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Frontiers in climate change-disease research |
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| Authors: | Rohr Jason R Dobson Andrew P Johnson Pieter T J Kilpatrick A Marm Paull Sara H Raffel Thomas R Ruiz-Moreno Diego Thomas Matthew B |
| Affiliation: | 1 University of South Florida, Department of Integrative Biology, 4202 East Fowler Ave., Tampa, FL 33620, USA 2 Princeton University, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, 117 Eno Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA 3 University of Colorado, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Ramaley N122, CB334, Boulder, CO 80309 4 University of California at Santa Cruz, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, A332 Earth & Marine Sciences, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA 5 Cornell University, Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, E321 Corson Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA 6 The Pennsylvania State University, Institutes of the Environment, Department of Entomology, Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, 501 ASI Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA |
| Abstract: | The notion that climate change will generally increase human and wildlife diseases has garnered considerable public attention, but remains controversial and seems inconsistent with the expectation that climate change will also cause parasite extinctions. In this review, we highlight the frontiers in climate change-infectious disease research by reviewing knowledge gaps that make this controversy difficult to resolve. We suggest that forecasts of climate-change impacts on disease can be improved by more interdisciplinary collaborations, better linking of data and models, addressing confounding variables and context dependencies, and applying metabolic theory to host-parasite systems with consideration of community-level interactions and functional traits. Finally, although we emphasize host-parasite interactions, we also highlight the applicability of these points to climate-change effects on species interactions in general. |
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