce are close to epidemiological SO₂-toIerance limits as recommended by the IUFRO, UN-ECE and WHO. The observed statistical regression slope of the plot (damaged spruce trees vs. SO₂-pollution) in west Germany is confirmed by modelling (6% error). Model application to other forest trees allows deduction of the observed sequence of SO₂-sensitivity: Abies > Picea > Pinus > Fagus > Quercus. Thus, acute phytotoxicity of SO₂ seems not to be involved in ‘forest decline’. Chronic SO₂-pollution induces massive canopy thinning of Abies alba and Picea abies only at unfavourable sites, where natural stress factors and secondary effects of SO₂pollution act together to produce tree decline.